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paul nicholls

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Horse Racing Betting

The Grade 3 Betfred Classic Chase at Warwick is the feature race in the UK this weekend, though whether it can still claim to be a viable Grand National ‘trial’ is a contentious issue.

Gordon Elliott had four possibles engaged at the four-day stage but only one Irish runner, the Mouse Morris-trained Dromnea, has stood his ground and he’s a general 16/1 chance with his stamina to prove over the three miles and five furlongs. I’d also pass over Ballyheigue Bay and Loose Chips on modest efforts last time in the same Kempton race in which Foxbridge (a best 16/1) finished fourth.

Betfred Classic Chase Trends

The average number of runners in the past eight renewals (it was abandoned in 2009 and 2010) is only 14 runners and that could be the field size in 2016 with Pete The Feat finishing unplaced at Catterick on Thursday. It hasn’t been easy finding recent winners, however. Only one favourite has won in 10 years, though six of those winners were sent off at odds of 10/1 or shorter.
Paul Nicholls has a terrific record in the Classic Chase having trained three winners from just five runners during the past decade, including last year’s winner Hawkes Point. Alan King has saddled two winners from his last seven runners but has a better level-stakes profit thanks to D’Argent and West End Rocker. Nicholls run last month’s Kelso winner Vivaldi Collonges this Saturday while King is represented by Doncaster scorer Sego Success and Newbury fourth Midnight Prayer – both the latter pair are previous course winners and all three have been prominent in the ante-post betting.
Race-fitness is usually a pre-requisite for this marathon so it’s a worry that What A Good Night hasn’t run since early November.
Algernon Pazham blundered his way around Aintree last time before coming to grief and may be in need of a confidence-booster. Stamina is a concern for De Kerry Man while Red Devil Lads has only had a week to recover from his slog through the mud in the Welsh National. Russe Blanc is 25/1 with Coral to give Kerry Lee a second big-race success in eight days but the grey would be a surprise victor off his current mark at this level. Houblon Des Obeaux, though fairly handicapped, is another with current jumping issues but Venetia Williams can still grab this big prize with RIGADIN DE BEAUCHENE.

The general 10/1 quoted against the 2013 winner looks excellent value as he’s been back to something like his best this season. The 11-year-old made all over a slightly shorter trip at Haydock last time and never looked like being caught. Obviously, a 6lb higher mark will make life tougher as he’s now 11lb higher than when successful two years ago. But he’ll be taking no prisoners again and still has a light weight compared to some. Robbie Dunne has never lost faith in the gelding and can be guaranteed to get the best out of him again.

Betfred Classic Chase Current Sponsors’ Odds

Sego Success (6/1), Midnight Prayer and Vivaldi Collonges (7/1), Houblon Des Obeaux (9/1), Rigadin De Beauchene and Algernon Pazham (10/1), De Kerry Man (11/1), What A Good Night (12/1), Foxbridge, Pete The Feat, Dromnea and Russe Blanc (14/1), Red Devil Lads and Ballyheigue Bay (16/1), Loose Chips (20/1)

14th January 2016 / paul - Category: Horse Racing Betting

Horse Racing Betting

The withdrawal of Sprinter Sacre and Irish superstar Un De Sceaux has turned this Saturday’s Betfair Tingle Creek Chase into a more competitive affair if anything and each-way betting will still be available on the Grade 1 race if all eight of the declared runners stand their ground, despite the prospect of further rain.

Tingle Creek Chase History

First staged at Sandown in 1979 and named after a popular chaser of the 1970s, the Tingle Creek Chase attained Grade 1 status in 1994 and has been won by some of the top 2m chasers of their generation.
Nine horses have tasted victory more than once, although only Flagship Uberalles has gone on to complete a hat-trick. News King was triumphant for the jockey/trainer partnership of John Francome/Fred Winter in 1981 and 1982, Long Engagement did the double for the Brendan Powell/David Nicholson combination in 1987 and 1989 while Waterloo Boy was successful in 1991 and the following year for Richard Dunwoody and David Nicholson.
Sound Man gave Dunwoody two more victories in 1995 and 1996, this time for Edward O’Grady, while after the Flagship Uberalles treble it was the turn of the great Moscow Flyer in 2003 and 2004 for Barry Geraghty and Jessica Harrington.
The legendary Kauto Star had first Mick Fitzgerald and then Ruby Walsh in the saddle when landing the spoils in 2005 and 2006 and his trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race a record nine times in the last 15 years.

