North London Derby 30th April 2017 odds & prediction

Spurs to silence the Gunners in derby

Tottenham
Tottenham © GEPA pictures

This North London Derby has huge significance at the top of the table, both in the Premier League title race and the race for Champions League spots next season. Tottenham are carrying brilliant form and they head into the weekend just the four points behind leaders Chelsea, who play earlier on Sunday. So Spurs will know what they have to do come kick off, but then they already know that all they can do is keep winning and hope for Chelsea to slip up somewhere down the final stretch. As for Arsenal, they are simply scrapping for a shot at the Champions League next season. It is game on at White Hart Lane.

Tottenham v Arsenal Betting Odds

Tottenham 17/20, Draw 11/4, Arsenal 3/1

Tottenham v Arsenal 2017 Infographic

For starters, this is probably going to be full of goals. Both teams have scored in each of the last six North London derbies now and both teams to score at Bet365 in this one is a quote of 1/2. You have to take into consideration two things on that front, namely, Arsenal have scored in all but one of their last 23 visits to White Hart Lane in all competitions, while Tottenham have scored at least two goals in each of their last seven league home games now. So there should be something in this for both of them and over 2.5 goals in the game returns a price of 8/15.

Tottenham have actually scored at least three goals in four of their last five home games in the league now and so they are carrying some immense scoring form at the Lane at the moment. Overall home and away, Tottenham are on an eight-match winning streak in the Premier League at the moment and they have managed to remain unbeaten on home soil all season long with a fantastic W15 D2 L0 record having been posted at the Lane. They are on a twelve match winning streak at home in the Premier League.

In midweek they had to dig deep to grind out a 1-0 away win at the in-form Crystal Palace, so that was a testament to their grit, those three points. Spurs have taken a clean sheet in four of their last five league games played (one goal conceded) and they can be backed at bet365 to win to nil at a price of 3/1 which would buck a trend of Arsenal not scoring there. Hence the big price. But Spurs are just firing along on all cylinders at the moment and they go into the game with a 14 points advantage over their bitter rivals in the standings.

Can Tottenham keep their streak going? They are actually unbeaten in five Premier League games against Arsenal now (W1 D4) and they have never before gone six in a row. There will just be that hesitation perhaps for putners in backing Spurs heavily, because of all the drawn games between these two recently. There was a 1-1 draw between them at the Emirates earlier in the season in the first North London derby of the term. Three of the last five league meetings between Spurs and Arsenal have ended in a 1-1 draw.

You have a 7/1 price at Bet365 on a 1-1 correct score for Tottenham v Arsenal betting in this one, but then again, you have to look at the number of goals they have scored lately and picture them going better than that. Harry Kane is the Bet365 outright favourite in the anytime goalscorer market at 4/5 with Son Heung-Min at 11/10 and Dele Alli at 7/5. Harry Kane has scored in four consecutive Premier League appearances against Arsenal, netting five goals in the process. No Spurs player has scored more goals versus Arsenal in the Premier League than Kane (5 – level with Gareth Bale).

So with such strong form, the pointers are that Spurs are going to record the victory in this one. Arsenal have slumped to a poor W1 L4 record away from home in their last five out on the road and that sets the alarm bells ringing. In each of those away defeats in that sequence they conceded exactly three goals. The form of the Gunners just isn’t there at the moment and they have looked nothing but ordinary in their last two league games, both one-goal margin wins over Middlesbrough and Leicester. They are looking a spent force whereas Spurs just go from strength to strength and we should see Tottenham bag three points in the North London derby on Sunday.

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