The Euro 2012 Play Off draw, with the ties to played on November 11/12 and the second legs on November 15, sees the last eight teams shooting for a place at next summer’s finals. Most of the excitement on the final night of Euro 2012 qualification was in Groups D and H, where France were trying to hold on to top spot against Bosnia and Herzegovina, while Portugal was trying to battle Denmark for that automatic place at next summer’s finals. So we know the identities of ten of the teams who will join the co hosts at Poland and Ukraine 2012 (nine group winners plus Sweden as the best runner up), and now the final eight have one last chance to book their place at the finals. There are strong teams left in here and there should be some very evenly matched contests. We have one home nation involved, with Giovanni Trapattoni trying to guide Ireland through to the finals, but having to contest against some poor major tournament play off history. Four places up for grabs, and the action will start up against on November 11th and 12th. Here is a look at the Euro 2012 play off draw and your early betting options.
Turkey v Croatia
Turkey did enough from Group A, finishing well behind Germany but holding on to second place. Croatia battled their way through from qualifying Group F, finishing two points behind Greece, with the Greeks squeezing out a 2-1 win in Georgia in their final game to book top spot. But Croatia were on a run of good form going into the final matches, and Turkey will need to take advantage of being at home in the first leg here. There is good history here between these two, as Croatia were knocked out on penalties in the quarter finals of Euro 2008. Croatia coach Slaven Bilic has been eyeing revenge over the Turks for that, because Croatia had scored in the 119th minute, because Turkey replied right at the very death of extra time. Interestingly too, Turkey were Croatia’s first ever Euro 2012 opponents, after the Croats had made it to the finals for the first time in Euro 96. Croatia won 1-0. The two sides have met only four times in total, with one win each and two draws. Going to be a tough encounter for these two sides. Croatia probably just have a technical edge though.
Play Off Records: Croatia P2 W2, Turkey P4 W2 L2
Tip: Croatia to Qualify 4/6 at Bet365 (Turkey 11/10 at Bet365)
Estonia v Republic of Ireland
The Republic of Ireland secured their place at Euro 2012 with a 2-1 win over Armenia in their final match. That was the big crunch match on the final day, to see who would take second spot behind Russia in a very competitive group. Estonia pushed their way into the finals from Group C behind Italy, as Serbia failed to get the win they needed against Slovenia on the final day of qualifying matches, which sent Estonia (who had already completed their games) through. This is a massive chance for Estonia to reach their first ever major finals, and they have proved to be quite a handy side through qualification. Estonia pretty much got the play off draw that they wanted, eyeing up Ireland as the best chance that they would have to progress. Ireland was who Estonia coach Tarmo Ruutli wanted in the play offs, because they should be able to match styles with Ireland. Estonia play quite a fast paced, physical British style of the game, and therefore should fancy their chances. But Ireland, being one of the seeded teams have the advantage of playing away in the first leg. The goals dried up for Ireland in their group when they needed them the most, but fought their way to the play offs. However, the Irish do not have a great record in the play offs, but have beaten Estonia on their only two previous meetings. They were paired together for the 2002 World Cup Qualification, with Ireland winning both home and away. Only Shay Given, Richard Dunne, Damien Duff, Robbie Keane and Kevin Kilbane remain in the Irish set up since that last encounter with Estonia back in 2001. This has been quite an adventure for Estonia though, as they were on a five match losing streak earlier in the year (including a defeat against the Faroe Islands).
Play Off Records: Estonia P0, Republic of Ireland P5 W1 L4
Tip: Ireland to Qualify 4/9 at Stan James (Estonia 9/4 at Victor Chandler)
Czech Republic v Montenegro
Montenegro, thanks to a couple of draws against Group Winners England will contest their play off match against the Czech Republic. The Czech’s squeezed their way into the play offs behind Spain, but really made hard work of things. Therefore this should be an evenly contested match. Montenegro showed signs of maturing into a good international side with their performances against England, notably how they played at Wembley, but new coach Michal Bilek, who only took over for their final two Euro 2012 qualification matches, may be a bit worried about their lack of goals. That is something they need to work on. As for the Czech Republic, well they were shown up by Spain and Scotland really in their group, as the Czech won only half of their eight matches (including a home loss against Lithuania). They don’t look very strong at all at the moment, and if they had been in a more competitive group, you would have to believe that they could well have missed out. Really hard to pick a winner out of these two, neither have a lot of firepower and both have leaky defences. The two nations have never met before at the senior international level, so it will be interesting to see who draws first blood. Good chance for Montenegro to take what they would consider to be a big scalp though, especially with playing the second leg at home. The Czech’s do have experience of play offs, while this is the first time that Montenegro will face the high pressure.
Play Off Records: Montenegro P0, Czech Republic P2 W1 L1
Tip: Czech Republic To Qualify 4/7 at Paddy Power (Montenegro 7/4 at Victor Chandler)
Bosnia and Herzegovina v Portugal
The final night of Euro 2012 qualifiers threw up some great excitement, none least in Group D where France and Bosnia met in Paris in a shoot out for top spot. After Manchester City’s Edin Dzeko has put Bosnia ahead in Paris, France just managed to hang on to the top spot in the group thanks to a equaliser by Dzeko’s club team mate, Samir Nasri who fired home from the Penalty spot, just twelve minutes from time. So that sent Bosnia through to the play offs, but they were oh so close to getting an automatic spot. This is the fixture than is perhaps the most attractive of the four. Most of the teams in the draw wanted to avoid playing Portugal, but from Portugal’s point of view, they have gotten one of the toughest opponents. Portugal blew their chance of securing the automatic place at next year’s finals, as they went to Copenhagen for their final match of qualifying, level on points with Denmark. However, it was the strong looking Danes who ran out 2-1 winners in the decisive match of the group leaving Portugal level on points with Norway, but just taking the play off spot because of goal difference. This should be an epic encounter as Bosnia and Herzegovina look to book their place at their first major final since gaining their independence. This is where the history between these adds a little extra spice to this match. The closest Bosnia have come to a major final was the 2010 World Cup, but they lost in a play off there against, yes, Portugal. Bosnia will start at home, which may work against them, and they have suspensions at the back which won’t help. Portugal boss Paulo Bento still has a lot of work to do with his side, as they were favourites to win their qualifying group, but failed to do so, in what was an arduously competitive campaign. Portugal won both 2010 World Cup qualification play off matches against Bosnia 1-0. A mouth watering encounter here. Portugal aren’t the strongest side, and the technically strong and organised Bosnians will present a real challenge.
Play Offs Record: Bosnia and Herzegovina P1 L1, Portugal P1 W1
Tip: Portugal to Qualify 4/9 at Boylesports (Bosnia 2/1 at Bet365)
Qualified Teams for Euro 2012
Poland and Ukraine (hosts), Spain, Germany, Russia, Italy, France, Netherlands, Greece, England, Denmark, Sweden (as best runners up).
Euro 2012 Outright Winner Odds
Spain 5/2, Germany 4/1, Holland 56/1, England 10/1, France 12/1, Italy 11/1, Portugal 20/1, Russia 28/1 at Bet365