Bet365 are the only one of the major bookmakers offering one quarter the odds for each-way betting on this year’s Tingle Creek Chase and they have VIBRATO VALTAT as their 2/1 favourite to enhance Paul Nicholls’ brilliant record in the contest, though the grey is available at 9/4 in a few places.

It’s hard to argue with the bookmakers’ assessment as soft ground is key to this one and he has conditions at Sandown in his favour. He beat Third Intention on his reappearance in the Haldon Gold Cup at Exeter and won the Henry VIII Novices’ Chase on this card 12 months ago, when it was also soft ground, and also landed Grade 2 contests at Kempton and Warwick. He was beaten by Special Tiara and the enigmatic Mr Mole in the Celebration Chase at Sandown in April but that came at the end of a long season on ground that was too quick.

Special Tiara might be the danger again, however, as evidence is still required over whether Simonsig or 2013 winner Sire De Grugy are the forces of old and Somersby has had chances to win this in the past and been found wanting. Josses Hill may not be quite good enough on what he’s shown so far.

Bet365 Odds for the Tingle Creek Chase

Vibrato Valtat (15/8), Simonsig (7/2), Special Tiara (9/2), Sire De Grugy (6/1), Somersby (10/1), Josses Hill (12/1), Mr Mole (14/1), Third Intention (25/1)

3rd December 2015 / paul - Category: Horse Racing Betting

Horse Racing Betting

The Hennessy Gold Cup is one of jump racing’s most prestigious contests and, even this early in the season, a bona fide trial for the Grand National in April. A fact never better emphasised by Many Clouds’ victory in 2014 – Oliver Sherwood’s stayer did, of course, go on to win the big race itself at Aintree just over four months later.

Hennessy Gold Cup History

First run in 1957, the Hennessy has delivered a roll of honour littered with stars of the equine world. The late, great Lord John Oaksey rode first winner Mandarin, who won it again in 1961. The great Arkle won it twice but his defeats by Mill House and Stalbridge Colonist are just as memorable. Cheltenham Gold Cup winners Bregawn and Burrough Hill Lad were also successful, as was the mighty Denman. Paul Nicholls’ huge stayer won it twice under a welter burden and 2012 winner Bob’s Worth would also go on to glory at Cheltenham.

Hennessy Gold Cup Trends

If there is one significant trend to emerge in the last 10 years, it is the fact that only superstar Denman has managed to win the Hennessy Gold Cup when aged nine or older. Only two winners have been older than seven so this is very much a race for up-and-coming staying chasers. Since 2005, only two winners have carried less than 11st 1lb to victory so class is coming to the fore. Barry Geraghty has ridden two of the last three winners for Nicky Henderson but is retained by J P McManus this year for If In Doubt (a best 8/1).

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The big problem for Saphir Du Rheu is the raising of the weights. He has to give 7lb and upwards to his rivals and these tough obstacles will test his jumping – he still tends to hurdle some of his fences and has never won at Newbury. Bobs Worth’s advancing years have to be a concern, though he’s thrown in on his old form and won recently over hurdles. However, a best 6/1 offers little value.

Smad Place and The Druids Nephew finished behind runner-up Houblon Des Obeaux in the race 12 months ago and are worse off at the weights. Fingal Bay was pulled up but later found to have broken a blood vessel, though he’s never really fulfilled early potential.

THE YOUNG MASTER couldn’t live with Saphir Du Rheu on his reappearance at Carlisle but was forced to make his own running and is now 12lb better off, if rider Sam Waley-Cohen’s claim is taken into account. The longer distance will suit Neil Mulholland’s six-year-old just as much as the Paul Nicholls horse and he impressed recently in a schooling session with stablemate The Druids Nephew – the general 10/1 looks excellent value.

