Betting on Tennis (Correct Score Sets)

Sports Betting Strategy of David

I like to bet on tennis games because there are fewer factors that are decisive for this sport in my view. In this sport there are only two possible outcomes that boosts chances of winning. You can’t say is same thing in soccer (2 way bets) when you play asian handicap because strong teams that have big handicap (AH -1.5 , AH -1.25) are not always interested to win by a big margin. Tennis players are interested to finish their games as fast as possible and rest. You depend just on one player to win you bet not on an entire team. Is better to bet on big tournaments where players have bigger motivation to win.

To help me decide easier which bets to take I use these sites:

ATP Tour
Steve G Tennis
WTA Tour
Match Stat
and tournament official site.

My strategy:

My bets are usually correct score sets: 2-0 (or 3-0 in big tournaments). To do that bet I select games from bookmaker’s offer.

Step 1) I like to bet on strong favourites to win with straight odds about 1.20~1.50 (but odds aren’t main factor for choosing my bet) and I select from offer games with indicated odds;

Step 2) search info about surface that games are played at http://tennis.matchstat.com or official tournament webpage. Surface is very important in tennis and a good player can become bad player on other surface;

Step 3) now exclusion part: at first step I selected almost blindly games (only looking at odd). From games I selected at step 1, I check whether all favourite players ( favourite is made by bookmaker ) are strong enough on surface that is played.

— I exclude players with poor performances on playing surface (false favourite): I check winning /losing record on this surface and current form (he is losing/winning lately ? winning gives to a player peace);

— search for serve percentages , average serving speed or returning balls percentage won (he is a fighter)

Odds for straight win were about 1.2~1.5 but if that player is really favourite he should be able to win in straight sets : 2-0 ( or 3-0 ) and odds for correct score are bigger: from 1.2 at straight win , at least 1.6 for 2-0 ; from 1.4~1.5 at straight win , at least 1.9 ~2.0

Money management: fixed amount of money bet every time. Check bookmaker tennis rules!!! Sometimes players are injured and they have to retire. Is better to place bets on bookmakers with “match completed” rule.

My statistic (average) from 78 games with 2-0 and 3-0 bets:
53 winning bets, average odds 1.87
25 losing bets, average odds 1.95