Monaco v Borussia Dortmund Predictions & Betting Odds – 19th April 2017

Monaco to complete double over Germans

Jubel Monaco white
Silva, Glik, Raggi (Monaco) © GEPA pictures

Monaco v Borussia Dortmund Betting Preview – UEFA Champions League 19th April 7.45pm

The first leg in Germany was a real thriller although it may have gone under the radar with the results happening in the other quarter-finals. This is likely going to be wide open and full of goals again when the two meet in the Principality on Wednesday night. Can Bayern target in on those away goals to get themselves back into this tie? There’s plenty of life left in this one.

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Monaco v Dortmund 2017 Infographic

Monaco v Borussia Dortmund Betting Tips

What a thrilling Champions League campaign Monaco are having. They edged out Manchester City on away goals after a crazy 6-6 aggregate in the last round, and now they hold a 3-2 advantage (with away goals too) against Borussia Dortmund in this quarter-final clash. They have home form running too as they have won five of their six home games in this season’s UEFA Champions League (D1) and so are in with a good chance in this one, especially against a Dortmund side who have struggled in France. The impressive teenager Kylian Mbappe was on target twice in the first leg and he is a price of 5/4 in the bet365 anytime goalscorer market. Falcao is a price of 5/6 to net. Mbappe has four goals in three knockout stage games this season. Monaco’s record in the quarter-finals of the European Cup to date is W2 L2 and this game to go over 2.5 goals at Bet365 is a price of 4/11 which looks likely.

Monaco have won all 12 of the UEFA competition ties in which they won the away first leg, although they had never won an away leg by a 3-2 scoreline before. But the stats are still in their favour as all five previous teams winning 3-2 away from home in the first leg of their Champions League knockout tie have progressed to the next round. Monaco have won four of their last five home games (D1) against German opposition across all competitions and they have only ever suffered one home defeat against Bundesliga opposition, which was against Borussia Monchengladbach in 1996. Overall, Monaco’s record at home to Bundesliga clubs is W4 D3 L1. Monaco only had two shots on target in the first leg, but scored with both of them, adding to the own goal that Dortmund’s Sven Bender netted. Monaco have conceded 15 goals in this season’s campaign, the worst defensive record of all sides left in. Both teams to score at Bet365 is a quote of 1/3.

Borussia Dortmund have scoring power. An abundance of it and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is outright Bet365 first goalscorer favourite at a price of 3/1. The Bundesliga side are this season’s competition (27 goals in nine games), with 30% of their goals coming in the final 15 minutes (8). In fact, Dortmund’s games have produced more goals than any other team (40 – 27 for & 13 against). But their recent form in the knockouts stages is a bit miserable as they have gone W3 L8 in their last eleven. Borussia Dortmund have lost just three of 12 European away fixtures played since though the start of last season (W7 D2 L3) but are winless in their last two (D1 L1). Dortmund holds a 3-1 record in two-legged ties against French Clubs, but their record in France itself reads W2 D2 L4. They did manage to pick up a win in their last trip to France when they visited Marseille in the Champions League Group Stage in 2013/14. They have gone W1 D2 L3 in their last six trips to France. Expect plenty more drama.

Monaco v Borussia Dortmund Betting Odds

Borussia Dortmund 13/10, Monaco 19/10, Draw 3/1

Monaco v Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Monaco Home Win: Why write Monaco off at this stage? They have goals in them which is propping up their poor defence and the Bundesliga side doesn’t have a great record in France. Look for goals at both ends, but Monaco can seal this with a win.