Hennessy Gold Cup Best Odds

Saphir Du Rheu (4/1), Bobs Worth (6/1), Smad Place (6/1), If In Doubt (8/1), The Young Master (10/1), Fingal Bay, Ned Stark, The Druids Nephew and Houblon Des Obeaux (14/1), Theatre Guide and First Lieutenant (20/1), Urano (33/1), Benbens and The Giant Bolster (40/1), Splash of Ginge and Fox Appeal (50/1), Al Co (100/1)

26th November 2015 / paul - Category: Horse Racing Betting

Horse Racing Betting

Having run in the Crabbie’s Grand National has proved no bar to performing well in the bet365 Gold Cup in the past. Burton Port unseated his rider at Aintree last year just two weeks before finishing second at Sandown but actual winners in this are less frequent. Royale Knight (a general 20/1) was sixth in the Grand National and heads a quartet of runners bidding for compensation in the last big race of the national hunt season. Rocky Creek (a general 16/1) was unplaced at Aintree but had earlier won the BetBright Chase at Kempton, ahead of Sandown specialist Le Reve (8/1 with Betfred and on betfair). Ely Brown (40/1 with Coral)and Unioniste (16/1 with Betfred) both fell in the Grand National but the latter is one of four Paul Nicholls entries in this and there has barely been a Saturday go by over the last couple of months without his stable winning at least one major race.

WONDERFUL CHARM may be the one best equipped to carry the Ditcheat banner this time and he looks attractively priced at 16/1 with Boylesports, BetVictor, Coral and William Hill. Possibly a little unlucky not to catch Duke Of Lucca (a general 14/1) over 3m1f at Aintree on Grand National day, the seven-year-old could find further improvement over this extra half-mile and the ground has turned in his favour. Very highly tried since winning at Newton Abbot in the autumn, he was placed in a Grade 1 around time last year and should give a good account.
Grand Jesture (11/1 with bet365 and Skybet)should run well for Henry De Bromhead if reproducing his latest second to The Druid’s Nephew at Cheltenham. He’s only 4lb higher but The Package (11/1 with 888sport) has been raised 10lb for winning the Kim Muir Fulke Walwyn at The Festival and isn’t getting any younger – no 12-year-old has won this in 20 years which will also count against Vics Canvas (a general 16/1). The useful hunter chaser Paint The Clouds (a general 9/1) is interesting, however, though Sam Waley-Cohen will probably have to put up a bit of overweight. He makes more appeal the former Gold Cup winner Bob’s Worth (11/1 with 888sport), who has been well below his best this season. Bally Legend (a general 25/1) often runs well in these big handicaps but this is a real staying test and he might have stamina limitations.

The faster going might help Lost The Legend (a stand-out 25/1 with Coral) but the champion trainer can charm his fans again in the season’s big finale.

24th April 2015 / paul - Category: Horse Racing Betting

Cheltenham Festival

Wherever your allegiances lay, it was hard to hold back the tears after A P McCoy steered Uxizandre to an all-the-way the victory in the Ryanair Chase on the penultimate day of the Cheltenham Festival.

The champion jockey will bring the curtain down on a record-breaking career in six weeks’ time and this is his final appearance at The Festival. But the pressure is now off as he has a winner under his belt so he can enjoy the final day of National Hunt racing’s greatest show and maybe sign off with another victory for his adoring fans.

McCoy rides Ned Buntline in the final race of the meeting named in his honour. There is sure to be a flood of money for Noel Meade‘s gelding (5/1 with 888sport, Paddy Power, betway, Boylesports and BetVictor) in the A P McCoy Grand Annual Chase Challenge Cup as the seven-year-old has only had two runs since finishing second in the race last year and has clearly been prepared with another challenge in mind. Listen for the roar if the famous green and gold hoops of J P McManus are in front jumping the last! But this is a race in which talented novices fare particularly well and Grumeti, in the first-time blinkers, could be a huge price at the general 25/1.

The feature on the final day is, of course, the Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup, and the Blue Riband event looks the most open in many a year. Can Road To Riches (12/1 with the sponsor and BetVictor) complete his remarkable rise from handicapper to superstar by adding the Cheltenham crown to his victory in the Lexus at Leopardstown? Djakadam (a general 15/2) and Many Clouds‘ (9/1 with 888sport) rises have been almost as meteoric and they are others with fighting chances. Will Silviniaco Conti, regarded as the best 3m chaser in England, finally lay his Cheltenham hoodoo to rest? Paul NichollsKing George winner is the 5/1 favourite with 888sport but just didn’t get up the hill last year behind Lord Windermere, On Your Own and The Giant Bolster and I fear it may be a similar story again.

