November 26th, 2009 / cyril
Matches that draw at half-time but give a definite result at full time (part 3)
LE CHAMPIONNAT.
This is probably the "tightest" league out there.
Not one club is averaging 2 goals or over per game. This makes for "tight" games, obviously.
Recommendations can only be, "PROCEED WITH CAUTION".
France Ligue 1 overall draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| P.S.G. |
63,6 |
36,4 |
| TOULOUSE |
50,1 |
25,1 |
| RENNES |
50,1 |
33,3 |
| NANCY |
50,1 |
16,7 |
| LE MANS |
50,1 |
16,7 |
|
France Ligue 1 home draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| TOULOUSE |
83,3 |
0,1 |
| MONTPELLIER |
80,1 |
20,1 |
| LILLE |
66,7 |
50,1 |
| P.S.G. |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| VALENCIENNES |
50,1 |
33,3 |
| LORIENT |
50,1 |
0,1 |
| LE MANS |
50,1 |
33,3 |
|
France Ligue 1 away draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| ST. ETIENNE |
80,1 |
0,1 |
| RENNES |
66,7 |
50,1 |
| NANCY |
62,5 |
12,5 |
| P.S.G |
57,1 |
28,6 |
| BOULOGNE |
50,1 |
33,3 |
| BORDEAUX |
50,1 |
16,7 |
|
PORTUGAL SUPA LIGA.
The stand-out team here is Leixoes. At least as far as non-drawn games are concerned.
Sporting Braga are also worth a consideration.
Portugal Liga Sagres overall draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| OLHANENSE |
70,1 |
50,1 |
| SP.LISBON |
60,1 |
50,1 |
| LEIXOES |
60,1 |
20,1 |
| U.LEIRIA |
60,1 |
50,1 |
| SP. BRAGA |
60,1 |
10,1 |
| ACADEMICA |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| V. GUIMARAES |
60,1 |
40,1 |
|
Portugal Liga Sagres home draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| SP. LISBON |
80,1 |
40,1 |
| LEIXOS |
80,1 |
40,1 |
| NAVAL |
60,1 |
20,1 |
| U. LEIRIA |
60,1 |
60,1 |
| V. GUIMARAES |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| PORTO |
60,1 |
20,1 |
| SP.BRAGA |
60,1 |
0,1 |
|
Portugal Liga Sagres away draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| OLHANENSE |
100,1 |
80,1 |
| ACADEMICA |
80,1 |
40,1 |
| RIO AVE |
60,1 |
60,1 |
| U. LEIRIA |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| V.GUIMARAES |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| SP. BRAGA |
60,1 |
20,1 |
| BELENENSES |
60,1 |
80,1 |
|
NETHERLANDS. EREDIVISION.
Here draws, in general, are pretty scarce. Averaging a little better than one every five games.
Goal-less draws appear about once in twenty matches. Qiute a plus.
Sides like TWENTE and HEERENVEEN are worth consideration.
Netherlands Eredivisie overall draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| TWENTE |
50,1 |
14,3 |
| RODA |
50,1 |
28,6 |
| UTRECHT |
46,2 |
30,8 |
| HEERENVEEN |
46,2 |
15,4 |
| GRONINGEN |
42,9 |
28,6 |
|
Netherlands Eredivisie home draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| RODA |
71,4 |
28,6 |
| NAC |
57,1 |
28,6 |
| TWENTE |
50,1 |
12,5 |
| HERACLES |
50,1 |
16,7 |
| WILLEM 11 |
50,1 |
16,7 |
|
Netherlands Eredivisie away draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| FEYENOORD |
57,1 |
28,6 |
| UTRECHT |
50,1 |
33,3 |
| TWENTE |
50,1 |
16,7 |
| SPARTA |
50,1 |
33,3 |
| PSV. |
50,1 |
33,3 |
| HEERENVEEN |
50,1 |
0,1 |
|
SCOTTISH PREMIER.
This league has the MOST full time draws of the FIFTY-THREE leagues I studied.
35.2 %. ; With almost half of these being goal-less. Not really a league to have too much confidence in.
