My name is Vincent and I want to share my betting strategy with you. I play on over/under 2.5 goals in football matches like this:
I take into consideration the last 4 matches of each team involved in the current game (that's 8 matches in total).
If a game has ended with an over 2.5 score I give it +0.5 points.
If both teams scored in that match I give it another +0.75 points (even if the match ended under 2.5).
If the game ended under 2.5 I give it -0.5 points.
If one of the teams didn't score in the match (even if it was over 2.5) I give it -0.75 points.
In the end I sum up all those points and I get a positive or negative result. To give an example:
match results 4:2 2:1 2:2 0:0 2:0 2:1 3:1 3:0
For the above matches my calculation would look like this:
+0.5 +0.75 +0.5 +0.75 +0.5 +0.75 -0.5 -0.75 -0.5 -0.75 +0.5 +0.75 +0.5 +0.75+ 0.5- 0.75 =+3.5 points.
That would mean to put a 3.5/10 units bet on over 2.5 goals. The maximum results are +10 and -10 points. That would mean a certain over 2.5, respectively under 2.5 goals match.
I usually place a bet only if I get a minimum +/-5 points result. So, for example, if I get a +6 I place a 6/10 units bet on over 2.5 goals.