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Saturday’s British betting preview

January 15th, 2010 / callum

Saturday 16th January

English Premier League

Stoke City v Liverpool (12.45)

After a pathetic performance on Wednesday night, Liverpool must pick themselves up after their cup defeat to Reading when they travel to the Britannia Stadium to face a stuffy Stoke side.

Tony Pulis has never made any apologies for his side’s preferred style of play, especially whilst playing at home. Stoke are direct, physical and rely very much on their strength and presence at set pieces. These strengths have turned them into an established Premier League club, less than two years since winning promotion. Some people may debate that but they have never been in any real danger of being relegated, either this season or last. The majority of other clubs do not go to the Britannia expecting to win as they would elsewhere which is a testament to the industry of Pulis and his players. Tomorrow’s match against Liverpool will be their 11th home match of the season and they’ll be desperate to add to their 5 wins. The biggest surprise about their home form is probably the fact they’ve lost 3 already this season. They have lost to Chelsea and Manchester United which is completely excusable whilst their other defeat was against high flying Birmingham. These defeats signify that it pays to be in good form before coming to the Britannia, as Stoke will not let you get into a rhythm, they’ll be at you from the off.

Liverpool are something of a crisis club at the minute, arguably one of many in the Premier League. Rafa Benitez is for the first time under immense pressure from the fans. Their patience is growing thin with the Spaniard after another cup exit in midweek. That defeat was compounded by injuries to Steven Gerrard, Fernando Torres and Yossi Benayoun. These 3 are probably the Reds most dangerous and influential players, they’ll miss their presence a great deal as they are also big characters who would be vital in tomorrow’s kind of atmosphere. Pepe Reina and Javier Mascherano should return to the squad and there could also be a debut for Maxi Rodriguez who signed in midweek. ‘Pool’s away form has been hit and miss to say the least. They have won 4 on the road but lost 5, drawing 1. This is the away form of a mid-table side, not of a side who were expected to mount a serious challenge for the title. Their away defeats include reverses at Sunderland, Portsmouth and Fulham, teams whose approach to the game is not too dissimilar to that of tomorrow’s opponents. A strong home defence, a hard working midfield with a touch of creativity and a front two full of power and pace.

Liverpool laboured to a draw in this fixture last season but I can envisage things being even worse this time around. They are completely lacking in confidence and consistent form. Reading were far more inventive, created more chances and just looked a whole lot hungrier than Liverpool on Wednesday night. I know it’s based on nothing more than assumption, but it looks as though certain players have stopped playing for Benitez for whatever reason.

 Liverpool struggle at the best of times when teams take the game to them and control the tempo, something at which Stoke have mastered at home. Pulis will know there will never be a better time to play a Liverpool side and he’ll get every last ounce of effort out of his side in tomorrow’s lunchtime kick off. You could have had 6/1 for Stoke on Wednesday, but as events have unravelled since then, we’ll have to make do with 29/10.

My selection: Stoke City to beat Liverpool at a best priced 29/10 with Bwin

 

English Premier League

Manchester United v Burnley

It’s a baptism of fire for new Burnley manager Brian Laws as he takes charge of his first game which is a visit to Old Trafford to take on the champions.

Manchester United have, for me anyway, failed to click thus far this season. Sir Alex Ferguson has had to constantly chop and change, especially at the back thanks to a plethora of injuries. He has been unable to field a consistent line-up for any real length of time which has proved to be detrimental to his sides on field performances. Currently sitting 2nd in the table, a point behind Chelsea who have a game in hand, they know they have to put a run of results together in order to claim their 4th title in a row. There were signs last week away to Birmingham that they were becoming more fluent and creating more chances, it’s just a matter of now being able to take them. Wayne Rooney is creating chances for others whilst also contributing as the club’s top scorer. He’s easily their most important and influential player and his form of late must serve as inspiration to others around him who may not be performing as well.

Burnley begin life without Owen Coyle and it will be interesting to see how well the players react to a change in management. For many of them, their former manager would have brought them to the club in the first place so they will need to adapt to a change in personnel, a different take on the game and possibly being used in unfamiliar systems. Brian Laws must think he’s won a watch with his quick fire appointment after being sacked by a club who find themselves in the relegation picture in the league below. He will be under no illusions as to how difficult it will be for his new team to stay in the division. The signs were there before Coyle left that they were beginning to struggle and their home form was not as good as it had been in the earlier stages of the season. Their porous defence must be improved in this window as they have lost 40 goals already and look like conceding at least a couple in every match they play away from home.