A victory for Coneygree would perhaps be the biggest story of all but it’s hard to find a weakness in the unbeaten novice, apart from his lack of experience. He’s been compared to the great Denman and could shock the old guard at the general 10/1 if he gets his own way on the front end.

It’s going to be very hard finding winners on the rest of the card but Nicky Henderson’s Peace And Co looks the one they all have to beat in the opening JCB Triumph Hurdle, though his best odds of 11/4 reflect that.

13th March 2015 / paul - Category: Cheltenham Festival

Cheltenham Festival

Willie Mullins, after his magnificent four winners on the first day, only managed one on day two at the Cheltenham Festival. But Don Poli could be a real superstar in the making after galloping to victory in the RSA Chase and is already only a best 7/1 with Betway, Coral, Ladbrokes and Boylesports to win the 2016 Cheltenham Gold Cup. He may not always appear keen but, boy, does he have an engine!

The star of the show among the training ranks on the second afternoon was Paul Nicholls. The champion trainer saddled three winners with the highlight coming in the Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase with Dodging Bullets. He should arguably have been sent off favourite on his form this season which included victory in the best trial, the Tingle Creek at Sandown. But punters went instead for former champions Sprinter Sacre and Sire De Grugy. The latter could only manage fourth after looking in trouble a long way from home while the former was pulled up with connections fearing a recurrence of the injury which has seen him restricted to only two races in the last 18 months – we may have seen the last of the nine-year-old.

Nicholls’ other winners were Aux Ptits Son in the Coral Cup and Qualando in the Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle and it’s another big day on Thursday for the Ditcheat handler. He has the strongly-fancied Saphir De Rheu (6/1 with Paddy Power and Stan James) and Zarkandar (a general 11/2) in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle. I would prefer the former but Whisper could also run a big race at William Hill‘s 11/1 as he wouldn’t be the first to win this after failing to take to fences. He won the Coral Cup at The Festival last year and improved again to land a Grade 1 at Aintree ahead of the frustrating At Fisher’s Cross (33/1 with Stan James) and Zarkandar, though Saphir De Rheu did give him weight and a beating in the Welsh Champion Hurdle at Ffos Las earlier.

Nicholls would also have a chance with Ptit Zig (9/2 with Paddy Power) in the JLT Novices’ Chase but Mullins’ Vautour (9/4 with 888sport) looks the one to be on here. Course specialist John’s Spirit could be the value bet in the Ryanair Chase at Paddy Power’s 11/1 and three tough handicaps make up the rest of the day three card. Edeymi should go very close off bottom weight in the Pertemps Network Final at the general 9/1 – most bookmakers are paying up to fifth place in each-way betting in this one – while a big run from Attaglance in the Brown Advisory and Merriebelle Stable Plate at the general 12/1 is expected. Crack amateur Jamie Codd has already ridden one winner this week and will get the best out of the well-treated The Package in the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase – he’s a general 14/1.

12th March 2015 / paul - Category: Cheltenham Festival

Horse Racing Betting

Of course, all thought are now turning to Cheltenham but there is a Grade 3 chase at Newbury this Saturday which has attracted a decent field, some of which may yet turn up at The Festival.

The Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase is a bit of a mouthful but it must roll off the tongue easily for Paul Nicholls. The master of Ditcheat has trained the winner in three of the last five years and is responsible this time for top weight Sound Investment. The forecast going at Newbury this weekend is good to soft and the seven-year-old won under similar conditions at Sandown in November. He’s won three of his nine starts over fences but was beaten eight lengths over the course and distance of this weekend’s feature two runs ago off the same mark so I’m not sure there’s a lot of value in the general 11/2.

Sound Investment is vying for favouritism with Saint Raph (also a general 11/2), who is among the least exposed of his rivals over fences having had just three starts over the larger obstacles. He won by 34 lengths at Wincanton last month, when Simply Wings (22/1 with Stan James) was only third. But the ground was bottomless that day and we’ve yet to see if he can reproduce that form on a quicker surface and in a higher grade. Seventh Sky (a general 10/1) has been dropped 3lb since his winning run was brought to an end by Traffic Fluide at Plumpton but still looks too high in the weights and Royal Regatta was all out to beat Runswick Royal at Doncaster last time. He’s got another 6lb to carry and hasn’t been entirely convincing over this longer distance in the past – Richard Johnson’s mount is 7/1 with Stan James. Philip Hobbs also runs Ballygarvey (12/1 with betfair, Skybet and betway) but he’s also better over 2m and has never gone close off this sort of mark.

