William Hill

The 32Red Handicap Chase is likely to prove the biggest betting heat of the day on a competitive card at Sandown and it’s no surprise that several of the big national hunt yards are represented.

Nicky Henderson runs two with November’s Cheltenham winner Tanks For That heading the weights and available at 9/2 with Paddy Power. The choice of stable jockey Barry Geraghty, he has plenty in common with stablemate Dave’s Dream, however, as both departed at the fourth-last behind Astracad at Cheltenham last time. Dave’s Dream (10/1 with William Hill) has still to win in handicap company over fences and remains high enough in the weights, while King Edmond (8/1 with Paddy Power) was raised 7lb for winning at Ascot last month, though regular jockey Tom Cannon again takes off 5lb with his claim and his partner has been on good terms with himself in general since the autumn.

Hold Fast could also be interesting as he’s weighted to reverse running with Newbury winner Rileyev (5/1 with Paddy Power) on better terms. The eight-year-old was having his first run for Paul Nicholls that day so is likely to improve and can be backed at 11/2 with William Hill, though he can take the odd liberty with his fences which won’t aid his cause on the tricky Esher circuit. Nomcheki‘s comeback second at Chepstow seems a long time ago now and he’s worth opposing at William Hill‘s 25/1 while Darceys Dancer (16/1 with the same firm) may struggle at this level and Pret A Thou (9/1 with Victor Chandler and Paddy Power)  likes very soft ground, which he had when just touched off in the Castleford Chase at Wetherby over Christmas. That leaves All For Free.

This is undoubtedly a step up in grade for Martin Keighley‘s six-year-old but his chase career has come on in leaps and bounds over the last few weeks. He annihilated a field of novices at Ascot and also had plenty in hand when scoring under a penalty at Ludlow five days later. He’s possibly the only one of these still on an upward curve and looks well worth a bet to complete the hat-trick at William Hill’s 9/2.

Since 1999, only two teams outside of the Old Firm have won the Scottish Cup. Dundee United, two years ago, and Hearts, in 2006, are the only clubs who have managed to break the Glasgow monopoly so it’s no surprise that bookmakers aren’t looking outside the big two as the SPL clubs join the competition.

Holders Celtic have won the Scottish Cup four times in the last eight years and are 9/4 with Stan James and William Hill to retain their trophy. The Hoops started the season slowly but a 10-match winning run, combined with Rangers‘ loss of form, has propelled them to the top of the SPL and manager Neil Lennon will now be eyeing a double that seemed most unlikely just a few weeks ago when the Gers had a big lead in the title race. Given their history in the competition and current form it’s difficult to put anyone off backing Celtic, who have reached the final 19 times alongside their record 35 wins, though their arch-rivals can also be backed at the same 9/4 with the same two firms. Big hitters might consider backing both, which would give you combined odds of 5/8, as the Old Firm are a class above the other teams in Scotland, though it’s 10 years since Rangers and Celtic met in the final itself in Hampden.

Hearts are next best in most lists and are available at 12/1 with bet365 and William Hill. Paulo Sergio‘s team look to have a straightforward task against part-timers Auchinleck Talbot in the fourth round but the Edinburgh club’s financial woes may lead to several of their first-team squad departing before the end of the transfer window with their places being taken by members of the youth team. With potential disaster looming, there is surely better value elsewhere if looking for a team to challenge the domination of the Old Firm or profit from them being drawn against each other before the final. Of course, you will need luck in-running but how about a speculative each-way bet on Dundee United?

Outside of the top two, the Terrors (a general 14/1) have the best recent record in the competition and traditionally do better in the second of the season than the first. Admittedly, they’ve hardly set the SPL alight this term but always look as though they have a goal or two in them which is more than be said about the likes of Aberdeen (20/1 with bet365, Stan James and William Hill) or Hibernian (a general 25/1). Kilmarnock (a general 33/1) look to be on a downward curve and Motherwell (14/1 in most places) have also hit the buffers but Dunfermline Athletic have a proud recent record in the Scottish Cup having reached the final twice since the turn of the century. Jim McIntyre‘s side currently prop up the SPL but the cup may bring some relief from their woes and the Pars can be backed at 66/1 with Betfred, Coral and William Hill, which means you are getting 33/1 about them reaching the final again in the place part of an each-way bet. Providing they get through a tricky opener at Inverness CT and the draw is kind thereafter, those odds will start to look attractive.