United normally come on strong in the second half of the season and will strive to continue this trend starting tomorrow. Nothing less than a win will do for Ferguson’s troops and a good win may well act as a catalyst for the remainder of the season. Goal difference may yet prove to be important when the honours are handed out in May so it will be no surprise if they put a few past the worst away defence in the division.

My selection: Manchester United (-2) to beat Burnley at a best priced 11/8 with Boylesports

 

Scottish Premier League

Celtic v Falkirk

Neither of these sides have kicked a ball in anger for two weeks so both will be eager to get back into action as Celtic entertain bottom dogs Falkirk.

Celtic’s last match was the derby game at Rangers where they completely dominated and should have had the game wrapped up by half-time. However they failed to take their chances and ended up drawing 1-1, remaining 7 points behind their rivals but with a game in hand. Tony Mowbray has started his mid-season cull by getting rid of 4 players, including Barry Robson and Captain Gary Caldwell. Both have departed to England with the South Korean Ki being singed as Robson’s replacement along with Dutch centre half Jos Hooiveld coming into take Caldwell’s position. The latter will, however, miss out tomorrow as he is not yet fit but Ki may feature at some point. The Bhoys know they can’t afford any slip-up’s in these kind of games so are sure to come out all guns blazing in an attempt to put the game to bed early doors.

Falkirk started the season very slowly and as a result find themselves playing catch-up with everyone else in the league. Eddie May has attempted to rectify this in the 2nd half of the season by bringing in more experience. Former Celtic player, Colin Healy has joined on loan from Ipswich whilst former Leeds United striker Enoch Showumni has also come in on a short term deal to bolster May’s options upfront. Falkirk have won only once on the road this season in 9 games, losing 5. They will need to improve this form and become harder to beat if they are to move up the table and avoid relegation.

The last time these two sides met they played out a 3-3 thriller at the Falkirk Stadium but things should prove to be different when they meet tomorrow at Parkhead. Falkirk have lost on each of their last 9 league visits to Celtic Park. Their last 3 encounters in Glasgow’s East End have seen 10 goals conceded and none scored – I can’t see this changing for the better tomorrow. Celtic know that they need to make up their goal difference on Rangers and these kind of matches are the time to do that.

One player who has started to fulfil his potential is Celtic striker Marc Antoine Fortune. The former West Brom marksman is beginning to show why Mowbray shelled out £3.8m for him in the summer. He had an excellent game against Rangers which was on the back of 3 goals in December. He’ll be out to add to his tally and his strength, allied with his pace and smart running could prove decisive against a weak Falkirk defence.

My selections: Celtic (-2) to beat Falkirk at a best priced 6/4 with Skybet

                             Mark Antoine Fortune to score anytime at a best priced 5/4 with Bet365




Saturday’s British betting preview (Boxing Day)

December 22nd, 2009 / callum

Saturday 26th December

English Premier League

Sunderland v Everton

David Moyes takes his Everton side, on a run of 3 successive league draws, to the Stadium of Light to take on a Sunderland side who haven’t won since their impressive victory over Arsenal back in November.

Steve Bruce’s summer arrival, alongside some big investment from a new chairman, brought increased expectation to the North-east club. Things looked to be heading in the right direction with star signing Darren Bent scoring goals aplenty, excellent results over Liverpool, Manchester United and the aforementioned Arsenal game, as well as sell-out crowds for home matches. The past month or so however, has not been as positive. They have lost four out of 5 with their only respite coming against bottom dogs Portsmouth in a 1-1 draw at home. This dip in form may have coincided with the injury to Lee Cattermole. The energetic midfielder was a key player in the early part of the season for Bruce’s side and was pivotal to their style of play, especially at home where they rely on their midfielders getting close to the opposition and stifling their creative players. He has recently returned to the starting line-up but even his inclusion on Saturday couldn’t prevent Sunderland from slipping to another defeat away to Man City. Sunderland also look to be missing Craig Gordon. The influential Scottish goalkeeper broke his arm against Spurs at White Hart Lane in November and since his absence from the side, the team has shipped 9 goals in 6 matches, keeping only one clean sheet in process.