Scotland Premier League overall draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| FALKIRK |
75,1 |
41,7 |
| DUNDEE UTD |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| ST MIRREN |
58,3 |
33,3 |
| MOTHERWELL |
58,3 |
58,3 |
| HIBERNIAN |
58,3 |
33,3 |
| ABERDEEN |
50,1 |
50,1 |
|
Scotland Premier League home draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| FALKIRK |
100,1 |
50,1 |
| DUNDEE UTD |
75,1 |
25,1 |
| ST. MIRREN |
57,1 |
57,1 |
| MOTHERWELL |
50,1 |
33,3 |
| KILMARNOCK |
50,1 |
33,3 |
| HIBERNIAN |
50,1 |
16,7 |
| HEARTS. |
50,1 |
33,3 |
|
Scotland Premier League away draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| RANGERS |
75,1 |
50,1 |
| MOTHERWELL |
66,7 |
83,3 |
| HIBERNIAN |
66,7 |
50,1 |
| ABERDEEN |
66,7 |
66,7 |
| ST MIRREN. |
60,1 |
0,1 |
|
Remember the THREE basic rules:
DISCIPLINE
DISCIPLINE
DISCIPLINE.
Category: Betting Advice
November 19th, 2009 / cyril
Matches that draw at half-time but give a definite result at full time (part 2)
This time I’m looking at the main European Leagues.
The Spaniards of La Liga are just a little more than a quarter way into their season.
Tenerife look like a team to follow whether home or away.
Getafe an home and Valencia away are also worth keeping an eye on.
In Serie A I’ve only included teams with greater than 50% records. For expediency sake. The teams are a third of the way thru’ their programme.
Although Italian teams are renowned for their defensive qualities there are a couple of teams who seem intent on going for three points as often as possible.
In the Overall returns Cagliari stand out, at present. The Home records show AS Roma in a good light, with Udinese not too far behind.
Away figures show Napoli just clear of Cagliari, Sampdoria and Juventus.
The Bundesliga are also a third of the way thru’ their season.
Overall Berlin are the outstanding team.
At home there are a plethera of sides to watch. Koln, Berlin Hamburg and Dortmund.
Away records are once more dominated by Berlin, followed by Frankfurt.
Spain Primera Division overall draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| TENERIFE |
70,1 |
10,1 |
| XEREZ |
60,1 |
30,1 |
| VILLAREAL |
60,1 |
30,1 |
| VALENCIA |
60,1 |
30,1 |
| OSASUNA |
60,1 |
30,1 |
| ESPANYOL |
60,1 |
30,1 |
| GETAFE |
50,1 |
0,1 |
|
Spain Primera Division home draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| TENERIFE |
80,1 |
20,1 |
| VILLAREAL |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| VALENCIA |
60,1 |
60,1 |
| OSASUNA |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| GETAFE |
60,1 |
0,1 |
| ESPANYOL |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| ATH. MADRID |
60,1 |
60,1 |
| ALMERIA |
0,1 |
40,1 |
|
Spain Primera Division away draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| XEREZ |
80,1 |
40,1 |
| VILLAREAL |
60,1 |
20,1 |
| VALLADOLID |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| VALENCIA |
60,1 |
0,1 |
| TENERIFE |
60,1 |
0,1 |
| OSASUNA |
60,1 |
20,1 |
| MALAGA |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| SP. GIJON |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| ESPANYOL |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| BARCELONA |
60,1 |
40,1 |
|
Italy Serie A overall draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| UDINESE |
66,7 |
25,1 |
| CAGLIARI |
66,7 |
8,3 |
| SIENA |
58,3 |
25,1 |
| SAMPDORIA |
58,3 |
25,1 |
| LIVORNO |
58,3 |
25,1 |
| LAZIO |
58,3 |
41,7 |
| CATANIA |
58,3 |
41,7 |
| BARI |
58,3 |
50,1 |
|
Italy Serie A home draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| LIVORNO |
100 |
33,3 |
| SIENA |
83,3 |
50,1 |
| UDINESE |
71,4 |
14,3 |
| CATANIA |
66,7 |
50,1 |
| A S ROMA |
60,1 |
0,1 |
| LAZIO |
57,1 |
28,6 |
|
Italy Serie A away draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| CAGLIARI |
83,3 |
16,7 |
| SAMPDORIA |
66,7 |
16,7 |
| JUVENTUS |
66,7 |
16,7 |
| BARI |
66,7 |
66,7 |
| UDINESE |
60,1 |
40,1 |
| LAZIO |
60,1 |
60,1 |
| NAPOLI |
57,1 |
14,3 |
|
Germany Bundesliga overall draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| BAYERN MUNICH |
66,7 |
41,7 |
| KOLN |
66,7 |
25,1 |
| FRANKFURT |
66,7 |
33,3 |
| BERLIN |
58,3 |
8,3 |
| WOLFSBURG |
50,1 |
25,1 |
|
Germany Bundesliga home draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| B. MUNICH |
66,7 |
50,1 |
| KOLN |
66,7 |
16,7 |
| BERLIN |
66,7 |
16,7 |
| STUTTGART |
50,1 |
33,3 |
| LEVERKUSEN |
50,1 |
33,3 |
| HAMBURG |
50,1 |
16,7 |
| FRANKFURT |
50,1 |
50,1 |
| DORTMUND |
50,1 |
16,7 |
|
Germany Bundesliga away draws
| |
half time draws % |
full time draws % |
| FRANKFURT |
83,3 |
16,7 |
| WOLFSBURG |
66,7 |
33,3 |
| B.MUNICH |
66,7 |
33,3 |
| KOLN |
66,7 |
33,3 |
| SCHALKE |
50,1 |
33,3 |
| BERLIN |
50,1 |
0,1 |
|
Once again, do pay great attention to FORM. Recent and Historical. Also keep the figures up to date.
