My favourite zone of bettings are
basketball matches.
They're understimated by many betters, but basketball bets
bring
big profit if you know how to bet on them. I bet every
day on
NBA matches. By every match there are many options to
bet - but I bet most on 2way(ML), 2way with handicap, Over
and Under x points. The success come as result of a lot of
work -
information about the game and
statistics for the two
teams. When I decide to play the
match X, I take into
consideration a few factors, which I estimate from 1 to 10,
and decide which bet will I take - 1 or 2(2way with or without pointspread),
Under or Over number of points.
Factor Number 1 is the form of the two teams - I estimate for example the form
of team A with 9(9 wins in last 10 matches) and the form
from team B with 3(3 wins in last 10 matches of the team),
so here I've got big difference between the recent form of
the two teams. ---->
Note 1
The second factor is the info about this game
- Key missings(players,coaches)- if there is a big absence for one of the teams I estimate this with 2 punkts lower. If there're 2 missings with 5 - so then the note of this component for this team will be 5(by 2 key missings). ----> Note 2
- How have the two teams played in the last three games - except the record - for example W(won)L(lost)W(won), I read about the level of their play in this matches. Then I add the notes of the 3 games and do one note for the level of play of the team in this 3 games.----> Note 3
- For every match I find the weakness and strenght of the two teams and I estimate which team will have advantage. -----> Note 4
And the third factor are
statistics. I do one note for all of its components: ----->
Note 5
- The tradition in the years - for example the hosts have advantage in the years
- The form of the teams at home and away from home, and are they in winning-streak or losing-streak
- How many points scored they in past matches at home, away from home and overall.
- How many points became they in past matches at home, away from home and overall.
- Is it team A/B a high scoring team, low scoring team, good-defensive team, weak-defensive team.
I add the notes
Note 1A(10 max) + Note2A(10 max) + Note3A(10 max) + Note4A(10 max) + Note5A(10 max) = NoteA(50 max)
Then I do the same with the notes for the second team:
Note1B + Note2B + Note3B + Note4B + Note5B = NoteB
Then I deduct from NoteA(overall note for the team A) the NoteB.
If the difference is
lower than 3 it will be a close game, and I skip this game or try it
Under or Over X. points, based on te notes of the statistics.
If the difference is between 3 and 5 I bet on ML(2way). If the difference is higher than 5 I bet this game with pointspread.
Best wishes