Everton have had a poor first half to the season by their own high standards set in previous seasons. Much was  expected from Moyes side after finishing 5th last season and with the influx of players such as Johnny Heitinga, Diniyar Bilyaletdinov and Sylvain Distin. These signings were coupled with the retention of Brazilian striker Jo on loan for another season and the impending return of Yakubu from a long term injury. Despite all this, they find themselves at the wrong end of the table, a mere 3 points off 18th place. A lot of this has been down to horrendous injuries to key players which has meant that Moyes has had to chop and change for much of the season. For much of the season they lacked a creative spark in the middle of the park with both Mikel Arteta and Steven Pienaar missing most of the season. The latter is now back fit and has played in the last 3 league matches which has saw a dramatic improvement in terms of chances made and goals scored. They have managed 6 in 3 games, gaining draws in all of these matches against 3 sides in top form. Draws with Birmingham, Chelsea and Spurs may just be what they need to kick-start their season.

It could be argued that this match is destined to end in a draw as both sides have only won one game apiece in their last nine fixtures. I believe Everton are gathering a bit of momentum however and with their injuries beginning to clear and key personnel playing more regularly they are due a victory. They have had a tough run of fixtures of late yet are unbeaten in 3. An away match over the Christmas period is right up Davie Moyes’ alley. They defeated Middlesbrough last Boxing day at the Riverside and I firmly believe they are capable of returning from the North East with 3 points once again. Everton have also won on their last 4 visits to the Stadium of Light.

My selection: Everton to beat Sunderland

Best odds available: 11/5 available with Victor Chandler

 

English Championship

Sheffield Wednesday v Newcastle United (12.45)

A meeting of two sides who are experiencing completely different fortunes at this moment in time as league leaders Newcastle make a short trip to the steel city to take on beleaguered Wednesday at Hillsborough.

Sheffield Wednesday are currently in the process of looking for a new manager after sacking Brian Laws earlier this month. His removal as manager has not done much to the performances on the park as the Owl’s were comfortably beaten on Saturday by Swansea at home. There seems to be a real lack of quality at the club at the moment which is surprising considering the heroes the Wednesday fans used to have not so long ago. There doesn’t seem to be anyone willing to take responsibility on the field which is a sad indictment for such an illustrious and successful club. As well as a lack of genuine quality at the club, there is immense fear and the confidence must be at an all time low. They have not won a match since October, lost their last 6 in the league and currently sit 3rd bottom. It’s an unenviable task facing the new manager whoever it may be.

Newcastle on the other hand are absolutely flying at the minute. Chris Houghton’s men have stretched their lead to 10 points at the top of the table and are currently on a run of 9 games unbeaten, a run in which they have won 8. They are proving to be far too good for most of the other teams in the league and it may even be a record points haul if they continue in their current form. Key to their success this season has been Kevin Nolan. The former Bolton captain has been a rock in centre of midfield and has also popped up with vital goals in games which the Magpies have not been playing well. He has an influence in the team which gets the most out of players around him. He’s the clubs top scorer with 9 and has been a virtual ever present, missing just the two games all season. The midfield in general is extremely strong with Jonas Gutierrez (an Argentine regular), Alan Smith and Danny Guthrie all comfortably capable of playing in the Premier League. Upfront they are beginning to get it right as well with the return of Shola Ameobi back from injury and scoring at the weekend. His partnership with Marlon Harewood, although not the most prolific, will be troublesome for teams in the division as they never stop all game and will create plenty of space for the midfield to take advantage of.

  It’s one of these games which looks cut and dried and although football is never cut and dry, this is probably one of the closest you’ll get. I can’t see many sides stopping the Geordie Juggernaut the way they are going and I especially can’t see hapless Wednesday doing it. Newcastle are a standout 5/6 with Victor Chandler.

My selection: Newcastle to beat Sheffield Wednesday

Best odds available: 5/6 available with Victor Chandler

 

Scottish Premier League

Celtic v Hamilton

Celtic look to put the disappointment of their weekend loss to Hearts behind them when they welcome Billy Reid’s Hamilton to Parkhead on Boxing Day.

I previewed the trip to Tynecastle on my last blog so there’s nothing much new to report. Celtic still suffer from the same old failings at the back whilst they are still creating a plethora of chances at the other end but failing to take the majority of them. Another calamitous lapse in concentration from a central defender, this time Glenn Loovens, resulted in a penalty and a red card for fellow centre half, Gary Caldwell. Despite being down to 10 men for much of the game, Celtic were still way ahead in terms of quality, creating chances and playing the better football. It’s difficult to stress how far ahead they are of the likes of Hearts, Dundee United and Motherwell, especially when the results are so close and when they drop points to these teams but the crux of the matter is they are a lot, lot better than these kind of teams, well they are going forward. There is a lack of leadership at the back and players are not taking responsibility for their actions, especially at cross balls.