Plenty of usual suspects face the starter in the latest of what is fast becoming a pre-requisite handicap chase over 2m5f at every Cheltenham meeting. This one is sponsored by Victor Chandler and champion trainer Paul Nicholls once again provides the top weight in The Nightingale (a general 14/1) and a fancied runner further down the weights in the shape of Ghizao.

Ruby Walsh rides the latter so it’s fair to presume he is the stable selection. Bookmakers and punters certainly think so and the eight-year-old, who beat subsequent Arkle Chase winner Captain Chris twice as a novice, is only a general 6/1. He hasn’t run badly in either start this season but never really jumped with any fluency behind Quantitiveeasing over C&D last time and has ground to make up on Calgary Bay on that run.

Henrietta Knight‘s gelding usually runs well at Cheltenham but hasn’t won for a while. But that could all change in this New Year feature if he can lie up with the pace as he’ll be reeling in the front-runners up the hill. At 8/1 with most layers, Calgary Bay looks a cast-iron each-way bet and Duke Of Lucca should also be in the firing-line. Novices don’t have a great recent record in this contest but Philip Hobbs’ charge could be the exception that proves the rule. A very decent hurdler over this sort of distance, he spread-eagled an ordinary field at Wincanton after a couple of sighters and, though his jumping will be put under pressure by these experienced handicappers, it would be no surprise to see him go close at Boylesports and Stan James‘ 6/1.

Crescent Island (14/1 with Boylesports) and Hector’s Choice (20/1 with Victor Chandler) look closely matched on Newbury running behind Chance Du Roy and are capable of making their presence felt but it would need a giant leap of faith to support Cape Tribulation (21/1 on betfair) after he was pulled up early on at Haydock two weeks ago and the bottom six on the racecard are all carrying more than their allotted weight. The best of those may be Havingotascoobydo, who has been placed twice over shorter trips at Cheltenham recently. He can be backed at 7/1 with Skybet and William Hill, though his jumping can still be a little novicey at times. Hell’s Bay won a big prize last season but was pulled up when favourite on his reappearance at Ascot, hence his 14/1 quote from Betfred, Boylesports and totesport. Calgary Bay is taken to land the spoils with Duke Of Lucca to chase him home.

• Calgary Bay to win the Bet With Your Mobile at Victor Chandler Chase at a general 8/1
• Duke Of Lucca to win the Bet With Your Mobile at Victor Chandler Chase at 6/1 with Boylesports and Stan James

A big weight isn’t necessarily a barrier to success in the Coral Welsh National. Many will remember the brilliant-but-flawed Carvill’s Hill blundering and bunny-hopping his way around Chepstow under a welter burden in 1991. Indeed Synchronised, under an inspired A P McCoy, defied 11st6lb 12 months ago and the six-year-old Halcon Genelardais carried 11st3lb to victory in 2006. But, generally speaking, it’s those with less than 11st to shoulder who have held the upper hand in this traditional stamina test in recent times and ante-post punters this year have latched on to Victor Dartnall‘s Giles Cross.

Available at a general 6/1, the nine-year-old undoubtedly has impeccable credentials. A dual course winner, he was just beaten by Synchronised in the race 12 months ago and comes here at the top of his game having ended a frustrating sequence of placed efforts with victory in the Southern National at Fontwell on his reappearance. Viking Blond is only 8/1 with most layers but doesn’t appear that well handicapped on his form over fences so far and more interesting is Le Beau Bai (10/1 with Betfred). Third in the Welsh National two years ago, he came back to form at the track earlier this month. Though he seems to have been around forever, Richard Lee‘s gelding is still only an eight-year-old though was pulled up behind Giles Cross at Fontwell.

Another interesting contender is Galaxy Rock, who represents last year’s successful trainer. Ahead of Ballyfitz (25/1 with Betfred and Coral), subsequent Newbury Hennessy victor Carruthers (10/1 with Boylesports, Victor Chandler and Coral) and recent Newcastle winner Hey Big Spender (18/1 with Victor Chandler) at Cheltenham on his latest start, Jonjo O’Neill‘s stayer still appears to be improving and should give supporters a run for their money at the general 10/1.