Matches that draw at half-time but give a definite result at full time (part 1)
Category: Betting Advice
November 12th, 2009 / cyril
Matches that draw at half-time but give a definite result at full time
This time I’ve tried somthing new (Well at least to me).
Figures which end with a zero before the decimal point look out of place as my programme doesn’t show a zero after the decimal point. So any figures ending ??.1 the decimal place figure one, is cosmetic only. Hope that makes sense.
Something I’ve touched upon before is the "Lay the Draw then Back the Draw".
I also told of my preference to let the games reach the halfway stage before doing anything.
Having thought about this for some time I realised that what was needed was matches that were inclined to draw at half time but give a definite result at full time. This isn’t absolutely necessary as long as we "green-up" after a goal has been scored but matches that are likely to end up with a winner are a much better tool to have on your side.
At present I’m a little cautious of the Premiership, as the pattern of results hasn’t yet approached the "norm".
I have checked thru’ the necessary results and stats and have noted teams with at least a fifty percent draw record at half time and then checked thru’ their full time results. The figures are encouraging. Although they will need to be watched and up-dated regularly, by anyone who uses them.
All the usual precautions must be taken when deciding which games to use. Up-to-date form is a must and always give thought to historical form.
The tables show firstly, the teams with an overall half-time draw record of 50% or more and then the full-time draw record. They then progress to a teams home record and finally away records. I have only dealt with those with a minimum of 50% half-time in each table. So there will be occasions when teams with a low full-time record have not been included. This is were your experience will help you decide.
Premiership overall draws
| |
half-time draws % |
full-time draws % |
| STOKE |
63,6 |
36,4 |
| BIRMINGHAM |
63,6 |
18,2 |
| HULL |
54,5 |
18,2 |
|
Premiership home draws
| |
half-time draws % |
full-time draws % |
| HULL |
80,1 |
20,1 |
| BIRMINGHAM |
66,7 |
33,3 |
| STOKE |
50,1 |
16,7 |
| EVERTON |
50,1 |
50,1 |
| BURNLEY |
50,1 |
0,1 |
| BOLTON |
50,1 |
33,3 |
|
Premiership away draws
| |
half-time draws % |
full-time draws % |
| STOKE |
80,1 |
60,1 |
| LIVERPOOL |
66,7 |
0,1 |
| MAN. U. |
60,1 |
0,1 |
| BIRMINGHAM |
60,1 |
0,1 |
| WIGAN |
50,1 |
0,1 |
| WEST HAM |
50,1 |
33,3 |
| ASTON. V. |
50,1 |
33,3 |
|
Championship overall draws
| |
half-time draws % |
full-time draws % |
| SWANSEA |
73,3 |
46,7 |
| SHEFFIELD U |
66,7 |
33,3 |