Hamilton never played at the weekend due to the blizzards on the West coast on Saturday so will be eager to go. They are coming into this match having won their last two and with only one defeat in their last 6 so confidence should be high. Reid has found a settled team for the first time this season in the last couple of months which has helped dramatically, especially in midfield. Captain Alex Neil has made a big difference on his return from injury whilst the two James’, MacArthur and Wesolowski have struck up a good partnership just infront him Neil.  It will come as no surprise to note that Billy Reid’s men will come to Parkhead to try and frustrate Celtic with a strict 4-5-1 formation with little adventure likely. Their plan will be to keep it tight until half time and get the home fans on their hero’s backs.

Celtic have won every meeting between these sides since Hamilton’s promotion last season. Their matches at New Douglas Park have been far closer than the ones at Parkhead. Hamilton’s last two visits to the East End of Glasgow have witnessed two comfortable 4-0 wins for the home side and I do not envisage anything different come Saturday. Celtic have created a barrow load of chances in nearly all of their matches under Mowbray and it really is a matter of time before they win by 5, 6 or 7. They are 4 points and 9 goals worse off than top of the table Rangers so know that Saturday is a perfect chance to go about mending those differences.

My selections: Celtic (-2) to beat Hamilton at a best priced 13/8 with Skybet

Celtic to win both halves at a best priced 6/4 with Skybet

Marc Antoine Fortune to score anytime and Celtic to win at a best priced 11/8 with Boylesports




Weekend British betting preview

December 19th, 2009 / callum

Apologies for the late post, I was holding off as much as possible to see which games will survive the horrific weather conditions in the country today.

 Saturday 19th December

Scottish Premier League

St Johnstone v St Mirren

Gus McPherson takes his St Mirren side to MacDiarmid Park to take on St Johnstone in a match that will give the victors some much needed breathing space at the foot of the table.

The home side have earned many plaudits from other clubs managers and supporters for their exciting approach to the game. They have the 5th highest goals for in the league which is no mean feat for a side who have just been promoted to the top league in Scotland. They have, however, conceded the most amount of goals in the league, with 29, 4 more than any other team. Their cause is not likely to be helped today with Derek McInnes’ missing at least 7 players for today’s match. One of those who is definitely out of the game is Collin Samuel. The striker is not only his teams top scorer, he’s also arguably their most important player. He leads the line well and gives them the option to go in behind with his pace.

St Mirren have struggled for wins off late, with none in their last 6 league matches. It’s a bit of surprise that they have struggled as much lately, especially after comfortable wins over Hearts and Falkirk in October. They have missed their talisman Andy Dorman in recent weeks as the Welsh International has picked up a long term injury. His absence has taken away a lot of the creativity from the St Mirren side. The emphasis for McPherson’s side is now more on getting the ball up earlier to their physical strikers, Michael Higdon and Billy Mehmet. Both were troublesome for the Falkirk defence last week, with the former netting a spectacular goal in the 1-1 draw.

The spoils were shared when these sides last met back in September. The parks were far better than what they are now, the players were fresher and there was still a surprise element to St Johnstone’s style of play. 3 month’s on, the parks are beginning to cut up, the  squads are  suffering from injuries and suspension and there is the suspicion that other teams are becoming wise to McInnes’ tactics. This is highlighted by a defeat to Kilmarnock in their last home match. Killie, much like St Mirren, were coming off the back of a poor run of form and their style of play is very similar to that of Gus McPherson’s side. With that in mind, and with the amount of key players the home side are missing, I just feel that St Mirren have the knack of winning against teams in and around them, especially when they’re not playing too well.

My selection: St Mirren to beat St Johnstone

Best odds available: 9/4 available with several bookmakers including Coral

 

English League 1

Norwich v Huddersfield

A match between these two sides at this time of year has all the makings of a Christmas cracker as Paul Lambert’s 3rd placed City play host to 5th placed Town.

Paul Lambert has transformed the fortunes of the Carrow road side since his appointment in August. He has got the team playing exciting and productive football which has catapulted them up the league table, sitting comfortably within the play-off positions and with a real chance of automatic promotion. He has built his side around his captain, Grant Holt. The prolific striker has already notched 13 goals this season since his move from Shrewsbury in the summer. It’s not just goals which Holt brings to the side; he is an excellent team player. He holds the ball up, he links up well with the midfield and is always willing to work back to help out his defenders. His performances, coupled with the consistent displays by his team-mates, have resulted in only 1 defeat in 16 league matches. This is a staggering run of form at any time in any league, but it’s even more impressive when it’s a new manager in such a fiercely competitive league.

