I like to bet on
tennis games because there are fewer factors that
are decisive for this sport in my view. In this sport there are only two
possible outcomes that boosts chances of winning. You can't say is same
thing in soccer (2 way bets) when you play asian handicap because strong
teams that have
big handicap (AH -1.5 , AH -1.25) are not always interested
to win by a big margin. Tennis players are interested to finish their games
as fast as possible and rest. You depend just on one player to win you bet
not on an entire team. Is better to bet on big tournaments where players
have bigger motivation to win .
To help me decide easier which
bets to take I use these sites:
ATP Tour
Steve G Tennis
WTA Tour
Match Stat
and tournament official site.
My strategy:
My bets are usually
correct score sets: 2-0 (or 3-0 in big tournaments).
To do that bet I select games from bookmaker's offer.
Step 1) I like to bet on strong favourites to win with straight odds about
1.20~1.50 (but odds aren't main factor for choosing my bet) and I select
from offer games with
indicated odds;
Step 2) search info about surface that games are played at http://tennis.matchstat.com
or official tournament webpage. Surface is very important in tennis and a good player
can become bad player on other surface;
Step 3) now exclusion part: at first step I selected almost
blindly games
(only looking at odd). From games I selected at step 1, I check whether all
favourite players ( favourite is made by bookmaker ) are strong enough on
surface that is played.
--- I exclude players with poor performances on playing surface (false favourite):
I check winnig /losing record on this surface and current form (he is losing/winning
lately ? winning gives to a player peace);
--- search for serve percentages , average serving speed or returning bals
percentage won (he is a fighter)
Odds for
straight win were about 1.2~1.5 but if that player is really favourite he
should be able to win in straight sets : 2-0 ( or 3-0 ) and odds for
correct score
are bigger:
from 1.2 at straight win , at least 1.6 for 2-0 ;
from 1.4~1.5 at straight win , at least 1.9 ~2.0
Money management: fixed amount of money bet evey time.
Check bookmaker tennis rules!!! Sometimes players are injured and they have to retire.
Is better to place bets on bookmakers with "
match completed" rule.
My
statistic (average) from 78 games with 2-0 and 3-0 bets:
53 winning bets, average odds 1.87
25 losing bets, average odds 1.95