Westward Point hasn’t run for more than a year but I wouldn’t let that put you off. Warren Greatrex‘s team is in great form and it’s unlikely that his gelding will fail through lack of fitness. But he’s only a best 15/2 with Stan James and is unproven in this grade. EASTER METEOR has been a bit of a disappointment this season but the handicapper is finally starting to cut him a bit of slack. It’s only just over a year since he was finishing second to Cantlow at Newbury off a 3lb higher mark and it’s almost unimaginable that David Pipe won’t win a nice prize with him before long – the 10/1 with Skybet certainly looks a decent price for this contest and better value than the upped-in-class Midnight Belle at the same odds and the 15/2 with betway and Skybet for mud-lover Bennys Mist.

27th February 2015 / paul - Category: Horse Racing Betting

Horse Racing Betting

Recent rain may not have done any favours to the chances of leading fancies Easter Day (5/1 with Skybet and William Hill) and Fox Appeal (a general 6/1) in this Saturday’s Betbright Chase at Kempton. Easter Day had still to be asked a serious question when falling at Cheltenham last time in a race in which Tap Night (a general 10/1) eventually finished third. But that race was over 2m5f and it’s over shorter trips at which Paul Nicholls‘ lightly-raced chaser has so far excelled. He only beat one home over 3m at Newbury earlier and was well beaten when only tried once over the longer distance over hurdles. Fox Appeal’s credentials are less shaky as he did win twice over 3m over hurdles, though has never tackled the trip in 11 starts over the larger obstacles. However, if he’s going to last home it will be at a track like Kempton. Stamina may also be an issue for Tap Night, who was tailed off over 3m at Limerick in September, though Lucinda Russell‘s charge is ridiculously well handicapped on his best form which warrants a stab at this big prize.

Le Reve (a general 9/1) has won over hurdles at Kempton and is best going right-handed. But both victories this season have come at Sandown, which is completely different in nature, and he’s now on a career-high mark. Rocky Creek is 12/1 with sportingbet and that could be a bit of value given he was second to Cheltenham Gold Cup fancy Road To Riches in the Champion Chase at Down Royal on his reappearance. He was pulled up in the Hennessy at Newbury later but Le Reve and What A Warrior (a general 25/1) suffered a similar fate that day. Bally Legend is only 2lb higher than when a surprise winner 12 months ago but Caroline Keevil‘s 10-year-old has been a long way below that form in three runs this season and there looks no value in the general 16/1 this time.

ARDKILLY WITNESS was only fifth last year and has 3lb more to carry but he wasn’t beaten far and would have got even closer had he not been badly hampered when making his effort turning for home. Though beaten when unseating his rider behind Le Reve at Sandown last time and also finishing behind Lucy Wadham‘s stayer at Ascot in December, he beat the subsequently-impressive Exeter winner Masters Hill over the course and distance of the Betbright Chase in between (when Chartreux was well beaten) and the 20/1 on betfair is dismissive of his overall capabilities. Skybet Chase fourth Renard looks the pick of the remainder at Ladbrokes 25/1.

20th February 2015 / paul - Category: Horse Racing Betting

Horse Racing Betting

A maximum field of 24 has been declared for the Betfair Hurdle, formerly the Schweppes and the Tote Gold Trophy, at Newbury this Saturday. The Grade 3 handicap is traditionally one of the biggest betting heats of the jumps season outside of the Cheltenham Festival and has often given Cheltenham pointers itself. Zarkandar and My Tent Or Yours are recent winners but this is very much a race for younger hurdlers. Geos was the only winner aged older than seven in the last 20 years when successful for the second time in 2004 so the likes of Cheltenian (a general 33/1) and David Pipe‘s pair Balgarry and Swing Bowler, third and fifth in the last two runnings, appear to have it all to do and are a best 16/1 (Ladbrokes) and 33/1 (general) respectively.

No winner has carried more than 11st 7lb since 1980 but Nicky Henderson is happy to let Sign Of Victory (a general 12/1) take his chance this weekend, due to a lack of other suitable opportunities. Henderson visited Newbury on Thursday to assess the condition of the ground under the frost-protection covers and while he found it soft it was not testing enough to persuade him against running the six-year-old. The yard has also declared Vasco Du Ronceray (28/1 with Coral and bet365) but his Snake Eyes missed the cut. Of Willie Mullins‘ three possibles only Wicklow Brave (a general 33/1) will make the journey and he is the sole Irish runner.

