US Open 2016 Men’s Singles Betting Preview & Winner Odds

Murray to finish Slam season in style

Tennis Betting

So the final Grand Slam of the tennis season is with us. The US Open from Flushing Meadows this year will be the 136th edition of the famous tournament. Heading back into the men’s draw as champion is Novak Djokovic, who has had a difficult second half of the season, which has left, for many, Andy Murray as the real favourite to go and take the title there this season. There is a long road to the prize of course and because this comes towards the ends of the season, it is a tournament which can throw up surprises because of tiredness and injuries having been built up.

US Open 2016 Men's Singles - Tennis Infographic

Andy Murray for example has certainly been busy recently in putting together some tremendously strong form. Starting with his win at the Aegon Championships in London, Murray followed that up with the Wimbledon title and then the Olympic title as well. Remarkably he turned around immediately from all of that to run to the final of the Western & Southern Open in Cincinnati. He started the week with a shoulder problem and questioned whether he was going to push through after his endeavours in Rio. He did and went to the final where he lost to Marin Cilic.

That defeat against Cilic snapped a 22 match winning streak for Murray and with appearances in the final of both the Australian Open and the French Open as well this year, it has been a big effort from the Brit. Already it has been a big year but can he make it even bigger and pretty such secure the deal in winning himself the Sports Personality of the Year Award again to boot. As for Djokovic, since winning the French Open, he lost out in the round of 32 at Wimbledon against Sam Querrey, bounced back to win the Rogers Cup over Kei Nishikori and then lost in the first round of the Olympics against Juan Martin del Potro.

So not the overwhelming form from the world number one then and that is why punters are looking at the hot form of Murray to win through at Flushing Meadows. Those two will be kept apart in the draw until the final but the question is, is there anyone else likely to creep into the picture? Really beyond Juan Martin del Potro, on the back of his run at Rio 2016 (and the bookmarks are wary of Delpo) and the big serving Milos Raonic who has come on so well over the second half of the season, there doesn’t look to be a massive threat from anyone else. There’s no Roger Federer for the tournament.

US Open 2016 Men’s Singles Betting Odds

Novak Djokovic 5/4, Andy Murray 7/4, Milos Raonic 18/1, Juan Martin Del Potro 18/1, Kei Nishikori 25/1, Rafael Nadal 25/1, Marin Cilic 25/1, Stan Wawrinka 25/1, 40/1 bar

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US Open 2016 Men’s Singles Betting Draw

Going as first and second seed respectively, Djokovic and Murray are split up on opposite halves of the draw. Really the US Open isn’t likely to start getting competitive for either of them until at least the fourth round however, Djokovic could run into Jiri Vesely in the second round, and the Czech is just one of five players to have beaten Djokovic this season. At the fourth round stage, Djokovic would most likely run into John Isner or more likely, Richard Gasquet.

Then things could get really interesting and really tricky quickly for Djokovic. Marin Cilic, who won the 2014 US Open and recently beaten Murray in the Western & Southern Open Final would be a quarter final opponent. Cilic is bang in form at the moment and could cause Djokovic some real problems. If he gets through that, then there is potentially Rafael Nadal (4th seed) lining up to meet him there. This is far from the easiest draw that the defending champion could have gotten and he will be tested at some point along the way. The inclusion therein the top half of the draw for the likes of Cilic and Nadal will of course, all push their price up at the start of the tournament.

So what does that leave Murray? Well he shouldn’t have too much trouble waltzing through to the quarter finals. He could run into Kei Nishikori in the quarters but Murray eased past him on his way to winning the Olympic Gold Medal recently, so shouldn’t falter this. But this is Murray and as we saw at the Olympics, sometimes he makes work hard for himself. His most likely semi final opponent would be Wawrinka, but that is completely up in the air because the Swiss player has a tricky quarter to try and come through before setting that fixture up. As usual with Wawrinka, when’s he’s hot he is a real handful, he just doesn’t hit that level too often.

Then now, because of his form at the Olympics Games, no-one is going to want to run into Juan Martin del Potro. He is a former US Open Champion let’s not forget, taking the title back in 2008 and he gets a wildcard entry in this one and would be on course for a quarter final showdown with Wawrinka so then the winner of that would go on to face Murray in the potential semi final.

US Open 2016 Men’s Singles Betting Predictions

Looking at things from a quarter perspective then you would realistically be looking at quarter finals of Novak Djokovic v Marin Cilic, Rafael Nadal v Milos Raonic, Dominic Thiem v Stan Wawrinka, Kei Nishikori v Andy Murray. Those are the eight most likely quarter winners in the draw so then you start weeding it out from there down to a Djokovic v Raonic, Wawrinka v Murray for the semi finals and there is only one outcome you would really expect from that line up and that would be a Djokovic v Murray Final and that would be no surprise at all really.

The only upset along the way would be Djokovic running into Cilic there in the quarter finals. The big Czech is on his game at the moment and could cause an upset over the world number one, really opening up the top half of the draw, but making Murray’s quest easier as well. But on the surface of it, once again you are really weighing up the decision of Murray or Djokovic. There are just doubts over the fitness of Djokovic at the moment and he is in a stacked top half of the draw. That should open the path for Murray to go all the way to the title. Murray to win.