FedEx Cup Golf Betting ready for big tee off

The FedEx Cup in Golf betting is now down to the wire, with just one tournament, the TOUR Championship left to play this week. This is the season culmination, with the last 30 men left standing in the points rankings at the conclusion of last week’s BMW Championship, gets a shot at the title. England’s Justin Rose pulled out the big win last week, putting himself right in contention now as one of the front runners. With that win, Rose pulled himself into third spot in the FedEx Cup standings, a big momentum shift for the Englishman, knowing that a win at East Lake, Georgia this week, will land him the $10 million prize. But of course there are challengers around him, and basically we need to take a look at the top five going into the TOUR Championship as they do hold the biggest advantage in terms of picking up the FedEx Cup. Basically, if any of the top five players going into the tournament win, then they will be crowned champion. It is as simple as that. The player going into the TOUR Championship spot of course has the biggest advantage of all.

After the BMW Championship, the FedEx Cup points earned over the season and in the play offs, gets reset. While Webb Simpson topped the FedEx Cup points after last week’s event with 5,621 points ahead of Dustin Johnson back on 3, 841 all points now get reset. The leader (Simpson) starts with 2,500 points, second placed Johnson starts with 2,250 points, Justin Rose in third starts with 2,000 points, Luke Donald in fourth goes with 1,800 points and so on, down the thirty man field with a decreasing amount of points. Why? Well if regular season FedEx Cup points will have stood, it would have meant that Simpson was a massive 1780 points ahead of Johnson and 2527 points ahead of sixth placed man Brandt Snedeker. This would have meant that out of the final thirty men, only five could actually win, with 2,500 points being awarded for a FedEx Cup play off win. Instead, with the points reset for the final play off event, it means that everyone in the 30 man field can still technically win the FedEx Cup. Of course, the man down in 30th needs a big win and the leaders to fail badly, so remains a major outside chance, but it leaves the competition open, but still giving a big advantage to the players who have topped the FedEx Cup points in the regular season. All clear?

Well where does it leave us in FedEx Cup betting?

While the FedEx Cup leaders (the ones in the top five specifically) know that a win brings them double glory here at East Lake, we can cast our minds back to last year when Jim Furyk won here, starting from 11th in the FedEx Cup standings to take the big prize. Is someone going to do a Furyk? Or are we going to see one of the leaders hang on? Consistency is key.

FedEx Cup Points on offer: 1st 2,500, 2nd 1,500, 3rd 750, 4th 750, 5th 550, 6th 500

See TOUR Championship golf betting odds here

(2,500 pts 1st) Webb Simpson – 17/5 at BetFair
Well Webb Simpson is the man to beat, simply because there has been no-one better than him during the closing of the season. He has been in phenomenal form, winning two of his last four events (including the Deutsche Bank) and finishing fifth at the BMW last week. That is the consistency that gets rewarded and Simpson is in a position where he doesn’t necessarily need to win the TOUR Championship, just a good finish above his closest rivals would do it (and enough to hold off whoever does win the TOUR Championship). But basically Simpson is holding all the cards, and playing so well, it is hard to back against him. He has just not buckled under the pressure.
What Simpson needs: A win secures the title, a top five finish will likely win it for him too.

(2,250 pts 2nd) Dustin Johnson – 7/1 at BetFair
After winning the Barclays, Johnson looked really ramped up and ready to conquer. He has played so well over the year, and continuously looked as if he was building towards something big. He felt the pressure a bit last week at the BMW though, finishing down in T65, but it was enough to hold on to second place. Needs to get back on track, especially with the putter. He can perform.
What Johnson needs: A win secures the title, and will be in with a great chance with a top 3 finish. The lowest mathematical finish for him where he can still win the title, would be 6th.

(2,000 pts 3rd) Justin Rose – 7/1 at BetFair
Really came from down the field to put himself in big contention to win the FedEx Cup. The Englishman just about held his nerve in the closing round of the BMW Championship. Was a great, composed performance in all over the four days. Needs to perform just as well at East Lake, but winning back to back tournaments is a tough thing to do. Needs a strong finish and for Simpson and Johnson to slip up. A win though and the title is his.
What Rose needs: A win secures the title, while a second place finish puts him in with a great chance. The lowest he can finish and still mathematically win is fourth.

(1,800 pts 4th) Luke Donald – 7/2 at BetFair
The world number one has been saving the best for last you feel. Has played very well throughout the play offs, especially as he went into them having suffered a bit of a dip in form. What backers will favour in his game though, is that he produced a superb runner up spot at East Lake last season. It wasn’t enough to take the FedEx Cup then, but a top two finish could be enough. Only a win will secure the title, but anything else needs other results to go his way. Still in a very strong position though.
What Donald needs: A win secures the title, second place puts him in with a good chance. The lowest he can finish and mathematically win is 3rd.

(1,600 pts 5th) Matt Kuchar – 8/1 at BetFair
Haven’t really seen the big threatening pinch put on by Matt Kuchar in the play offs this year. Continues to be consistent, but troubled by the lack of finishing power when it matters most. Still in with a chance though, as he is in fifth place and on the bubble. A win takes the title.
What Kuchar needs: A win secures the title, in with a mathematical chance with a second place finish.

FedExCup Outright Odds at BetFair
Webb Simpson 17/5, Luke Donald 7/2, Justin Rose 7/1, Dustin Johnson 7/1, Matt Kuchar 8/1, Brandt Snedeker 19/1, Jason Day 19/1, Nick Watney 19/1, Phil Mickelson 22/1

FedEx Cup Betting Tip:
While Webb Simpson definitely has his fate in his own hands, for value we are going to look at Luke Donald. He has been threatening, has landed 9 out 11 rounds in the play offs below 70, and looks on top of his game. One final push from Donald here with Simpson (who has not played at East Lake before) under pressure, could see the Englishman take this. His runner up spot last year shows that he is suited to the course.