Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid Betting Preview – UEFA Champions League 10th May 7.45pm
There is a long way back into the tie for Atletico Madrid, having lost the first leg 3-0 against their rivals. This is their last ever European game at the Vicente Calderon as they are moving home and so it will be a sentimental night for them. But will it be one of the most special ones ever in overturning what looks to be a pretty huge mountain against Real?
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Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid Betting Tips
A mountain to climb. That is what Ateliotic have in front on them. They just weren’t competitive in the first leg and surprisingly they were pretty slack at the back and didn’t look anywhere near as strong or composed as they usually are. The 3-0 loss for them was a hammer blow and no team has ever overturned a 3-0 first-leg away defeat in the Champions League knockout stages in five previous attempts. As an attacking force in the first leg, Atletico got just the one shot on target on the board in the first leg and were just disappointing in all departments. So can they raise something very special for what is a very special night at the Calderon, the last European game to be played there? This just the second European Cup semi final between these two, with Real winning the previous one, back in the 1958/59 campaign. This is the third time in four seasons that Atletico have been at this stage of the competition but they don’t look as if they are getting to their final this time around. In the bet365 correct score market, the 1-1 draw is the shortest priced option at 11/2.
Atletico Madrid have collected wins in 17 of their 22 home games in the UEFA Champions League under Diego Simeone (D4 L10 and the only defeat in that sequence was against Benfica in September 2015 (1-2). They are unbeaten at the Calderón in the knockout stages (W6 D4) of the competition. But do they have enough goals to turn this time around? That’s highly debatable because Atletico have scored more than two goals in just one of their previous 10 home games in the knockout stages of the competition. Over 2.5 goals in the game is a price of 8/11 at bet365. In the anytime goalscorer market, Antoine Griezmann is an 11/10 option for the home side, he has 12 Champions League goals since last season but didn’t get a single touch in Real Madrid’s box in the first leg. Atlético Madrid are the lowest scoring team in this season’s Champions League among the four semi-finalists (13 goals in 11 games). Atlético’s record against Spanish clubs in UEFA competition is W8 D5 L8 (W6 D2 L0 home). Their record in two-legged ties is W5 L3.
Real Madrid’s form on the road in the semi finals isn’t all that great honestly. Overall their European Cup semi final record reads W14 L13 but they actually won just two of their last seven semi final ties. While their 3-0 win in the first leg puts them in a commanding position, the Whites have won just one of their last seven away games in UEFA Champions League semi finals (D2 L4). Their away record in the last four overall is W5 D6 L16. They have remained dunes ten in the UEFA Champions League this season and have won each of their five knockout stage matches so far. Over 2.5 goals at bet365 is a price of 8/11. They last lost a knockout stage game in last year’s quarter-final, their lone defeat in their last 11 away fixtures in the competition. Madrid’s record against Liga teams in Europe is W12 D6 L3 (W2 D3 L2 away). Their record in two-legged ties is W5 L2. Real Madrid unbeaten in their last eight games against Spanish opposition and have gone through in 45 of 58 European ties after winning the first leg at home. Cristiano Ronaldo is the 7/2 First Goalscorer favourite at Bet365. Ronaldo has scored eight of Real Madrid’s last nine goals in the Champions League.
Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid Betting Odds
Atlético Madrid 7/4, Draw 13/5, Real Madrid 13/8
Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid Predictions
Real Madrid away win: The more you see Atletico pressing the more you see the visitors taking full advantage of that and picking them off the break. Worth having a punt on the away win at the price.