The penalised Cannington Brook (16/1 with Boylesports) isn’t certain to confirm Haydock running with runner-up Our Island, however, and Tim Vaughan‘s lightly-weighted novice could be a decent each-way bet here at Boylesports and Paddy Power‘s 25/1 but I’ll put up David Pipe‘s Master Overseer as the value bet. Very lightly-raced, he didn’t do himself justice behind Le Beau Bai at the track earlier this month but this slog through the mud will be right up his street and he normally jumps better than he did last time. At William Hill‘s 20/1, Master Overseer is probably a few points too big and makes more appeal than As De Fer (12/1 with bet365, Ladbrokes and Boylesports) in this grade.

• Master Overseer (Each-Way) in the Welsh National at 20/1 with William Hill
• Our Island (Each-Way) in the Welsh National at 25/1 with Boylesports and Paddy Power

Lee Westwood is a best-priced 4/1 with Victor Chandler to win his first Major in 2012 after ending this year with a victory in the Thailand Championship. No one would be more deserving of a Major next year than the Worksop-born 38-year-old, who has been at the very top of his profession for more years that anyone cares to remember, but that first success in one of the four big tournaments of the year continues to elude hime. If he could just put together four rounds of the quality he showed in the opening 36 holes in Thailand, there are few in world golf who could live with Westwood. Rounds of 60 and 64 had the prize in safe-keeping at the halfway stage and his final 22 under-par total was seven shots too good for US Masters champion Charl Schwartzel.

Another English golfer still seeking a maiden Major  is world number one Luke Donald. I suspect if asked, the world number one would have traded his five victories in the US and Europe in 2011 for one of the Majors but, at 34, he still has a few years ahead of him in which to gate-crash one of the big ones and can be backed at the same 4/1 as Westwood with Victor Chandler to end his wait next year with the US Masters (16/1) currently rated his best chance with William Hill. You can get 9/4 with Victor Chandler that an Englishman wins a Major in 2012, which on the face of it appears fair value as the likes of Justin Rose, Paul Casey and Ian Poulter have all shown enough to suggest they’ll be thereabouts in at least of the couple of the Majors.

It’s been a traumatic year for Tiger Woods but the former world number one has shown he is no back number over the last couple of months and can be expected to storm back up the rankings again in 2012. He is only 7/4 with Boylesports to win a Major next year and 9/2 with sportingbet and Victor Chandler to top the US PGA Tour money list. Donald can be backed at 12/1 with Skybet to repeat this season’s notable achievement while Rory McIlroy is 9/1 with the same firm. American sensation Webb Simpson is 18/1 with bet365 and Paddy Power. McIlroy is 9/2 with Skybet to top the European rankings and win the Race To Dubai.

Silent film homage The Artist has proved a surprise hit at the box office in America and leads the nominations for the 2012 Golden Globes. The French production, which was filmed in black and white, isn’t out in the UK until the 30th December but has already been tipped for best musical and comedy and its stars, Jean Dujardin and Berenice Bejo, are the early front-runners for best actor and actress.

The annual gala, which takes place on the 15th January, is the first major event of the Hollywood awards season and it’s often a good indicator of opinion ahead of the Oscars. Bearing that in mind, it’s no surprise that The Artist is currently heading the betting for Best Film at the Academy Awards at 7/4 with William Hill and bodog. Stephen Spielberg‘s evocative War Horse, 7/2 with Paddy Power, Skybet and Stan James, is also proving popular with punters in the category and Martin Scorcese‘s Hugo (8/1 with bodog, Skybet and Stan James) could make a late run. The Girl With A Dragon Tattoo (25/1 with Paddy Power and Skybet) has had mixed reviews, however, and looks as though it will continue to divide opinion as much as Stieg Larsson‘s orginal novel.

The good news about the Golden Globes is that Ricky Gervais will again host the event. Having torn Johnny Depp and Angelina Jolie to shreds last year, which Hollywood superstar will get the full treatment from the British comic this time? Kenneth Branagh leads the British nominations in the Golden Globes, having been put forward as best supporting actor for playing Laurence Olivier opposite Michelle Williams‘ Marilyn Monroe in My Week With Marilyn. Williams is sure to be a front-runner for Best Actress at the Oscars for her role as the tragic blonde bombshell (currently a general 9/4) but Meryl Streep is receiving much acclaim for her portrayal of Margaret Thatcher in The Iron Lady. Having seen many Thatcher impersonators over the years, I’m not certain that Streep‘s version of the former PM is any better than Steve Nallon or Angela Thorne‘s depiction and the storyline is a little vague at times but it’s the kind of thing Hollywood loves so it’s no surprise that the multi-accented veteran is only a best 11/10 with Paddy Power, Stan James and William Hill to win Best Actress at the Oscars.