I’ve previewed Huddersfield several times already this season so I think we all know what I think of them. I am a big fan of their attacking philosophy both home and away and I fully expect them to be in the promotion shake-up at the end of the season. Lee Clark will know that these games will be the true test of how far his team has come this season as Norwich have only lost 1 game at home all season, and that was under former manager Bryan Gunn. Town have let themselves down on the road this season, picking up just 8 points from a possible 30. They will know that they have to improve on their travels, sooner rather than later.

Having watched both sides on a couple of occasions this term, I think this will be an open match with more than a couple of goals and both sides scoring. The managers are attacking by nature and set their teams up to win games. Huddersfield showed a couple of weeks ago when drawing 2-2 at Elland Road that they are able to give anyone a game, home or away. Norwich, however, are very strong at home and I just think that Holt and Chris Martin will pose too much of a threat to a porous Huddersfield defence.

My selection:  Norwich to beat Huddersfield

Best odds available: 11/10 available with several bookmakers including Bet365

 

Sunday 20th December

Scottish Premier League

Hearts v Celtic

This fixture has proved to be problematic for Celtic in recent times as they never get it easy when travelling to Tynecastle to take on suspension and injury ravaged Hearts.

Hearts have had a disastrous start to the season and currently find themselves in 8th position, 6 points off of the bottom and 20 points off top spot. Their discipline has once again let them down, especially recently. They have had 3 red cards in the last 4 matches which has been extremely detrimental to their fortunes and results. They have only picked up 1 win in 9 league games which is basically relegation form in any league. For tomorrow’s match, they will be missing Ian Black and Suso Santana who are both suspended whilst Christian Nade is also set to miss out due to injury. This will likely mean a start for fit again Calum Elliot upfront which will mean even more reliance on their midfielders to get forward in support.

Celtic have turned their season around in recent weeks with 5 games unbeaten and some very encouraging performances in the process. 3 home wins in a row was followed by a come from behind victory away to Motherwell and then most recently on Thursday night, they secured a morale boosting 3-3 draw in Europe, despite being 3-0 down inside 20 minutes. In all 5 of these matches they have demonstrated a strong resolve as well as a will to win which was sadly lacking in some games at the start of the season. A lot of this will be down to a settled team, especially in the centre of the pitch. Marc Crosas has formed a very decent partnership with Landry N’Guemo in midfield whilst Gary Caldwell and Glenn Loovens are settled at the back as are Scott McDonald and Girgios Samaras upfront. This consistency has meant more impressive performances and improved confidence in the side. One man pushing for a start is Marc-Antoine Fortune. The £3.8m striker has scored 3 in his last 2 so will be hoping to dislodge Samaras, especially as the Greek is struggling with injury.

These games are very competitive and the midfield will play a big part for both sides. Aiden McGeady, despite being in danger of missing the derby match in January, will most likely play and he is in excellent form. He creates chances and has added goals in recent months, with 5 already in the league. Hearts have been very poor of late, but it would not be a surprise to anyone if they turn in a strong performance tomorrow. Even still, Celtic are in good form and will always score goals, with their increased confidence and key players finding form, I fancy them to win tomorrow.

My selection: Celtic to beat Hearts

Best odds available: 4/6 available with Totesport

Good Luck and Merry Christmas




Saturday’s British betting preview

December 4th, 2009 / callum

Saturday 5th December

English Premier League

Manchester City v Chelsea

Money meets even more money as Mark Hughes’ City look to end their run of 7 successive league draws when they take on all conquering Chelsea who sit 5 points clear at the top of the table.

Man City have been something of an enigma all season long. They have flattered to deceive on occasions but at other times have been scintillating and shown glimpses of a side capable of matching the best. They’ve brushed Arsenal aside twice already this term, once in the league and once in the cup, whilst they have put in credible performances away to Liverpool and city rivals United but have come away with just one point from those two games. Their defeat in the derby game is, to date, their only loss in the league thus far which proves them as being one of the toughest nuts to crack in the EPL this season. They have, however, been let down with draws against the likes of Burnley, Fulham and Hull at home along with poor performance on the road at places such as Birmingham and Wigan. Even if they had won 3 of those games they would have been in a much healthier position than their current standing of 7th, 3 points off 4th placed Arsenal.

