A Football Betting Guide to Liverpool (Back to Football Betting Guide Intro)
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Football Betting Prediction: Top Six Finish
Premier League Start: Liverpool 1, Arsenal 1
The Strengths: Two things automatically spring to mind when you are thinking of strengths at Liverpool. The first is, of course, Steven Gerrard. The England captain really is the heart and soul of the team, and while he has left it too late in his career to depart to pastures new in search of glory, it doesn’t appear as if that is what he wants to do anyway. He is Liverpool through and through and that is exactly what they need right now, and not the likes of Javier Mascherano bemoaning his lot again and wanting away from the club. Liverpool need to recover from a disastrous season last year, where they failed to make it out of the Champions League group stage, fell way behind in the Premier League race to finish seventh at the end of the season, and failed in all cups. It was a miserable season by their high standards, which saw boss Rafa Benitez head off to Inter Milan to let someone else pick up the mess he had made. Benitez was blamed for making far too many insignificant signings during his tenure at the club, building nothing more than a very average squad and it showed last season. Liverpool were hurt by the absence of both Gerrard and the other Liverpool strength, Fernando Torres. Like Gerrard he has pledged his commitment to the club, but there is a feeling it is a bit half hearted and if a big offer comes in then he will be off. Still, while he is at the club, Liverpool need to get him back to full fitness as quick as possible to resume his prolific goal scoring duties. They really need his quality cutting edge up front. Joe Cole has the potential of being another strength, after being picked up as a free agent when he was out of contract with Chelsea. He is the kind of creative and dynamic player that was so badly missing at Anfield last year, and could be the spark that breathes new life back into this sleeping beast. The Kop of course has to be counted into this equation, as they help no end. If the players on the pitch can sense the aura of new optimism coming from the crowd, then maybe they can just turn it all around together. They have also brought in Middlesbrough keeper Brad Jones as cover for Pepe Reina, whose howler cost Liverpool three points in their opening match when he gifted Arsenal a late equaliser.
The Weaknesses: For all the positives at Liverpool there are still negatives. The club are in financial difficulty, and are looking to seal a take over bid. Until this is done, there will be no money to improve the squad, even though that hasn’t stopped manager Roy Hodgson picking up freebies. Joe Cole, Milan Jovanovic, Christian Paulson and Danny Wilson have all come in, but Liverpool are craving a real world class signing, which they are not going to get without the promise of Champions League football. The second weakness is that there is still a lot of average footballers at Liverpool, who aren’t worthy of being at the club, most notably in defence where Liverpool may struggle this year. The problem is, that outside of the first twelve or thirteen players, you are struggling for quality. They have nothing up front without Fernando Torres for example, but they are better covered in midfield this campaign. The final main weakness has to be Roy Hodgson, who still remains a very odd choice for such an illustrious club. It screamed a signing of desperation as opposed to one which would seriously get the club back on track. He will do well in making Liverpool a solid side, but in terms of expectations of them challenging for the title, it is not going to happen, and they will still have a huge battle on their hands to get back into the Champions League. They are improving, but not there yet and there is a lot of pressure on.
Liverpool Betting Home: Somehow Liverpool manage to turn out results at home, and that is where their betting strengths lie. They have a pretty good defensive record at Anfield, and once Torres is fully fit, then they will be more able to secure victories. They had a 68% win percentage at Anfield last year, winning thirteen of their nineteen home games. They had a decent goal scoring count to, of netting 43 and conceding just 15. Still worth backing fully at Anfield, especially against anyone outside of the top six.
Liverpool Betting Away: Weren’t great on the road, and that is because they lacked any creative flair in the middle of the park. No-one wanted to take responsibility, and with Gerrard missing for large parts, Liverpool suffered eight defeats on the road. That’s just a 26% win percentage on the road, not even in the ball park for a title chasing team. Hodgson has a much better midfield this year which should help, and they should pick up more points on the road. They are still a nervous bet though, as they are still some way short of being a top three side, but still worth looking at when it comes to odds. They will lose away matches, those tricky away games at your Blackburn’s and Everton’s of the league, but if you can pick those out then you will have some wonderful returns on your horizon.
Liverpool Best Betting Stat: Liverpool scored first in just over 60% of their matches last season. If you can double that up with the first Goalscorer (in all likelihood Gerrard or Torres) then there are rewards to be gained in Scorecast bets.
Liverpool Best Football Betting Odds
Top Four Finish: 6/4 at Bet365
Premier League Outright: 14/1 at BetFred
Total Trophies: None 2/7 at SportingBet
To Win A Major Trophy: 2/1 at SkyBet
Top Goalscorer
Fernando Torres: 8/13 at Blue Square
Steven Gerrard: 9/2 at Victor Chandler
Joe Cole: 31/10 at BetFair
Dirk Kuyt: 14/1 at 888Sport
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