Paddy Power Gold Cup winner Great Endeavour certainly isn’t being allowed to rest on his laurels and the grey will line up for the Spinal Research The Atlantic 4 Gold Cup at Cheltenham this weekend just two weeks after another brave run in the Hennessy at Newbury.

The grey will no doubt appreciate the drop back in distance as 3m2f clearly taxed his stamina in the Hennessy but he’s gone up a further 6lb in the weights recently and may be worth opposing now at the general 8/1 as there is every chance that both Quantitiveeasing and Divers, second and third in the Paddy Power, can now turn the tables. The pair are old rivals having finished second and first respectively in a valuable novices’ handicap at The Festival in March. Just under three lengths separated them that day and Nicky Henderson’s charge is now 3lb better off. Available at 7/1 with Boylesports, Coral and William Hill, Quantitiveeasing may just be the more progressive and can finally get his head in front over C&D though Divers certainly shouldn’t be ignored at the general 8/1 as Ferdy Murphy‘s stable is beginning to show signs of a revival after a low-key start to the season.

Great Endeavour is undoubtedly David Pipe’s first choice but the Nicholshayne trainer has four entries in total including the consistent I’msingingtheblues (19/1 on betfair), Matuhi (33/1 0n betfair) and Salut Flo. The latter could be a real fly in the ointment as he looked a very smart prospect early last year before being sidelined by injury. Still only a six-year-old, he may well be capable of landing a nice prize off his current mark and Conor O’Farrell’s claim is worth a further 3lb this weekend. Salut Flo is 16/1 with most layers.

Woolcombe Folly (a general 25/1) looks to have too much weight and is better over 2m but stablemate Ghizao (a general 7/1) deserves another chance as he looked as though the outing would do him good when fourth to Medermit (12/1 with betfred, Boylesports and totesport) at Exeter. Paul Nicholls‘ seven-year-old is 4lb better off in this. Sunnyhillboy, one of three running in the colours of JP McManus, could also be a threat as he was third behind Poquelin and Great Endeavour in the race last year. AP McCoy‘s mount (15/2 with sportingbet) is now 12lb better off with the latter so has every chance of turning the tables as he had a pipe-opener over hurdles at Haydock last month. Sandown winner Roudoudou Ville is improving but this represents a big staep up in class for bet365 and Skybet‘s 14/1 chance, while Irish raiders Roberto Goldback and Finger Onthe Pulse (33/1 and 80/1 respectively on betfair) no longer look good enough at this level.

Ireland is expected to realise a €12m increase in betting duty once the new Betting (Amendment) Bill is passed by the Irish Parliament. The new Bill will include an extension of one per cent betting duty to remote channels and the introduction of a betting intermediaries duty, a gross profits tax of 15 per cent to cover betting exchanges like Betfair.

Horse Racing Ireland chief executive Brian Kavanagh has welcomed the government’s attempts to introduce measures to capture betting duty on offshore betting, saying “This will narrow the gap between the duty raised and the funding requirements under the Horse and Greyhound Racing Fund.”

Betting turnover in Ireland this year is expected to exceed €4.5 billion but only €26 million is likely to be raised in duty and Kavanagh thinks that percentage is simply unacceptable. “The introduction of this system provides a basis by which racing can be fully funded through betting duty in the future, rather than by way of an arbitrary annual grant, and we await the details of the Betting (Amendment ) Bill with interest,” he added,” the industry can take heart that progress is being made towards a long-term funding solution.”

Graham Ross, regional manager of Betfair Ireland, is also supporting the new taxation rules which should be in force by summer 2012. “We believe the budget announcement is a positive step forward and look forward to working with the relevant government departments on the implementation of a solution that is pro-consumer.”

The new laws aren’t pleasing everyone, however, and the Irish Bookmakers Association claims jobs will be at risk at the likes of Boylesports and Paddy Power as Irish-based firm are the only ones that will be forced to pay the new rate of duty. Despite the Bill, however, this is the fifth year in succession that funding to Irish racing has been cut.

Across The Irish Sea and William Hill have warned the British government that setting a high tax rate for offshore online operators who take bets from UK-based customers could drive punters to register with unlicensed sites.

The government wants to introduce betting duty for online operators at the point of consumption, rather than at where the bet is taken but an independently-commissioned report by GamblingCompliance highlights that it has been impossible to control consumer behaviour in the past and those consumers who are intent on finding the best commercial odds would have no qualms about dipping into the unregulated sector in the future.

