Everyone likes to talk about the magic of the FA Cup, although Leeds United’s 1-0 win at Old Trafford was the only result that really lit up the third round. Elsewhere, Reading’s sturdy performance when drawing 1-1 with Liverpool was about as newsworthy as it got and the Berkshire club are likely to go out in next week’s replay.
Indeed, this is a competition that has been dominated by the ‘Big Four’ for several years. Aside from Portsmouth in 2008, one of Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool or Manchester United have won the FA Cup since Everton won this piece of silverware in 1995. You might have profited from backing teams like West Ham (2006), Millwall (2004) or Southampton (2003) on an each-way basis, although it’s been pretty predictable when it comes to picking out the winner.
Perhaps this is the season where the tables have turned, especially as Aston Villa, Tottenham and Manchester City have seemingly closed the gap on the ‘Big Four’ (indeed, in the case of Liverpool, perhaps they have caught up with them). The trio have the bonus of not being involved in European competition this season and have clearly ear-marked the FA Cup as a priority (along with trying to finish in the top four of the Premier League).
City catch the eye at 7/1 (bet365) on the outright market, especially with the team looking in good nick since Roberto Mancini became manager. It’s possible that they will spend big during the January transfer window and the club’s rich owners will want the prestige of winning some silverware as they look to broaden global appeal. The Citizens have been drawn away at Scunthorpe in the fourth round and have a squad brimming with talent.
Aston Villa manager Martin O’Neill claims that the FA Cup is ‘back in vogue’ and, while he played a weakened team to beat Blackburn in the third round, a home tie with Brighton should ensure that the Villans also feature in the last sixteen of the competition. The Midlands side proved recently when winning at Old Trafford that they can win one-off matches anywhere these days and some might consider them an attractive each-way prospect at 10/1 (Stan James).
Meanwhile, Harry Redknapp loves a cup competition and was the manager that steered Portsmouth to FA Cup glory in 2008. Admittedly he was helped by Barnsley, who knocked Chelsea and Liverpool out en route, although he now manages a stronger squad than the side that he had at Fratton Park. Although many people are getting excited about their match against Leeds in the fourth round, let’s remember that the visitors are still a League One team who will be big outsiders. Therefore, the 15/2 (bet365) that Spurs land the spoils could also be worth an interest.
After all, if Chelsea play a weakened team away to Darren Ferguson’s team and lose, with Arsenal facing a tricky assignment at Stoke, then these teams will become a lot shorter!
January 6th, 2010 / dave - Category: Football Betting




