Southampton v Sunderland Betting Preview
This should be a good match at St Mary’s and both sides really need the points. Just one point and one place separates 16th placed Sunderland from Southampton and the Saints will be fired up to try and give themselves some breathing space away from the relegation zone. An expected home win would see the Black Cats boss Martin O’Neill under even more pressure. The form is with Southampton at the moment, but can they deliver three vital points?
Southampton v Sunderland Betting Odds at online bookmaker BetFred
Southampton Evens, Draw 5/2, Sunderland 11/4
Southampton v Sunderland Recommended Bet:
There is great value in the Saints at home for this one, and their brave, bold offensive play could well be enough to get the job done. After horrendous defensive displays from the start of the season, since November, the Saints have been much improved. Their form reads as just one defeat in their last six Premier League matches now, and they are unbeaten in their last four at St Mary’s. Winning two and drawing two of those four, Southampton kept clean sheets in both of those games and in the last six they have not conceded more than one goal in any of them. So Nigel Adkins has started to turn things around, learning to live with Premier League life. With their good discipline, the Saints have a massive chance in this match to gain an advantage over the Black Cats. Southampton have scored at a rate of 1.5 goals per game at home, their early problems leading them to conceding 1.3 goals per game. But that has tightened up a lot lately at St Mary’s where the Saints have taken 80% of all their points this season. The last time these two met in the Premier League was way back in 2003, with Southampton doing the league double over Sunderland. How they need that again. Will their offensive threat be enough to break the crumbling Black Cats?
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Only Reading have won fewer points from their last ten Premier League matches than Sunderland have. The Black Cats have taken just eight points from the last 30 available and they have rapidly slid towards the relegation zone. Sunderland did take an away win at St Mary’s the last time they were there, back in the 2007 Championship. Sunderland have taken one win from their last six matches in the league, losing four of them. Usually a tight defensive side, their defense has been opened up, conceding eight in their last four matches. The Black Cats have slipped to six defeats in their last nine and have lost their last two on the road, back to back. Three of Sunderland’s last four away matches have ended in defeat, but they have been on the scoresheet in each of their last four. But they are struggling up front again, and the gusto with which Southampton can play at, could see them on the back foot and scrambling for a point. Sunderland have taken just one win on the road all season, along with four draws and are averaging exactly a goal per game on the road, while conceding at a rate of 1.5 per game. They can throw off their muted shackles when they get behind, but usually it is too late by then. This is a big pressure match for boss Martin O’Neill, defeat could see him looking for another job. There is just straight out value in backing the home side for a win at a price of Evens with online bookmaker BetFred, given Sunderland’s leaky defence of late and improving form of the Saints.
Southampton DWWDLW, Sunderland LDLLWL
The Black Cats have conceded two goals or more in 5 of their last 8 games
Only Reading have lost more points from winning positions that Southampton this term
Southampton have received the fewest cards in the Premier League this season
Southampton did the double over the Black Cats the last season they were together in the top flight (2003)
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