AC Milan vs Sassuolo Betting Tip Milan to win & BTTS – 21st April 2021

Italy AC Milan vs Sassuolo Italy
21st April 1730hrs
Football – Italy – Serie A
Pick Milan to win & BTTS
Bookmaker Betfair
Odds: 15/8 odds taken 19:49 GMT April 18th

AC Milan will be looking to secure their third straight league success as they try and track down leaders Inter.

Milan are 9 points behind their rivals in the title race with seven matches to play.

There is a tricky home game for them in midweek as they play host to Sassuolo who have claimed back to back victories.

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AC Milan Preview – Can Milan get the home win?

A 2-1 home success over Genoa on the weekend made it back to back league wins for Milan.

They have only dropped two points in their last four league fixtures so they are in decent shape.

They have only suffered one loss in their last eight league games, that defeat being a reverse at home against Napoli.

That has left them with only one victory in their last five home league games.

But they are 4/7 odds-on favourites to take three points from this midweek fixture* (odds recorded 19:49 GMT April 18th).

The home record of AC Milan this season is W7 D5 L4.

Tellingly, all four of the defeats happened against teams who are currently in the top five with them.

Wednesday’s opponents Sassuolo are in eighth.

Our betting prediction:
AC Milan 1 Goal Margin In

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(odds recorded 19:49 GMT April 18th)


AC Milan have averaged 1.75 goals per home game this season, with a clean sheet earned in 31%.

62% of their home fixtures have ended over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 goals betting for this one is at a quote of 1/2 so the bookies expect the goals to fly around* (odds recorded 19:49 GMT April 18th).

Earlier this season AC Milan took a 2-1 away win at Sassuolo in the league.

They did have decent head to head form going against Sassuolo, remaining undefeated in their last nine.

On home turf, Milan are W3 D2 in their last five such games.

AC Milan have done a lot better away from home than at the San Siro this season, but they look the more likely of the two to come up with the victory in this fixture.


Sassuolo Preview – Can the visitors claim the points?

The recent away form of Sassuolo doesn’t really indicate that they are going to go and get the points.

It has been three losses for them in their last four league away games.

One of those was at league leaders Inter Milan recently, perhaps a good indicator for Serie A football betting on this game.

It has been back to back league successes for them, however, Sassuolo getting scores over Benevento and Fiorentina.

The one against Benevento was in their most recent away game moving them on to a W7 D3 L6 road record.

Interestingly four of their six away losses have been against teams currently in the top six.

In each of those defeats they conceded at least two goals.

Home and away this season, Sassuolo’s record against the seven teams above them is W1 D3 L6.

So that does help paint a fairly clear picture.

In the match outright for football betting, the win for Sassuolo is at 9/2* (odds recorded 19:49 GMT April 18th).

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Sassuolo have lost six of their last nine away games in the top flight, winning twice in that sequence.

They have conceded at an average of 1.6 goals per away game, taking a clean sheet in a quarter of road fixtures.

33% of the goals that they have netted in this league campaign have been scored after the 75th minute.

They have managed to score in 88% of their away games. So, it may be worth backing them to get on the scoresheet.

Both teams to score is at a quote of 4/7 for football betting* (odds recorded 19:49 GMT April 18th).


AC Milan vs Sassuolo Betting Advice

We would lean towards AC Milan collecting the home win in this one.

But because Sassuolo recently visited Inter Milan and got on the scoresheet in a narrow defeat, we think this goes the same way.

So our top football betting tip is AC Milan to win & Both Teams To Score at 15/8* (odds recorded 19:49 GMT April 18th).


Key Facts – AC Milan vs Sassuolo Betting Tip

  • AC Milan have won three of their last four league games (D1)
  • AC Milan are unbeaten in five home fixtures against Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo have lost 6 of their last 9 away games


Sassuolo have hit the back of the net in 88% of away games so can make an impact there.

But their recent overall this season against teams currently above them in the table doesn’t hint at an upset.

We would roll with the home win in this one, even though Milan’s home form hasn’t been red hot.


The best betting odds for AC Milan vs Sassuolo

AC Milan to win: 4/7 at Bet365
Draw: 3/1 at Bet365
Sassuolo to win: 9/2 at Bet365