Man City v Aston Villa Betting Preview
Well, the Citizens are doing what they have to do, put wins on the board. They haven’t been spectacular in doing so lately, but a title is on the line, so pragmatism may well win the day over style. After a big 3-2 win over Everton on the weekend, another three points in midweek would set them up for the final day of the season. Villa’s away form doesn’t suggest that they are going to spoil their party.
Man City v Aston Villa Betting Odds at online bookmaker Betfair
Man City 1/9, Draw 9/1, Aston Villa 14/1
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Man City v Aston Villa Betting Tips:
The math is simple for the Citizens. Win the last two games of the season, both of them at the Etihad. That’s it. Their big final test looks to have been that trip to Goodison on the weekend, and after falling behind, City did ever so well in working their way back into the game. They didn’t panic when the Toffees pulled it back to 3-2 either. So that result saw the citizens finish the weekend at the top of the table and now the fate of their title ambitions firmly rest in their own hands. Sergio Aguero limped off from Goodison after scoring City’s equaliser at 1-1, but there are reports that he is confident that his groin strain isn’t going to keep him out of the end of season run-in. Aguero is 1/2 in the anytime goalscorer market against Villa, while Edin dzeko, who netted brace at Goodison, is trading at 8/13. Could be worth watching for Samir Nasri too, as the Frenchman has scored or assisted a goal in six of his last nine matches in the Premier League.
The Citizens have only dropped five points at home all season in a W15 D1 L1 record. Just the once they have failed to find the back of the net on home soil in the league, that being in their 1-0 defeat against Chelsea back in early February. Over all in the Premier League, the Citizens have only lost one of their last twelve matches played, that 3-2 loss at Anfield in mid April, which looked to have put them out of the title picture. But how things have turned around since then. Would shoot for over 2.5 goals in this one for a price of 1/3, as City have averaged three goals per game at the Etihad and their last four there have all gone over. City have scored 57 goals at home this season and that is more that Villa have managed in total all season (39). They should have the firepower to get the three points in the bag, but they did lose at Villa Park back in September. However, with City on a six match winning streak at home against Villa in all competition, and having scored three or more goals in each of their last four league games at home against the Midlands club, would look for a good win at home.
Especially considering that Villa have lost 10 of their last eleven Premier League matches away at Manchester City (W1). Villa have secured their place in the Premier League next season, having a six match winless snapped with a 3-1 home win over Hull. While they will have been relieved with that, it has been their only win in their last seven matches in the Premier League. They have lost their last three away games though, and two of those were defeats by a 4-1 scoreline at Manchester United and Swansea. Their overall away record for the season reads W4 D5 L8. In their last seven games outside of Villa Park, the Villains have only managed to pick up the two points. There is little consistency there from them and with such a poor record away at Man City, it’s probably a good job that they got those three points in the bag on the weekend. Villa need three points from their last two game to match last season’s total of 41 points.
Prediction
Tough to see anything other than a home win in this one, and at the end of the day it should be a pretty comfortable one too. City have recently experienced what it takes to close things out in a title winning season. They are doing what they have to do and would probably push on for a City to win to nil bet for a price of 4/5 at Betfair.
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Form (all competitions)
Man City WLDWWW, Aston Villa LLLDLW
Stat Attack
City have won 10 of their last eleven home games against Villa in the Premier League
Villa have taken just two points from their last seven away games
The Citizens are within four goals of a 100+ goal season
Six of Villa’s last seven goals in the league have come in the first half of games
