Leicester v Sevilla Betting Preview – UEFA Champions League 14th March 7.45pm
So Leicester need to fight back but the away goal banked from Jamie Vardy in their 2-1 loss in Spain in the first leg gives them big hope. Their margin is pretty fragile though as an away goal in return from the dangerous Spaniards would leave the Foxes in a very deep hole. Leicester have banked three wins from three at home in Europe this season, can they raise their game at the King Power again to secure another famous night in the competition after confirming that Craig Shakespeare will stay on as boss until the end of the season?
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Leicester v Sevilla Betting Tips
What a great season for Leicester they have put together in the UEFA Champions League. It has been a wonderful aside for them after winning their group. Can they go one step further and hit the quarter finals? They only need a 1-0 home win on Tuesday to progress so it’s not out of reach. That is thanks to Jamie Vardy’s consolation goal out in Spain after the Foxes had fallen 2-0 down in the leg and were looking out of it. The complexion of this tie could have looked a lot different because Sevilla missed a penalty in the game as well, so the Foxes are hanging in there. In the group stage, Leicester posted a 100% win record at the King Power, beating Porto, FC Copenhagen and Club Brugge. All three wins were by a one goal margin.
A Leicester one goal winning margin at Bet365 is a price of 4/1 and over in the Correct Score market a Leicester 1-0 or a Leicester 2-1 result will fetch out around a price of 11/1. In the anytime goalscorer market Jamie Vardy is an 8/5 option to net again for the Foxes, which is the same price as Islam Slimani. The Foxes have triumphed in just one of their four previous two-legged European ties (1961/62 European Cup Winners’ Cup preliminary round) and two of their three previous European campaigns ended against Spanish sides. Seven of the last nine times a side has lost 1-2 away from home in a Champions League 1st leg knockout tie, they have failed to go on and progress to the next round so history isn’t on the side of Leicester here. The Foxes are D1 L4 from five previous games against Spanish sides.
Sevilla posted a W1 D2 record out on the road in the group stage this season and tellingly, they didn’t ship a single goal in any of those three games either. They have collected five clean sheets form their seven games this season in the competition and they are a price of 10/3 at Bet365 to win to nil which is going to have some appeal. They have never been to the quarter finals of the competition before so can create some history for themselves in this one. They were defeated by Fenerbahce and CSKA Moscow respectively in their last two visits to this stage of the UEFA Champions League.
Sevilla have never won a UEFA competition game in England from four previous visits there (D2 L2) and that includes a 2-1 loss at Man City last season in the group stage. They have been a big side out on the road though as they went (W2 D4 L1) in Europe in the 2016 calendar year. Sevilla also won their only previous two-legged knockout tie against a Premier League side, which was against Spurs in the 2006/07 UEFA Cup Quarter Finals. They won the Europa League Final last season against Liverpool and beat Middlesbrough in the 2006 final too. The Spaniards have won 17 of 18 UEFA Competition ties after winning the first leg at home and they hold a W5 L1 penalty shoot out record in UEFA competition. Stevan Jovetic is 7/5 anytime goalscorer favorite for them.
Leicester v Sevilla Betting Odds
Sevilla 5/4, Leicester 23/10, Draw 13/5
Leicester v Sevilla Predictions
This should be an exciting night at the King Power and Leicester have a problem because they can’t expose themselves too much and risk shipping an away goal. Sevilla are a class act and have the experience and the defence to get out of this one without a defeat. Even though Sevilla are defensively sound, worth having a punt on both teams to score, but for Sevilla to win the night still.