Chelsea have been very impressive all season. Not only have they been impressive, they’ve been extremely consistent for much of it as well. Apart from 2 slip up’s away to Wigan and Aston Villa, they have a flawless record with 12 wins from 14 matches. The ease of some of their wins has also caught the eye. Since losing 2-1 to Villa in October, they have won 6 in a row in the league, scored 17 and conceded 0. It is breathtaking form and it’s even more impressive when you take into account the fact that they have played Arsenal and Manchester United in that run of fixtures. These are two sides who lie 2nd and 4th in the league at this point in time so it’s safe to say that Carlo Ancelotti’s charges are sitting top because they are purely the best team in the country currently. Last week’s London derby at the Emirates was so comfortably for the away side it was scary. They were under very little pressure throughout the game but were quite willing to allow Arsenal to have the ball for much of the match, confident in their defensive ability to withstand the quick passing as they kept them 30 yards from goal. It was the footballing equivalent of keeping a midget at arm’s length if we’re being honest. Going forward they were powerful, clinical and precise. Didier Drogba and Nicholas Anelka have been excellent all season and they caused the Gunners all sorts of problems.

City proved earlier in the season that they can compete with the top four sides. They have not been embarrassed by any of Arsenal, Man United or Liverpool, far from it. The thing they have to do now is not only do they have to compete; they have to better them on a regular basis. They won’t get a much stiffer task than that of Chelsea in their current form. Emmanuel Adebayor will be their focal point in attack with Carlos Tevez almost certain to partner him after his goal in midweek. It will be interesting to see who operates on the left. Will Craig Bellamy, who turned in a man of the match performance in that game, be preferred to the now fit again Robinho? It’s difficult to say, Bellamy will certainly be more efficient in terms of the shape of the team and tracking back, but he doesn’t have the same ability as the little Brazilian.

Chelsea will line up very similar to that of last Sunday’s team with Drogba and Anelka supported by Joe Cole upfront. Their midfield trio of Lampard, Essien and the returning Michael Ballack is so strong it’s difficult to imagine City’s midfield dominating them.

People will tell you that the value pick is to go with City as they have lost just once all season and will be on a high after Wednesday’s win over Arsenal. However, there’s not many, if any, teams in World football at the moment who would get the better of Chelsea on form so I don’t see any other result other than an away win to make it 5 wins in a row for Chelsea at Eastlands.

My selection: Chelsea to beat Manchester City

Best odds available: 10/11 available with several bookmakers including Betfred

 

English League 1

Swindon Town v Leyton Orient

Just a slightly less affluent fixture as we delve back into reality football when Danny Wilson’s inform Swindon entertain poor travellers Leyton Orient at the County ground.

Swindon have struck 3 wins together in the league on the bounce after a run of poor form which as seen them climb to 10th and just 3 points off of the last play-off spot in a tightly congested league. They have had excellent wins over Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle away as well as a very decent win over highflying Huddersfield at home last time out in the league. They have lost just once at home and just the 3 in total so it’s no surprise that they have the promotion in their sights. They are arguably strongest in the midfield where they have a plethora of good players at this level. Simon Ferry is on loan from Celtic and has been a stand-out for Wilson’s men this season alongside Jonathan Douglas who joined from Leeds in the summer. These two make the side tick in the middle of the park so it’s important Douglas will be fit to take his place in the side.

Orient are sitting relatively safe with a 5 point cushion over 21st placed Brighton but know they will have to start to improve their away form to make sure of their survival later in the season. Their home form is good with 7 points from a possible 9 most recent but they have failed to pick up a point away from home in the league since the beginning of October. In total, they have lost 6 on the road this season with their two successes coming against Wycombe and Bristol Rovers as well as a point against Yeovil. They have lost, amongst others, at Leeds, Huddersfield and Norwich.

Although Swindon are not quite at the level of the three teams mentioned above, they are still good and I think they’ll be too classy in the midfield for an Orient side who haven’t even managed a goal in their last 3 away reverses.

My selection: Swindon to beat Leyton Orient

Best price available: 4/5 available with several bookmakers including Coral

Scottish Premier League

Celtic v Aberdeen

Third and final preview takes us North to Scotland as league leaders Celtic will be looking to stay top as they take on a buoyant Dons side who defeated the other team from Glasgow last weekend when they were victorious against Rangers at Pittodrie.

Celtic have been strong at home this season with 4 wins and 2 draws from their 6 matches. They have been inconsistent away from home but still remain hard to get the better of when they are infront of their home fans. In the last week they have beaten St Mirren 3-1 and won 2-0 in Europe against Tel Aviv, both at Parkhead. In both those games, the winning margin could have been much greater with missed chances aplenty. It is likely Tony Mowbray will line up with Scott McDonald and Giorgios Samaras in attack for the 3rd successive match with big money signing Marc Antoine Fortune once again on the bench. It’s midfield where Celtic create most of their opportunities with Aiden McGeady in fine form of late and the midfield partnership of Landry N’Guemo and Marc Crosas beginning to show signs of blossoming.