| BRISTOL C |
66,7 |
46,7 |
| LEICESTER C |
60,1 |
|
| CRYSTAL P |
60,1 |
46,7 |
| WEST BROM |
53,3 |
26,7 |
| NOTTS F |
53,3 |
40,1 |
| DERBY C |
53,3 |
13,3 |
| BARNSLEY. |
53,3 |
13,3 |
|
Championship home draws
| |
half-time draws % |
full-time draws % |
| SWANSEA |
87,5 |
57,1 |
| BRISTOL C |
75,1 |
37,5 |
| IPSWICH |
62,5 |
62,5 |
| SHEFF WED |
57,1 |
28,6 |
| READING |
57,1 |
42,9 |
| NOTTS F |
57,1 |
0,1 |
| LEICESTER |
57,1 |
28,6 |
| BLACKPOOL |
57,1 |
28,6 |
| WEST BROM |
50,1 |
12,5 |
| SHEFF U |
50,1 |
50,1 |
| DONCASTER |
50,1 |
62,5 |
| DERBY. |
50,1 |
0,1 |
|
Championship away draws
| |
half-time draws % |
full-time draws % |
| CRYSTAL P |
87,5 |
50,1 |
| SHEFF U |
85,7 |
14,3 |
| SWANSEA |
62,5 |
37,5 |
| LEICESTER |
62,5 |
50,1 |
| BARNSLEY |
62,5 |
12,5 |
| WEST BROM |
57,1 |
42,9 |
| CARDIFF |
57,1 |
14,3 |
| BRISTOL C |
57,1 |
57,1 |
| PLYMOUTH |
50,1 |
12,5 |
| NOTTS F |
50,1 |
75,1 |
| DERBY |
50,1 |
25,1 |
|
League 1 overall draws
| |
half-time draws % |
full-time draws % |
| LEYTON O |
66,7 |
26,7 |
| HUDDERSFIELD |
66,7 |
20,1 |
| SOUTHEND |
60,1 |
33,3 |
| CARLISLE |
60,1 |
33,3 |
| M.K. DONS |
53,3 |
13,3 |
| OLDHAM |
53,3 |
33,3 |
| LEEDS |
53,3 |
20,1 |
| COLCHESTER |
53,3 |
26,7 |
| BRISTOL R |
53,3 |
6,7 |
|
League 1 home draws
| |
half-time draws % |
full-time draws % |
| CARLISLE |
75,1 |
12,5 |
| BRISTOL R |
71,4 |
14,3 |
| M.K.DONS |
62,5 |
12,5 |
| TRANMERE |
62,5 |
12,5 |
| SOUTHEND |
62,5 |
37,5 |
| BRIGHTON |
62,5 |
12,5 |
| WALSALL |
57,1 |
57,1 |
| SOUTHAMPTON |
57,1 |
42,9 |
| HUDDERSFIELD |
57,1 |
28,6 |
| COLCHESTER |
57,1 |
0,1 |
| WYCOMBE |
50,1 |
25,1 |
| LEYTON O |
50,1 |
37,5 |
|
League 1 away draws
| |
half-time draws % |
full-time draws % |
| LEEDS |
85,7 |
14,3 |
| LEYTON O |
85,7 |
14,3 |
| HUDDERSFIELD |
72,5 |
12,5 |
| OLDHAM |
71,4 |
28,6 |
| GILLINGHAM |
62,5 |
12,5 |
| BRENTFORD |
62,5 |
37,5 |
| STOCKPORT |
57,1 |
42,9 |
| SOUTHEND |
57,1 |
28,6 |
| YEOVIL |
50,1 |
37,5 |
| COLCHESTER |
50,1 |
50,1 |
|
League 2 overall draws
| |
half-time draws % |
full-time draws % |
| LINCOLN |
53,3 |
6,7 |
| BURY |
53,3 |
20,1 |
| ALDERSHOT |
53,3 |
13,3 |
|
League 2 home draws
| |
half-time draws % |
full-time draws % |
| TORQUAY |
62,5 |
37,5 |
| ROTHERAM |
62,5 |
50,1 |
| HEREFORD |
62,5 |
37,5 |
| DARLINGTON |
57,1 |
14,3 |
| CREWE |
57,1 |
0,1 |
| CHESTERFIELD |
50,1 |
12,5 |
|
League 2 away draws
| |
half-time draws % |
full-time draws % |
| ALDERSHOT |
75,1 |
25,1 |
| LINCOLN |
62,5 |
0,1 |
| BURY |
62,5 |
25,1 |
| CHELTENHAM |
57,1 |
42,9 |
| BOURNEMOUTH |
57,1 |
14,3 |
| BRADFORD |
50,1 |
50,1 |
| ACC.STANLEY |
50,1 |
25,1 |
|
Next time I’ll turn my attention to the other “big” European Leagues.
Category: Betting Advice
|
