Having looked at our top two leagues and the Conference (read Goals Galore) I’m now turning my attention to Leagues One and Two. These two leagues seem to be a little more competitive in as much as goals seem a little harder to come by for quite a few teams.
League One have the worst record in the English top five leagues for OVER 2.5 goals per game. Breaking 47% seems to have been a bit of a slog.
League One shows fourteen of the sides have achieved at least a 50% return on OVER 2.5 goals after sixteen games. Leading the way is one-time Premiership side, now teetering on the brink of extinction, PORTSMOUTH. Accompanied by Yeovil, both on 11 games ending in OVER 2.5 goals.
Altogether there are fourteen teams worth keeping in mind. Besides the two already mentioned, there are, Walsall, Bury, Preston, Carlisle, Tranmere, Crawley, Hartlepools, Scunthorpe, Coventry, Bournemouth, Brentford and Stevenage. These sides seem not to be too focused on defence. Of course their records need updating weekly. A chore, I know, but once the initial figures have been assessed it shouldn’t be too stressful to keep them going forward. There are four sides which need to be avoided, at least for the present. They are:- Sheffield Utd (2), MK Dons (3) and Oldham and Leyton Orient on 4 games each.
In League Two there are a number of sides which might be considered a little goal happy. Not just for scoring goals’ Over 52% of matches have ended OVER 2.5 goals.
Altogether thirteen of the teams have taken part in games which have returned OVER 2.5 goals in more than 50% of their matches. Exeter take pride of place with 12 of their 17 games ending in OVERS. Other sides worth noting are:- Oxford, Wimbledon, Northampton, Morecambe, Barnet,Plymouth, Rotherham, Gillingham, Dagenham and Rochdale.
Teams worth steering clear of, at present are, Fleetwood, Chesterfield, Bradford, Torquay and Aldershot.
However, stats are so tight in this league that it won’t take too many OVERS games to have these teams swapping places
with some of the higher placed sides.
Whilst nothing is ever certain in football,(think of Celtic and Barcelona), using these stats with a little bit of research it should be possible to get a few doubles, trebles, etc. I’m not a fan of multiples but this is one of those occasions when needs must. Prices won’t be over generous but some astute pairing etc should be rewarding.
Browsing the internet, I have found that quite a few people are more than a little interested in multiples when backing UNDER/OVER 2.5 GOALS. Obviously the percentage of winning bets will be lower than for singles but hopefully the returns will make it well worthwhile.
The last but second weekend ago there were 5 OVERS in the PREMIERSHIP and 8 OVERS in the CHAMPIONSHIP. Keeping the average for the latter well to the fore. The Blue Square Conference also returned 50% matches as OVERS.
As match scores seem to hold a fascination for many people, next time I’ll venture into the world of BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE. There appears to be a big following for this type bet.