Whilst browsing thru’ some football sites I found one article that suggested that 2 – 1 was the most popular correct score for betting on. I was a little doubtful myself, so I did a little bit of searching thru’ the most popular leagues. I still don’t agree with the other chaps assertion. However I’ve put together the most regular occurring scores for each league.
As a block for use, if so wanted, for use in low cost perms.
Some of these scores may seem a little out of focus to some punters but that is how they stand before play 21/01/12.
1 – 1, 1 – 2, 3 – 1, 2 – 1. These four scores account for 41% of games played so far.
1 – 0, 1 – 1, 0 – 1. 36.1% of games.
LA LIGA (SPAIN).
0 – 0, 1 – 0, 2 – 1. 35.8% of games
SERIE A (ITALY).
2 – 0, 0 – 0, 2 – 1. 32.9% of games.
1 – 0, 1 – 1, 1 – 2. 34.6% of games.
LIGUE 1 (FRANCE).
1 – 1, 2 – 0, 1- 0. 41.6% of games.
SUPER LIGA (PORTUGAL).
2 – 1, 0 – 0, 1 – 0, 1 – 1. 45.1% of games.
1 – 1, 2 – 1, 1 – 0, 2 – 0. 42.1% of games.
1 – 1, 1 – 0, 0 – 0. 36.6% of games.
2 – 1, 1 – 0, 1 – 2, 2 – 0. 42.8% of games.
One league I have not listed is Holland’s Eridivision. Some thirty percent of their games have been won by 1 – 1, 2 – 0 and 2 – 2. However games in which one or other of the teams have scored four or more goals tops the list by far. 38% of them in fact.
Not really the type of scores you can back with any confidence.
One thing that must be taken into account when using any of these stats is the overall average number of goals per match.
While the most popular scores will be less than the average it means that some games are going to go above the average.
Finding these games might be more useful than just looking for the low scoring games. Once the renegades have been found, then there are fewer games to worry about. I know this is plain to see but when considering a large number of games, it is easy to miss the obvious. It’s happened to me too many times.
The leagues to pay most attention to are, in my opinion, the more competitive ones. The Premiership, France Ligue 1 and Serie A.
The other leagues tend to have a couple of good sides and the rest are really there to make up the numbers. The French league is especially suited to correct score betting using our stats. Their three most frequent scores occur in two out of every five matches.
Portugal’s Super Liga have by far the best returns. Near to one out of two games. Even allowing for the top two sides Benfica and Porto being a cut above the rest.
These stats are only of use if a lot of study time is also applied. One again it seems that it is useful to consider the two halves of each match separately before coming to any conclusion.
It’s one of the mysteries of the beautiful game that teams are far from consistent when it come to comparing their performances home and away.
In the Premiership, Swansea are giving a good account of themselves at HOME but their away form is the worst in the league.
Managing only EIGHT goals in TEN matches.
This type of thing is prevalent throughout most leagues. A teams accuracy in front of goal at home seems to desert them when travelling. Yet another of life’s footballing mysteries.
What can anyone using these stats expect to see on a week to week basis? That is the $64.000 question.
From the studying I’ve done I would think it reasonable to expect an average of THREE correct scores in any league on any match-day. Obviously they won’t come along as you want them to all the time. Some days will be minimal whilst others will be overflowing.
Seven of the leagues covered played yesterday and today and returned 19 correct scores between them. With a couple still to play.
Five of the premiership games duly obliged.
Don’t forget. Bet sensibly. Only play with cash you can afford to lose.