Argentina Vs Brazil Betting Tip: BTTS NO – 11 July 2021

Copa America showpiece could be low on goals

Neymar da Silva / Brazil ©IMAGO / TheNews2 07/02/2021

Argentina Argentina Vs Brazil Brazil

Sunday 11 July, 2021 – 01:00
Copa America
Pick: Both Teams to Score – No
Odds: 7/10
Bookmaker: Boylesports
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 9 July 2021)

Preview: The final everyone wanted has been delivered to us. In their own backyard, at the Estadio do Maracana in Rio de Janiero, Brazil take on Argentina aiming to make it back-to-back Copa America victories following their success on home soil in 2019.

Copa America Betting at Betfair


Argentina – Sixth time lucky for inspired Messi?

A dominant semi-final display went unrewarded in normal time as Argentina were unable to build on their early momentum garnered from Lautaro Martinez’s seventh minute strike, pegged back on the hour by Colombia as the sides finished 1-1 in Brasilia. It wasn’t like they didn’t create enough chances to do so, though, with that the fourth game of six generating in excess of 2xG at this tournament.

Udinese’s in-demand midfielder Rodrigo De Paul was the only Argentine player to miss from the spot in the subsequent shoot-out. Meanwhile Aston Villa’s Emiliano Martinez proved the hero, saving three of Colombia’s efforts from 12-yards. A little too close for comfort as far as coach Lionel Scaloni was concerned. His team failinh to win for the first time in five games since opening with a 1-1 draw with Chile on 14 June.

On the whole, however, this team has been a cut above all the sides they have faced thus far, winning the xG battle in all six encounters. The odds are firmly stacked against them in Rio, though. They are facing the host nation who have won more matches, scored more goals and conceded fewer than them on route to the final – their fifth of the Lionel Messi era having lost all of the previous four he featured in.


0-0 Draw (Correct Score)



Brazil – Miserly rearguard spearheading Copa America defence?

Courtesy of Lucas Paqueta’s solitary strike in the 1-0 semi-final win over Peru, Brazil have reached a second successive Copa America final, and thirteenth overall having lifted the trophy on eight occasions. The last of those saw them record their fourth two-goal margin of victory in their last five final appearances as they overcame Peru 3-1 at the Estadio do Maracana. The venue for Sunday’s showpiece.

Brazil have easily been the best team at this tournament, and were unfortunate not to make it a flawless run to the final. Ecuador denied them that when coming from behind to claim a 1-1 draw in the final match of the group stage. Tite’s men were already assured of finishing top by that stage, having won all three prior matches versus Venezuela, Peru and Colombia by a combined aggregate of 9-1

The knockout rounds were more businesslike however, winning both encounters with Chile and Peru 1-0. Both times Lucas Paqueta netted the only goal. It means all but one victory thus far came with a clean sheet, conceding just twice from 4.1 xGA (0.68 per game). Another ‘Win To Nil’ cannot be ruled out here, especially as this is how each of their previous four head-to-head victories came about.

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Argentina Vs Brazil Betting Advice

It isn’t always the case that the cream rises to the top. This has certainly been the case at the Copa America. Argentina and Brazil both finished topped of their respective groups and, while the former were pushed to penalties in their semi-final, neither shaped as though they would lose any of their knockout matches. So this looks like being a ultra competitive final between inarguably the two best teams here.


Argentina Vs Brazil – Key Facts:

  • Defending Copa America champions Brazil are bidding to lift the trophy for a ninth time. Whereas Argentina are aiming to end 28 years of wait since winning the 1993 edition.
  • Argentina won the most recent duel between these two, a 1-0 friendly on neutral territory in 2019. However they won none of the last seven competitive meetings (D2 L5).
  • None of the previous five head-to-head matches featured both teams scoring, while only one of the past seven produced three or more goals (3-0 Brazil in WC Qualifier in 2016).


For all the attacking talent on show, it has been the defensive organisation in both camps which has allowed them to enjoy relatively untroubled passages. Between them they have allowed just five goals and recorded seven clean sheets from twelve games. Moreover, it is worth noting recent meetings tended to be cagey. Six of the last seven going Under 2.5 Goals and none of the last five seeing both teams score.

Best Betting Odds – Argentina Vs Brazil

Argentina – 11/4 (Boylesports)
Draw – 9/4 (Bet365)
Brazil – 11/10 (PaddyPower)