Of course, they would say that. Hills have, after all, footed the bill for the report and would have expected nothing less. But it must be remembered that punters have absolutely no legal protection if betting with these unlicensed operators and there is nothing more infuriating that landing a big bet only to find out you are not going to get paid.

A sports editor at the BBC has described the 10 nominees for this year’s Sports Personality of the Year as ‘one of the strongest fields I have ever seen on my time on the show’.  That’s a bit of a tall boast, given the number of ‘minority’ sports represented and the fact that there are three golfers on the list. The lack of female presence has also been noted. I can accept that it’s been a quiet year for British football, with no European Championships or World Cup, which explains the rare phenomenon of no overpaid Premier League players on the list, but why no women? Rebecca Adlington and Keri-Anne Payne both won gold at the World Swimming Championships in Shanghai, England’s women footballers only lost out in the quarter-finals of this year’s World Cup on penalties and Beth Tweddle has become a true superstar in gymnastics. The nation’s leading sports writers decided none of the above were worthy of the chance to challenge the men, however, though I must add that no-one sought to ask my opinion. Maybe it’s something to do with the fact that women’s sport is 20 times less likely to appear on British TV than the men’s equivalent. Good to see equality is being followed fervently in that quarter then.

Rant over and back to the list, however, and the widely-held belief that sprint cyclist Mark Cavendish will finally get the recognition his efforts deserve. This year’s Tour de France green jersey winner was recently awarded the MBE and victory in the Sports Personality of the Year would cap a memorable 12 months for the 26-year-old Isle Of Man cyclist, who also won the Road World Championships in September. He is now a best Evens with Betfred, Ladbrokes and totesport to pick up the award.

At 5/2 with sportingbet, Open champion Darren Clarke is the shortest-priced of the three golfers ahead of US Open champion Rory McIlroy (9/1 with bet365 and Stan James) and world number one Luke Donald (40/1 with bet365), though the veteran Ulsterman is largely that short on sentiment. For consistency at a high level, Andy Murray surely deserves more recognition than the general 100/1 quote though one suspects he’ll never win any like this until he cracks one of the Grand Slams. Alistair Cook is 66/1 on betfair but probably deserves a nomination more than his England Test captain Andrew Strauss (100/1 with Betfred, Coral and William Hill) but doesn’t appear to have any chance of beating either Mo Farah or Dai Greene. Considering we are still nine months away from the London Olympics, it’s remarkable that two athletes have made the top 10. Farah, winner of the 5000m at the World Championships, could be a shoe-in in 12 months time but may still be worth opposing at the general 8/1 this year as many potential voters will still know little of him.

Barely have the tyres cooled and the pit lane garages been locked up for the winter than bookmakers are already looking ahead to the 2012 Formula One season with Sebastian Vettel a best 11/8 with Betfred, totesport and Victor Chandler to complete a hat-trick of World Drivers’ Championships after running away with the title this year.

The German had the crown in safe keeping with four races to spare in 2011, becoming become the youngest-ever driver to win back-to-back titles, and it appears punters think he will prove a cut above the opposition again next year. Vettel won 11 times during the season and the 24-year-old’s next target will be to surpass Michael Schumacher‘s record of 13 victories in a year. Vettel described his team Red Bull as ‘faultless’ after finishing second to team-mate Mark Webber in the final Grand Prix of the year in Brazil and they are 11/10 to win the Constructors’ Championship next year with Skybet ahead of McLaren (13/8 with William Hill) and Ferrari (6/1 with bet365 and Skybet).

Behind Vettel, McLaren driver Lewis Hamilton is a best 5/1 to win his second world title, with Ferrari‘s Fernando Alonso available at 6/1 with Skybet and Hamilton‘s team-mate Jenson Button 7/1 in several places. Hamilton‘s problem this season has been inability to steer clear of trouble. Some of his fellow drivers believe the Briton is much too aggressive on the track and lets his heart rule his head on occasion. His long-running feud with Felipe Massa certainly did neither driver any favours. Hamilton now has a few months to cool off and there are signs that McLaren are beginning to close the gap on Red Bull, but whether they’ll do that before the new season gets under way again in the spring is questionable given that F1 made a big effort to make the sport a more level playing field just 12 months ago and it’s unlikely there will be any more radical changes to rules over the winter.