Football – England – League One
Saturday 17th November 2012 – Kickoff: 1500hrs
Scnthorpe United, currently occupying the last remaining relegation spot, take on one of the best away teams in League One (if not the best), Notts County at Glanford Park on Saturday afternoon, and they face a tall order to get anything from this match.
The hosts sit a miserable 21st place in League One and their home form is nothing to write home about; 1-2-5 7/17, and along with Doncaster Rovers and Hartlepool United they possess the worst goalscoring record at home in the league having amassed a meagre total of 7 goals in total so far.
What makes matters worse is that they don’t have anything else to take their minds off their precarious league position having crashed out of all the cups (League Cup lost to Norwich City, League Trophy lost to tonight’s opponents Notts County, and most recently lost at League Two Gillingham in a 0-4 humbling defeat).
Confidence at home would seem to be at an all-time low but they did record back-to-back away wins at midlands strugglers Walsall and Coventry City recently so they’ll be hoping to transfer some of this recent improvement for their home fans against County.
Leading scorer is Leon Clarke (10 goals in 12 matches), and the supply has mainly been donated by Mark Duffy (5 assists) and Jimmy Ryan (3 assists). Clarke is in good goalscoring form and he bagged a brace at Coventry City on the weekend but has scored just 4 goals at home so far.
Notts County make the trip further north on Saturday on the back of just one loss in their last six matches overall. However, it’s their away form that has grabbed my attention for this fixture as they are on a staggering run of fifteen matches unbeaten on the road in League One which includes an impressive nine straight wins.
Away wins so far this term have been chalked up at Crewe Alexandra, Bury, Carlisle United, Coventry City and Colchester United along with points gained at Oldham Athletic and most notably, MK Dons and Sheffield United.
The Magpies’ away record now stands at a solid 5-3-0 16/6 and alongside Premiership giants Manchester City and Chelsea, are the only league clubs in the football league to still remain unbeaten away from home this season.
I hope I haven’t jinxed them now but with attacking personnel such as Neale Bishop and Yoann Arquin (5 goals apiece), Francois Zoko and Jamal Campbell-Ryce (4 goals apiece) and the Hughes’ (Jeff and Lee – 3 goals each) along with the creativity of Alan Judge & Arquin (5 assists each), they must surely stand a more than reasonable chance of extending this impressive unbeaten run?
In summary, Scnthorpe have struggled to score at home and seem to get nervous in front of their own fans whilst County seem to relish their away-days; I’ll back The Magpies not to lose with a draw no bet option at still a cracking price – County could pull off a narrow 1-0 win though.
Pick: Notts County AH0 (Draw No Bet) @ 1.80 bet365 looks great value