Saturday 3rd October
English Premier League
Burnley v Birmingham City
A meeting of two promoted sides at Turf Moor also see’s two young Scottish managers clash when Owen Coyle’s Burnley take on Alex McLeish’s Birmingham.
Burnley have been your stereotypical Jekyll and Hyde side this term with 3 wins and 4 defeats from their opening 7 matches. All 3 of their wins have come at home in pretty convincing and impressive fashion. They have got the better of Everton and Sunderland, both of whom occupy top 10 places whilst their most notable victory came in August when they defeated Champions and current league leaders, Manchester United. Their away form, however, is far less impressive. In their 4 matches on the road they have yet to gain a point, conceded 14 goals and have a 0 in the goals for column. Granted, these games have been against strong home sides including Liverpool and Tottenham, but it must already be a cause for concern for Coyle.
Birmingham have been a lot less entertaining than tomorrows opponents but that may not be a bad thing in the long run. The blues have conceded 6 goals in their 7 matches which is pretty good going for a side in the lower reaches of the league. The problem is at the other end of the pitch as they have only managed to breach the opposition’s defences 4 times in the same number of games. McLeish will not be overly disappointed with a total of 7 points at this stage but will be looking for his team to create more chances and score more goals, especially against teams who are likely to be in and around them come the end of the season.
Both sides have not had their problems to seek in terms of injuries even at this early stage of the season. The Clarets will be without influential striker Martin Paterson again tomorrow as well as a creative spark in the middle of the park, Chris McCann. Both have been very good for Burnley but Coyle believes he has the squad in place to deal with such absences. Birmingham will be without their Ecuadorian striker Christian Benitez who has flown home for personal reasons. They may have James McFadden back from injury which would be a big boost for McLeish who is desperate for some spark upfront.
I don’t think there will be a massive amount of points between these two sides come May, but at the same time, I can’t see both being relegated. Burnley will really need to improve their away form to stay up whilst tomorrow’s visitors will have to start scoring more goals. Burnley have a knack of sneaking victories at home in close fought encounters. Steven Fletcher leads the line will and will no doubt be ably supported by recent recruit David Nugent. I expect another close game tomorrow but think Owen Coyle’s men will come out of it with all 3 points to maintain their 100% home record this season.
My selection: Burnley to beat Birmingham
Best odds available: 13/10 available with Betfred
English League 1
Leeds United v Charlton Athletic
A massive game in League 1 on Saturday see’s top of the table Leeds entertain 2nd place Charlton, a match which would have been in the Premiership 3 or 4 years ago.
Leeds head into this match still unbeaten after 10 games with 8 victories and 2 stalemates. They have finally got to grips with life in League 1 and got a balance between playing home and away. Their home record for the last two seasons has been impressive to say the least but they have always been let down by their form on the road. Simon Grayson, in his first full season as manager, has addressed that problem by making them harder to beat and this has been reflected in their results. United have an identical record both home and away with 4 wins and a draw apiece.
Charlton started the season on fire with 6 straight wins in the league. Since then, however, they have struggled and have only managed to secure maximum points in 1 of their last 4 matches. That was against Exeter last weekend but since then, they have suffered a heavy defeat away to Colchester during a midweek round of fixtures. Charlton’s problem may be that they rely a lot on young, emerging talent. They have experienced pro’s as well, of course they do, but their key players in key positions are experiencing this sort of football for the first time. When I say that, I mean football at the top end of the league. For the last few seasons Charlton have found themselves at the bottom end scrapping for points whereas now, they are one of the major scalps in league 1 which means other teams tend to raise their game against them.
I’ve spoken before about where Leeds’ quality lies – their strikers. Jermaine Beckford has the perfect foil in the shape of Lucciano Becchio. The Argentinean does a lot of the dirty work for his strike partner who is left to score the vital goals. However it is not just the strikers who have came to the fore this term, United’s midfield has also chipped in with much needed goals and just as important, assists. Bradley Johnson and Robert Snodgrass have been in scintillating form this early in the season. Johnson has already notched 5 goals whilst Snodgrass has just been called up to the Scotland squad for an upcoming friendly.
Two midweek matches are hard at the best of times so when both matches are away from home it makes it even more difficult. Charlton went down with a whimper on Tuesday and it strikes me as a tired performance due to the aforementioned reasons added to the fact that Phil Parkinson is working with a pretty small squad.
Leeds have only dropped two points at home this term and I can’t see them dropping further points tomorrow.
My selection: Leeds to beat Charlton
Best odds available: 10/11 available with several bookmakers including Bet365
Jermaine Beckford also has a habit of scoring in big games at Elland Road so the striker looks a decent bet at the same price to add to his 7 goals.
Other selections: Jermaine Beckford to score at anytime
Best odds available: 10/11 available with Paddypower
Good Luck and Happy Punting
October 2nd, 2009 / callum - Category: Football Betting




