Barcelona v Chelsea Champions League Betting Odds & Preview – 24.04.12

Alves - Messi - Valdes - Puyol (Barcelona)
Alves - Messi - Valdes - Puyol (Barcelona) © GEPA pictures

What are the odds that the Blues can hold out for a 0-0 draw at the Nou Camp in Barcelona v Chelsea betting? Well, pretty long to be honest, but after shutting out Barcelona at Stamford Bridge, if Chelsea managed to hold out to a 0-0 draw, then there would be some betting coverage kicking in from the highly popular Bet365. The highly rated bookie offers a 0-0 Bore Draw Money Back Special for all matches included in their sportsbook. This promotion means that you will get lost stake refunds on the Correct Score, Half Time/Full Time and Scorecast bets on the match, if the game ends as a 0-0 draw.

The offer provides some good coverage on the match betting, where a 2-0 Barcelona Correct Score is trading as the favourite option at 6/1, and in the Half Time/Full Time Barcelona v Chelsea betting market, a Draw/Barcelona option Is priced at 4/1. So good value and coverage in your Barcelona v Chelsea Champions League betting, should the match end up in a 0-0 thanks to the Bet365 Money Back Special. That result of course would send Chelsea through to the finals, but they will need another one of the tremendous defensive efforts which they put in last week at Stamford Bridge.

Barcelona v Chelsea Betting
Barcelona to win: 1/4 at Bet365
Draw: 5/1 at SkyBet
Chelsea to win: 11/1 at Totesport

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Chelsea can go to the Nou Camp and lose and still get through. They can go there and hold out for a draw and get through. That is the general upshot of what the Blues face in the second leg of their Champions League semi final against Barcelona. Chelsea hold a one goal lead heading to the Nou Camp, which means that even if they lost by a one goal margin on Tuesday, they would get through. So the Blues did put themselves in the driving seat to some respect, thanks to Didier Drogba’s goal at Stamford Bridge. It was a very disciplined and defensively organised display which saw Chelsea steal the win against the defending European Champions, but that of course means that only half of the job has been done, and no doubt the defence will come under even more pressure than it did in the first leg.

There are some positive notes is that Chelsea have held out for a draw on their last three visits to the Nou Camp, even though the Blues have not ever won there. This is of course a rematch of the dramatic 2009 Champions League final, which Barca dramatically won at the death of the second leg at Stamford Bridge. So will it be roles reversed this time around? Chelsea boss Roberto Di Matteo had to shuffle his pack for Saturday’s crucial Premier League trip to the Emirates to face Arsenal, which ended up in a 0-0 draw. Di Matteo made eight changes to the starting line up from the Barcelona first leg. So the likes of Didier Drogba and Frank Lampard should be back in the starting eleven, as Di Matteo goes in search of his biggest result yet as interim Chelsea manager. With a return to the Champions League looking less and less likely through a top four finish in the league, will Chelsea surprise the pack by going all the way in the tournament itself? Chelsea’s away record in Spain is W3 D5 L5, which included a draw against Valencia in this season’s group stage.

This is Barcelona’s fifth straight semi final in the Champions League, but they have lost back to back games now heading into this second leg. After losing the first leg of the semi final at Stamford Bridge, Barcelona lost to bitter rivals Real Madrid at the Nou Camp in a La Liga title decider. Barcelona of course have the ability to keep the ball for such long periods of the game, that the opposition have no option but to chase shadows. They racked up 80% of possession at Stamford Bridge and they created 24 chances. They then look for Lionel Messi who hangs around the space between the opposition’s defence and midfield. But Chelsea did sheppard him well, Gary Cahill in particular throwing his body on the line on a lot of occasions. But the weight of Chelsea’s task keeps growing when you look at stats. Barcelona haven’t lost in their last 15 European home matches now, and they have racked up thirteen wins in that run. Barcelona have a W15 D10 L2 record at home against English sides in Europe.

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At home this season in all competitions, Barcelona have P31 W27 D3 L1 GF 105 GA 18 and therefore Chelsea have a big hill to climb still. Barcelona have won tour and lost four semi finals against English opponents, but Chelsea are faring worse because they have lost all three European semi finals against Spanish opponents. The tie is balanced because of Chelsea’s first leg lead, but the general consensus is that in Barcelona v Chelsea betting, the home side are still the firm favourites But a goal for Chelsea would leave Barcelona need three on the night, so those are the margins. But after the number of chances that Lionel Messi and co carved out, and they were unlucky because of the woodwork and goal line clearances, suggest that Barcelona could still run out comfortable winners. Although they were undone by Real Madrid on Saturday at the Nou Camp, all that proved is that it takes a very special team to beat them. Are Chelsea that special?