Trump Impeachment Betting Odds – Donald Trump Betting Specials

Falling odds suggest impeachment chances are rising

Donald Trump
Donald Trump © GEPA pictures

Is the rug being pulled out from underneath Donald Trump? With the White House having been under continuous scrutiny since “The Donald” took office in January, betting odds on a Trump Impeachment seem to be heading towards a motion being moved forward to try and get him out of office. Trump has had Muslim Travel Bans continuously shot down by the judicial system, his health insurance reform tanked and his tax reforms have all gotten caught up in the system as well and look dead in the water.

But those are political failings only and the bigger picture of the US President is the Trump-Russia scandals that just won’t go away. With suggestions of collusion and financial ties to Russia and just about everybody that he’s hiring having some connections with the Russians as well like the fired Mike Flynn, son-in-law Jared Kushner and Attorney General Jeff Sessions, it has been a nightmare for Trump really who has gotten little done. He hasn’t been able to shake the Russia ties.

Both the House and the Senate are running their own investigations and now a special counsel in Robert Mueller is overseeing the Justice Department’s inquiry into any ties between Russian operatives and the Trump Presidential campaign. Just last week former FBI Director James Comey who was fired by Trump, gave a hammer-blow of a testimony in front of the Senate, damaging Trump’s credibility further by stating that he believed he was fired because of Trump wanting the Russian investigation to go away.

Now Mueller has beefed up his staff and is bringing in some of the top legal minds to his probe and that potentially spells more trouble down the line for Trump. The Trump-Russia links has been touted as potentially being a lot bigger, more devastatingly scandalous than arguably the biggest ever political scandal in US History, Watergate. On Monday this week, it was reported that Trump, who is unhappy about all the investigations was considering firing Mr Mueller.

The betting odds on a Trump Impeachment have naturally been shortening because of all the continuous scandals that surround the White House. So if you are following the odds then they are showing that the likelihood of an impeachment of Donald Trump is rising. Just to put that into context looking at the fall in odds at Bookmaker Bet365 since mid-February on him getting impeached.

Trump Impeachment Betting Odds Bet365

Trump to be impeached by the House in his 1st term
14 February – 2.50
18 February – 2.25
27 March – 2.10
19 May – 2.00
14 June – 2.00

So you have a clear trend running there and with Trump running at the lowest approval rating of any recent president, that has gotten worse since he went into office with the actual lowest approval rating of a new president. He blustered his way into the Oval Office with his anti-establishment anger and his approval rating has just gotten worse and worse. The historical trend is that it takes hundreds of days before a new President gets a majority disapproval rating, but Trump has has managed to blow all of those records out of the water, with him taking just eight days to get a 51% disapproval rating.

With the firing of Comey, that rating tanked drastically and sparked bookmakers like Bet365 to trim odds on an impeachment happen. It is that firing of Comey, which has sparked the allegations that in doing so, Trump obstructed justice. The impeachment process is complicated because it needs a majority from the House of Representatives to go to trial and from that, a two-thirds majority in Senate for the impeachment to them happen. What could save Trump at the end of the day is that both the House and the Senate are under Republican control, Trump’s party.

Still, that hasn’t stopped the odds on him getting impeached tumbling and that is why it is always important to keep checking back on odds. Because if the allegations of obstruction of justice are true, if there are links to Russia after it was proven by intelligence agencies that Russia hacked the 2016 US Election, then it may be very difficult for his own party to stand by him. Only two US Presidents have been impeached before, Andrew Johnson in 1868 and Bill Clinton in 1998 and both were acquitted at trials held by the Senate.

Here is a look at the history of the odds of both processes of an impeachment trial happening for Trump. They have been falling as well at Bet365

Trump to be impeached by the House in his 1st term
14 February – 2.50
18 February – 2.25
27 March – 2.10
19 May – 2.00
14 June – 2.00

Trump to be convicted by the Senate in his 1st term
14 February – 7.00
27 March – 6.00
14 June – 6.00

25th amendment (section 4) to be invoked in Trump’s 1st term
14 February – 5.00
27 March – 6.00
14 June – 3.75

Congress to decide against Trump under the 25th Amendment in his 1st term
14 February – 3.50
27 March – 3.75
14 June – 6.00

Of course, there is always the option of Trump just stepping away from the office. He has been vociferous in his talk of all the Executive Orders and legislation that he has passed when really he hasn’t gotten anything done in terms of getting anything through the House and Senate. With the intensity of the inquiries into Trump and the White House going on, there does seem to be troubled waters ahead for the billionaire. According to pollsters Gallup last week, support for his impeachment surpassed the percentage of American that approves of him. Even though it is remarkably hard to ever imagine Trump just backing down from something, even the odds on his resigning have fallen away.

Trump to resign the Presidency in his 1st term
14 February – 2.375
27 March – 2.25
19 May – 2.10
14 June – 2.10

Then you question the recent spate of political betting that have gone so far against the norm, that bookmakers have struggled to get things right. Just look at the US Election that put Trump in office and the Brexit Referendum. Nothing is ever set in stone. On the online betting site Bet365 you can find politics under the Specials section in their main menu and dive into the Trump 1st Term Specials market that they have running, including the markets we have included in this one.