Deportivo Alaves V Real Madrid
Saturday 30 November, 2019 (12:00 kick-off)
Spanish La Liga
Pick: Alaves +1.25 (Asian Handicap)
Odds: 7/10
Bookmaker: Unibet
Spanish La Liga Betting with 22Bet
(All betting odds displayed were correct as of 28 November 2019 at 13:45)
Preview: The early kick-off in Spain’s La Liga gets underway at around midday as Real Madrid, who are in tremendous form with three high-scoring victories in their last four league matches, travel to Mendizorrotza to tackle an Alaves side with a lean home record this season.
Deportivo Alaves Vs Real Madrid Live Stats & Betting Odds
Alaves Preview – El Glorioso inspired by own success?
Last season was an undisputed success for Alaves (13th – W5 D3 L6, GF16 GA18). The club comfortably staved off any threat of relegation to finish 11th, some thirteen points clear of the relegation places despite only winning one of their final ten fixtures. A highlight would have been the 1-0 victory in this same fixture as they registered a first La Liga victory against Real Madrid for eighteen years. A repeat wouldn’t necessarily be unthinkable.
If the club are to avoid relegation for a fourth successive term, which seems likely based on another solid first-third to the season, then it is already evident that results at home will play a big role. Of their total of 21 points registered thus far, 17 would come from seven games staged at their Mendizorrotza venue in Basque Country, where only Sevilla have departed with maximum points. Celta Vigo, Levante, Mallorca and Valladolid all lost ‘to nil’ there.
The basis for so much of this success at home has been some outstanding defensive numbers posted. Just two goals conceded (compared with 16 away!) and shutting out all but two of their seven visitors are elite statistics. Barcelona were the last team to score more than once there, in a 2-0 victory in April of last season – one of only two sides to have done so since the start of last season. Dispelling any notion of this being an easy assignment for their opponents.
Real Madrid Preview – Can Zidane’s men maintain pace with Barca?
Lately, Real Madrid (2nd – W8 D4 L1, GF28 GA10) have thrilled and exasperated onlookers in equal measure. Their previous four La Liga victories seen them score three, four, four and five goals against Real Sociedad (3-1), Granada (4-2), Eibar (0-4) and Leganes (5-0) respectively, all sides you would naturally expect them to beat but did so with aplomb for good measure. Dropping points to Real Mallorca (L1-0) and Real Betis (0-0) amidst all this was rather more unexpected.
At their best then, Los Blancos are devastating. Decidedly less so on the road (W3 D2 L1), however, where some tough fixtures would contribute to their win ratio dropping from 71% when at home to 50% when not, and their goal output falling from 18 to 10. Some of their more recent trips have also produced some rather low-key affairs; no more than a single goal being scored away to Atletico Madrid (0-0), Real Mallorca (L1-0) and Sevilla (W0-1) prior to thrashing Eibar earlier in the month.
This fixture could follow a similar pattern to many that have gone before, up against an opponent who are strong on their own patch and don’t typically concede very many goals there. It is certainly more difficult than the Mallorca fixture, which they were unfortunate to lose but still did. It was a similar story on Tuesday, in their 2-2 draw with PSG (albeit in Madrid this time), when an outstanding performance for the best part of 80 minutes was still not sufficient for the victory.
Deportivo Alaves Vs Real Madrid Key Facts:
- At home this season, Alaves have lost one game (W4 D2 L1) and conceded just two goals.
- Real Madrid have scored a minimum of three goals in each of their previous four La Liga victories, though three were at home.
- Last season’s league meeting in Alaves produced a shock victory for the home side, who were 1-0 victors on the day – their first win at home to Real Madrid since 2000.
Betting Summary
Real Madrid (8/15 Bet365) have been unplayable at times recently, scoring plenty of goals and racking up enough points to move level with Barcelona at the La Liga summit. They’re unbeaten in four in La Liga (W3 D1) and beat Eibar 4-0 during their latest away encounter, so are deserving of favouritism here. Though it seems unlikely to be easy, away to an Alaves (27/5 Unibet) outfit who are formidable at home this season, losing only to Sevilla thus far (W4 D2 L1) and keeping five of their seven opponents from even scoring.
Even at such a short price, Real Madrid will undoubtedly prove a tempting proposition for some. This does look a tricky fixture though, and away from home Real have struggled to break down teams that defend well (scoring one at Sevilla but none at Atletico Madrid and Mallorca). Alaves fall into this category, having lost only once and conceded just two goals at home all season. The hosts are a tempting 8/5 with WilliamHill to avoid defeat (Double Chance).
