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The most unpredictable set of Premier League results ever?

December 15th, 2009 / dave

If you had a bet or three on the English top flight last weekend, then congratulations are in order if you came away with a profit! Saturday was the sort of day that bookmakers dream about, with most of the favourites failing to oblige. While Stoke’s failure to beat Wigan wasn’t a big surprise in the early match, the same can’t be said about Chelsea, Tottenham and Manchester City failing to win.

City are proving to be an unreliable team to bet on, although you would have benefited from laying their opponents on betfair to win for each of the last ten games. Not that this will be any consolation to those who backed them with bet365 at 1.83 to win at the Reebok, thinking that if they can beat Chelsea, then 19th-placed Bolton shouldn’t be too much of a problem. Perhaps it’s better to stick to backing Over 2.5 Goals when Mark Hughes’ team play at home, something which has yielded a profit five times out of seven.

Tottenham were a massive coupon-buster and Sky Bet were the bravest firm on Saturday, offering 3/10 that Harry Redknapp’s team won the match. There is a lesson to be learned from those that piled into Spurs to win or Jermain Defoe to score. Sometimes teams suffer an anticlimax after achieving an outstanding result and scorelines didn’t get any bigger than the 9-1 victory previously seen at White Hart Lane. It’s also been clear on occasions this season that the North London side play some excellent football but achieve no end result. Against Stoke, they huffed and puffed but couldn’t blow the house down either.

Paddy Power were counting their money after Chelsea’s poor defending led to a 3-3 draw against Everton. Although the Irish firm were offering 1/4 about the league leaders, this was pretty much the best price about a team that were boasting a 100% Premier League record at Stamford Bridge. However, we should learn that teams involved in European midweek action sometimes struggle the following weekend and should a defence that has previously conceded four goals in the last two games have been trusted?

After all of these results, there certainly felt like a possibility of an upset at Old Trafford and so it proved with Aston Villa beating the champions. Boylesports had offered 1/2 about United, which reflected a) that the Red Devils were missing several defenders and b) that the Villans are playing with lots of confidence at the moment. However, for anyone wanting to oppose Sir Alex Ferguson’s team at Old Trafford for the remainder of the season, be aware that United only lost one home match last season and the season before.

Some of you will recall that I picked Birmingham in Paddy Power’s Last Man Standing competition, which worked out very nicely with so many fancied teams failing to win. 832 people entered last week’s competition and there are now just 162 of us going through to next weekend. I have gone for Arsenal at home to Hull City which is an obvious pick, although I still have the chance to use the ‘draw’ option at a later stage. I’ll also be entering this week’s competition from scratch and going for Wigan against Bolton!

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