Poland v Portugal Betting Preview – Euro 2016, 30th June
This is probably going to turn out to be a pretty tight affair. Portugal have drawn each of their four matches at the tournament so far over ninety minutes whereas Poland took a risk in going defensive in their round of sixteen game against Switzerland and were taken all the way to a penalty shoot out. Poland have racked up the clean sheets in recent format and will that be enough to keep Portugal, who have now made the quarters in each of their last six European Championship appearances, quiet?
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Poland v Portugal Betting Tips
This has the look of being a pretty defensive stalemate. Poland are defensively on point at the moment with six clean sheets in their last eight games played. They are strong, they are organised and the only time that their defence has been beaten at Euro 2016 was when Xherdan Shaqiri bust out a stunner for Switzerland against them in the last round. It’s taken something very special to break them. Poland didn’t quite look themselves in that game against the Swiss, which they ultimately won on penalties. They looked content to sit and play for the shoot out for most of the second half. That’s not the Poland side we saw play so bravely against Germany in the group stage. So which way will they go here? It’s more than likely that they will be concerned about Ronaldo and keep things a little reserved at this stage. Defensive mode is likely going to win out.
Without question punters are going to be expecting the game to go under 2.5 goals which can be backed at a quote of 4/9, and there will also be appeal in the match going a little further out to 11/8 on under 1.5 goals. Both a 1-1 and a 0-0 correct score punt can be backed at a quote of 5/1 for the game. The last two meetings between Poland and Portugal have ended in a draw, so that have value in the match outright (90 minutes). The last time the two bumped heads competitively was during Euro 2008 qualifying and on that occasion, Poland came out on top with four points from the two meetings, netting two goals in each game. Robert Lewandowski and Arkadiusz Milik look as if they can damage teams, but the goals haven’t flowed yet and they are running at 7/4 and 3/1 resistively in the anytime goalscorer market. It’s not going to be easy breaking the Portugal defensive ranks.
Portugal were also put through extra time in their round of sixteen match against Croatia. In a big stalemate, Portugal slotted home a winner three minutes from the end of extra time to record the narrow victory. So with both Portugal and Poland needing extra time to break though in the last round, this one will probably go the same way. Portugal have now drawn all four of their games at Euro 2016 (90 minutes) and therefore it’s not unreasonable on backing that outcome in the match outright, or you could cover yourself with a draw no bet on one of them. Cristiano Ronaldo completely disappeared from the second half of Portugal’s game against Poland, he was really marked out of the game and had little impact, but is running at 6/5 in the anytime goalscorer market. It’s getting serious now for both and with both knowing how to defend this is likely going to need extra time. Portugal have won one of their last six played, Poland two. In the To Qualify market where Portugal are 8/15 and Poland are 6/4.
Poland v Portugal Betting Odds
Portugal 5/4, Draw 2/1, Poland 3/1
Poland v Portugal Predictions
This isn’t going very open you would imagine, both erring on the side of caution as they are wont to do. Nothing much to split them, but Poland do have more in attack to offer at the end of the day. With Ronaldo being hit and miss at the tournament, Portugal’s hopes hang on him having a good game but still, breaking Poland’s defence isn’t going to be easy. Look for the 90 minute draw.
