Here is my new
strategy I have been thinking about. Every now and then
I see bookmakers post a match with a big favourite on a odd 1,01.
I never see any odd
below 1,01 (although some bookmakers just don't
offer the match at all when the chances of the favourite winning are much bigger).
My strategy (which I must admit is pretty boring) based on the fact that
some bookmakers DO offer matches which are
clearly going to go one way.
They offer the match anyway, with odds of
1,01, because that's the minimum.
I would like to try or it can be
profitable betting on these matches,
in which it is clearly obvious that there's just too big of a difference
in class to ever be another outcome then a
winning of the favourite
(and the loser already does well just not losing with too big of numbers).
For example:
The
World Cup Handball. You have countries like Qatar and Kuwait
(and a lot more non-European) participating, which really can't play any handball at all.
I believe f.e. Kuwait - Russia that starts in just 45 min,
if you play this match 100 times, Russia will win 100 times,
maybe even if you play the match a 1000 times, just because
one team is much much
much stronger then the other (and the
result really does matter, so no chance of the favourite
side of playing a b-squad and low motivation). Bookies shouldn't
offer this match at all, but apparently for some reason do (perhaps
because they want to offer a
full selection to their customers).
This strategy
DOESN'T mean you should take
every 1,01 you can find.
because that's the minimum.
Soccer: Chelsea - Portsmouth 1X did 1,01 at Unibet, but if you play
this match a 100 times i give Portsmouth a good chance of winning
at least once. You should find the
odds in more
obscure games
(like handball, where difference in quality is much much bigger,
because the sport isn't played on such a consistently
high level.
This weekend I spotted a few (f.e. also handball:
Skjeberg - Larvik
for example which ended 22-48 ), but i must admit there won't be a
lot of betting going on because the
1,01-games i'm looking for are pretty rare.
Since a 100 bets should be won
before you lose once to even make
it even, it will be a long term affair which should be taken with a
large bank (which means high risk if you do lose, but my hypothesis
is that you won't), but i really believe it can be done to make a nice
Long Term profit.
Lars.