Paul NichollsCalipto, two from two at Newbury, has been the ante-post favourite since the weights were published and still heads the market at 11/2 with betfair and 888sport. But there isn’t much value in those odds as the five-year-old was beaten at odds-on in his only appearance this season at Cheltenham in October when getting 8lb from the winner, though he does have the beating of Violet Dancer (33/1 with Betfred) on that effort. Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race last year with outsider Splash Of Ginge and will be hoping Ballybolley (a general 25/1) can follow suit. He was a useful bumper horse last season but has proved a slow learner over timber. John Quinn won the Betfair in 2011 and runs both Chieftain’s Choice (20/1 with Ladbrokes and BetVictor) and Forced Family Fun (40/1 in several places) while Jennie Candlish‘s in-form Sleepy Haven could be a big price at the general 33/1.

Fascino Rustico has come in for strong support (now a general 14/1) having won a couple of novice events recently in impressive style and Aso (a general 25/1) won a Grade 2 at Haydock last month, though now has a penalty to carry so Harry Fry may hold the key to this. Jolly’s Cracked It (16/1 with Stan James, Skybet and bet365) chased home the potentially top-class L’Ami Serge in the Tolworth Hurdle at Sandown last month but ACTIVIAL looks the stable’s number one.

Just caught out by the lack of a previous run when third in the Ladbroke at Ascot in December, he’ll be cherry-ripe for this and can reverse that form with runner-up Pine Creek (a general 16/1) on better terms. Only a best 7/1, those odds are unlikely to get any bigger but it’s difficult to envisage him not being in the front rank approaching the last given he was a Grade 2 winner as a four-year-old on soft going.

5th February 2015 / paul - Category: Horse Racing Betting

Horse Racing Betting

Paul Nicholls has trained the winner of the Skybet Chase (formerly in the Great Yorkshire) at Doncaster twice in the last nine years and has the favourite for this latest renewal in the shape of Easter Day.

Second in a Grade 1 hurdle back in 2012, he’s only had four runs over fences and one outing this season. He wasn’t beaten far in finishing third over 3m at Newbury and was giving 7lb to the two who finished in front of him but whether that constituted a decent trial for a competitive handicap like the Skybet Chase has to be a matter of concern. There’s a chance he could be well treated off a mark of 142 but he won’t be carrying my money at a best 5/1 with 888sport.

Both Alan King and Philip Hobbs are double-handed. The former has the top two in the weights with the classy Medermit giving 7lb to stablemate Godsmejudge (16/1 with Paddy Power), who was placed in a couple of top handicaps in the spring but hasn’t raced since and might not enjoy soft going. Medermit (a general 9/1) has never won over 3m and it’s getting late in the day to start now. Richard Johnson rides Royal Player (a general 8/1) for Hobbs and he’s on a hat-trick after victories at Ludlow and Musselburgh but has shot up the weights and is playing with the big boys now. If In Doubt is more interesting under claimer Micheal Nolan as he’s the least exposed in the field and nicely handicapped on his best form over hurdles – a recent win at Catterick will have given him some confidence but he’s been backed in to a best 6/1, which is off-putting.

Grandads Horse (16/1 with Ladbrokes and the sponsors) beat Town Moor specialist Night In Milan over the course and distance six weeks ago but you’d expect Keith Reveley’s stayer to reverse the form on 4lb better terms. He was pulled up in the Skybet Chase last year but should do better this time and has each-way claims at the 12/1 with sportingbet. However, Sandown winner Fairy Rath (a general 14/1) and Baileys Concerto (25/1 with Coral) might have stamina issues.

RENARD can give us a run for our money at the general 16/1. He is 10lb better off with Night In Milan than when beaten five lengths over 3m2f here last March and has run well in defeat at Haydock and Aintree this winter. Aidan Coleman tried to make the most of his stamina over 2m4f at Chepstow last time but he probably went too quickly in the heavy ground and tired in the closing stages. If ridden with more restraint at Doncaster, he should be thereabouts on the turn for home and looks overpriced.

23rd January 2015 / paul - Category: Horse Racing Betting

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