Aberdeen have been mean on the road and have the 2nd best away defensive record. Mark McGhee has attempted to build from the back and has worked to an extent. They will be on a high following their 1-0 win over Rangers last weekend but will have to do without their captain Mark Kerr for Saturday’s visit as he was sent off in that game. They have already kept two clean sheets against Rangers this season but that does not really tell the story. Rangers missed chance after chance in both games and let Aberdeen off the hook on so many occasions.

I don’t envisage this being too much of a test for Celtic other than their own poor finishing. Aberdeen worked so hard last week, especially when down to 10 men and they’ll find it hard to reach those same levels again so soon after, especially away from home. Celtic will create chances, there is nothing surer so providing their strikers are in form, and I think they’re due a big home win, I can see them winning starting minus a goal.

My selection: Celtic (-1) to beat Aberdeen

Best odds available: 11/10 available with Skybet

Good luck and happy punting




Matches that draw at half-time but give a definite result at full time (part 3)

November 26th, 2009 / cyril

Matches that draw at half-time but give a definite result at full time (part 3)

LE CHAMPIONNAT.
This is probably the "tightest" league out there.
Not one club is averaging 2 goals or over per game. This makes for "tight" games, obviously.
Recommendations can only be, "PROCEED WITH CAUTION".

France Ligue 1 overall draws

  half time draws % full time draws %
P.S.G. 63,6 36,4
TOULOUSE 50,1 25,1
RENNES 50,1 33,3
NANCY 50,1 16,7
LE MANS 50,1 16,7

France Ligue 1 home draws

  half time draws % full time draws %
TOULOUSE 83,3 0,1
MONTPELLIER 80,1 20,1
LILLE 66,7 50,1
P.S.G. 60,1 40,1
VALENCIENNES 50,1 33,3
LORIENT 50,1 0,1
LE MANS 50,1 33,3

France Ligue 1 away draws

  half time draws % full time draws %
ST. ETIENNE 80,1 0,1
RENNES 66,7 50,1
NANCY 62,5 12,5
P.S.G 57,1 28,6
BOULOGNE 50,1 33,3
BORDEAUX 50,1 16,7

PORTUGAL SUPA LIGA.
The stand-out team here is Leixoes. At least as far as non-drawn games are concerned.
Sporting Braga are also worth a consideration.

Portugal Liga Sagres overall draws

  half time draws % full time draws %
OLHANENSE 70,1 50,1
SP.LISBON 60,1 50,1
LEIXOES 60,1 20,1
U.LEIRIA 60,1 50,1
SP. BRAGA 60,1 10,1
ACADEMICA 60,1 40,1
V. GUIMARAES 60,1 40,1

Portugal Liga Sagres home draws

  half time draws % full time draws %
SP. LISBON 80,1 40,1
LEIXOS 80,1 40,1
NAVAL 60,1 20,1
U. LEIRIA 60,1 60,1
V. GUIMARAES 60,1 40,1
PORTO 60,1 20,1
SP.BRAGA 60,1 0,1

Portugal Liga Sagres away draws

  half time draws % full time draws %
OLHANENSE 100,1 80,1
ACADEMICA 80,1 40,1
RIO AVE 60,1 60,1
U. LEIRIA 60,1 40,1
V.GUIMARAES 60,1 40,1
SP. BRAGA 60,1 20,1
BELENENSES 60,1 80,1

NETHERLANDS. EREDIVISION.
Here draws, in general, are pretty scarce. Averaging a little better than one every five games.
Goal-less draws appear about once in twenty matches. Qiute a plus.
Sides like TWENTE  and HEERENVEEN are worth consideration.

Netherlands Eredivisie overall draws

  half time draws % full time draws %
TWENTE 50,1 14,3
RODA 50,1 28,6
UTRECHT 46,2 30,8
HEERENVEEN 46,2 15,4
GRONINGEN 42,9 28,6

Netherlands Eredivisie home draws

  half time draws % full time draws %
RODA 71,4 28,6
NAC 57,1 28,6
TWENTE 50,1 12,5
HERACLES 50,1 16,7
WILLEM 11 50,1 16,7

Netherlands Eredivisie away draws

  half time draws % full time draws %
FEYENOORD 57,1 28,6
UTRECHT 50,1 33,3
TWENTE 50,1 16,7
SPARTA 50,1 33,3
PSV. 50,1 33,3
HEERENVEEN 50,1 0,1

SCOTTISH PREMIER.
This league has the MOST full time draws of the FIFTY-THREE leagues I studied.
35.2 %. ; With almost half of these being goal-less.  Not really a league to have too much confidence in.

