Chelsea v Arsenal Betting Odds, Preview and Predictions

Chelsea v Arsenal Betting Preview
The home form of the Blues has been terrible recently and they have picked up just one win in their last seven at the Bridge. If Stamford Bridge would have been a fortress, then they might well have been challenging for the league title. As it is, securing a third place finish is the highest thing on their agenda, ensuring that they get themselves back in the Champions League next season. So can Arsenal, who aren’t in top form themselves come and raid the Bridge, just as they did last season in the league, boosting their chances of top five finish?

Chelsea v Arsenal Betting Odds at online bookmaker Bet Victor
Chelsea 5/6, Draw 14/5, Arsenal 17/5

Chelsea v Arsenal Recommended Bet:
So just one win in their last seven league matches at the Bridge. Since taking over, Rafa Benitez has taken just two wins from seven home matches in all competitions, not a run that has endeared himself to Chelsea fans. They have missed big opportunities to get themselves into the title race, they really have, and what is more surprising is that they have been very good on the road. After losing in a shock 1-0 result against bottom side QPR at the Bridge, Chelsea followed that up on Wednesday night by blowing a two goal lead against Southampton. Chelsea were looking comfortable with a 2-0 lead at halftime, but the battling Saints fought back and earned a point. Chelsea have still lost just one of their last seven, winning five matches in that run, but four of those wins came on the road. So their home form just doesn’t give punters a lot of confidence to back them solidly, certainly not when they are at such short odds to start with.

Chelsea have won just two and lost two of their last four home league meetings against Arsenal. They did take a 2-1 win at the Emirates earlier in the season, scoring from just three shots. Demba Ba has to perform for Chelsea, making a bright start as it is to his Chelsea career; he could really turn the club around and will take precedence in the side over Fernando Torres. Ba incidentally scored two goals against Arsenal in his final match for Newcastle before his move to Stamford Bridge. Chelsea were poor in London derbies last season, amassing the fewest amount of points from derbies than any other side in the Premier League last season. Winning just one of their last seven league games at home, and coming through a busy period with Carling Cup semi final action as well against Swansea, there are vulnerabilities about the Blues. Still, they do go as favourites, trying to make amends for last season’s home defeat against the Gunners. The difference could be Ba.

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Arsenal have taken more wins at Stamford Bridge than any other Premier League side, and Arsene Wenger’s men have scored more there than any other club. So pretty good standing there. Their 5-3 win there last season was the first time any Premier League side had netted five goals at the Bridge. The Gunners have been patchy this season and they just have fallen into a sticky patch again, going without a win in their last two matches. They managed a disappointing draw at Southampton before losing at home against Manchester City in their previous match. They also had a midweek match, a 1-0 home win over Swansea in the FA Cup, but despite all their dominance, they still struggled to find the back of the net. This could be the feature of Sunday’s big game.

Only twice in their eleven away matches this season have Arsenal scored more than one goal on the road. They have totalled just fifteen away goals this term, five of them coming in a win at Reading. So without that big haul, their return would be even worse than their rate of just 1.3 goals per game away from home this season. Defensively they haven’t been that bad on their travels though as they have conceded at just a rate of 0.8 goals per game. 72% of Arsenal’s away matches this season have gone under 2.5 goals. So big margins we are not likely to be looking at. Arsenal really need a consistent proven goalscorer, because they really haven’t replaced Robin van Persie. They have fewer points after 21 matches than in any previous campaign under Arsene Wenger.

The sharpness up front could settle it, and Demba Ba could be the difference. Therefore a Draw/Chelsea Half Time/Full Time bet for a price of 4/1 at online bookmaker Bet Victor looks decent.

Form
Chelsea WLWLWD, Arsenal WWDDLW

Stat Attack
Arsenal have won more and scored more goals than any other EPL side away at Stamford Bridge
Arsenal have lost just three of their last 19 Premier League away matches
Chelsea have won just one of their last seven Premier League home matches
The Gunners have scored more goals in the last ten minutes of games this season than anyone else
Benitez has a W5 D2 L3 record against Wenger

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