I have a simple, but mostly very effective strategy
principally only at betting exchanges
because there you
a) get better odds
than at traditional bookies (in 90% of the cases) and you
b) can build perfect surebets
due to significant odds fluctuations
Odds fluctuations are the main basis
of my strategy.
One prerequesite is that the bet is offered in-play (live)
that you can also follow the match live.
A further condition is that it is a match where
exactly one (1) goal has been scored
meaning the current score is 1-0 or 0-1.
It would be good if at the time the favourite is leading.
When you watch the match, shortly before half-time
often see that no more goal
will be scored
before the break.
Sure this can happen at any time, but my observations
have shown that during the last minutes both teams often
try to 'get into the booth' without conceding a goal.
Then you go to the betting-exchange and BACK 'under 2.5 goals'
Ideally, this should be done at about the 40th minute of the match.
are often still quite high
- e.g. 2.60 in my last bet on AC Milan - Lecce when
the score was 1-0 in min. 40'.
Now sit back for some minutes and continue watching
the game. In my case both teams really tried to get
into half-time without conceding a goal.
In the very last minutes before the half-time whistle and
after half-time the market
for over or under changes
quite a lot.
To stay with my example
: the odds decreased from
the mentioned 2.60 down to 2.24
- a perfect situation
for a surebet
Now you LAY 'under 2.5 goals'
, meaning that you bet against it,
which means you will have a definite profit
in both possible outcomes.
Every punter dreams of such situations.
The profits are not as small as you might think.
In the 'trial time' of that betting 'system' I started
backing with only 4 quid, but then increased my stakes.
I determine the amount to lay in order to have the same
profit in both possible outcomes.
In my example with AC Milan green £0.70
stood on both sides.
This way - with a £4 stake you get £0.70 to £1 net profit for sure.
This is 20% of the stake
- which is enormously high
Logically, with higher stakes also the definite net profit increases, too.
Have fun with my betting strategy.