Scotland Premier League overall draws

  half time draws % full time draws %
FALKIRK 75,1 41,7
DUNDEE UTD 60,1 40,1
ST MIRREN 58,3 33,3
MOTHERWELL 58,3 58,3
HIBERNIAN 58,3 33,3
ABERDEEN 50,1 50,1

Scotland Premier League home draws

  half time draws % full time draws %
FALKIRK 100,1 50,1
DUNDEE UTD 75,1 25,1
ST. MIRREN 57,1 57,1
MOTHERWELL 50,1 33,3
KILMARNOCK 50,1 33,3
HIBERNIAN 50,1 16,7
HEARTS. 50,1 33,3

Scotland Premier League away draws

  half time draws % full time draws %
RANGERS 75,1 50,1
MOTHERWELL 66,7 83,3
HIBERNIAN 66,7 50,1
ABERDEEN 66,7 66,7
ST MIRREN. 60,1 0,1

Remember the THREE basic rules:
DISCIPLINE
DISCIPLINE
DISCIPLINE.




European Football Preview (England/Scotland/Spain/Italy)

September 26th, 2008 / gerard

Folks,

Welcome to my post, I am to deliver previews of the biggest European games each weekend as well as in-depth analysis of how to make you money. I have an accurate strategy which aims to minimize risk and utilise a spread betting systemhealthy return which should still guarantee an .

I am based in the UK but have contacts in Scotland, Spain and Italy meaning an up-to-date insight of European Football. My picks this weekend will focus on teams on the road, therefore better odds on top teams, when teams are playing away they are quite unpredictable, but if you bet across numerous leagues picking big teams then the risk is lessened.

The English Premiership drums up some very interesting fixtures this weekend.

As an avid Liverpool fan, I have to discuss the Merseyside Derby. Liverpool were uninventive against Stoke and lazy against Crewe yet they still remain undefeated in the league. How £40 million pounds worth of strikers haven’t clicked yet, I do not know, it drives me up the walls without being too bias. This match is always fiery and produces goals, it’s maybe Robbie Keanes time to step up to the plate and produce the goods. Im sticking my neck on the line and going for an away win, Everton are scoring goals with Cahill getting back to form but their defence is hardly water tight at the moment.

Back Liverpool, odds (6/5).(Bet Direct/Skybet/Stan James)

Newcastle are on a downward spirral at the moment, the talk of El Tel taking over will also not bear will with the faithful Geordies. The talks with a Nigerian consurtium are also promising, the sooner Mike Ashley moves on the better. They need stability, security, and patience. Whether King Kev returns or not, the new manager should be given sufficient time and money, but this weekend I feel spells more doom and gloom, even Tottenham beat Newcastle this week!! Blackburn to edge this one just.

Back Blackburn, odds (2/1)(Ladbrokes)

My other picks for this weekend in the Premiership are Chelsea (2/5) Bet 365) to easily overturn Stoke, and Man City (7/5) Ladbrokes) (Goal Machines) to overturn Wigan in a game that will produce a lot of drama.

The Scottish divisions are a speciality of mine, I have lived in Edinburgh for three years and the Scottish people are very passionate about their football. I have learnt a lot from uber enthusiam regarding the beautiful game, fitba as they call it.

My Scottish banker this weekend is – Rangers.

Rangers to come to Edinburgh and take all three points against Hibs. Rangers only have the league to play for this year, and Hibs are just getting over a somewhat sticky start. ( Back Rangers 8/11 (Bet 365)

Across Europe we also have some interesting teams on the road. All three teams have performed comfortably well on the road recently, both Barca and Madrid hammered the helpless Sporting Gijon, so I feel Villareal will comfortably follow suit. I can’t help but add Real Madrid and Barcelona to my coupons, they have superstars thoughout their team and are arguably world beaters on their day. Just be careful to mix your away selections accordingly picking one or two teams from each league, reducing the risk.

Villareal vs Sporting Gijon.(4/6 Ladbrokes)

Barcelona vs Espanyol. (17/20 Centrebet)

Real Madrid vs Betis. (9/10 Betdirect)

 

Apologies I have recently fractured my thumb and typing is frustrating at the moment, anyway best of luck this weekend, and don’t hesitate to get in touch with any questions!!

Gerard















































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