The season is now heading towards the half-way mark and results are further encouraging, in the Premier League. Up to now there have been 28 matches where the away side has been leading 0 – 1 at half-time. These games finished as follows: 2 Home win, 9 Drawn, 17 Away wins. The three popular final scores (0 – 1, 1 – 1, 0 – 2) occured in 15 of these games (53.57%).
Possibly of more interest is a little digging I did in past results. Not in any specific league but in random games played all over the globe, at various levels. The results covered just four days.
Day 1 results covered 234 matches.
There were 28 standing 0 – 1 at half-time (11.96%).
Approximately 1 match in every 8. One of these games ended as a home win.
Day 2 results covered 265 matches.
There were 38 standing 0 – 1 at half-time (14.33%).
Approximately 1 match in every 7. Three of these games ended as home wins.
Day 3 results covered 235 matches.
There were 32 standing 0 – 1 at half-time (13.61%).
Approximately 1 match in every 7. One of these games ended as a home win.
Day 4 results covered 734 matches.
There were 94 standing 0 – 1 at half-time (12.80%).
Approximately 1 match in every 8. Five of these games ended as home wins.
As stated earlier, these results cover ALL TYPES OF LEAGUES world-wide. So the only conclusion I can come to is, football is very much the same the world over. There were some very unusual results in some games but these were usually somewhat one-sided affairs with bigger half-time scores. It doesn’t appear to make much difference as to the class of the teams playing each other. Most of these matches had a sort of similar finish. The home side would tighten their defence and goals were then few and far between.
In a range of 0 – 1, 1 – 1, 1 – 2, 0 – 2, there were 127 results from an overall total of 192 matches with 0 – 1 as the half-time score (41.66%).
The two most proficient scores were, 0 – 1 and 1 – 1. These between them accounted for 92 of the 192 matches (47.91%).
What I found truly amazing is the number of matches were the home side seemed to accept defeat. There were only TEN games out of the 1468 played that ended as a HOME win.
I still haven’t worked out how to use these stats to good effect. At present “dutching”
0 – 1 and 1 – 1 has great appeal. I intend to look at the leagues where low scores are not really the order of the day and see how 0 – 1 at half-time works with them.
A word of warning. Christmas matches are notorious for going off the scale. so be careful and only bet with what you can afford to lose. As the warning tells us, When the FUN stops. STOP.
A Merry Christmas and Super Prosperous 2017.
