Bath vs Newcastle Betting Tip Bath -11 Handicap- 21st November 2020

Bath can ruins Newcastle's return to the top flight

Isaac Hayden / Newcastle United ©imago images / Colorsport 03/10/2020

England Bath vs Newcastle England
21st November 1230hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Bath -11 Handicap
Bookmaker Coral
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 04:29 GMT, Friday 20th November

The first round of Premiership action continues on Saturday and this Bath v Newcastle fixture is the opening game of the day.

Bath were a top-four finish team last season, but they lost in their Premiership semi final match against Exeter.

They finished the season in fine style and now take on the newly promoted Newcastle Falcons to start the new one.

Bet at Coral

 

Bath Preview – Bath to open in fine fashion

Bath lost just one of their final nine games of the regular season in the last campaign. That was against Wasps back at the end of August.

So while their campaign was ended in the semi finals by eventual Champions Exeter, it was some good progress from Bath.

Interestingly, they have lost the opening game of a campaign in the last two seasons.

But heading into action Bath are at 1/7 to pick up the win* (odds taken 04:29 GMT, Friday 20th November).

They did have a very good season at the Rec, winning nine of their eleven games played there last season, including a win over Exeter.

Bath collected a win in their last league fixture against Newcastle, which was back in February 2019.

Bath had been on a four match losing streak against the Falcons prior to that.

We want to go back to something from Bath’s previous campaign. That is, they were the lowest point-scorers of the top-five teams.

They were the only team in the final top seven not to make it to at least 60 tries over the course of the campaign.

Our betting prediction:
Bath 8-14 Winning Margin
5/2

Bet at Coral

(odds taken 04:29 GMT, Friday 20th November)

 

So a lot of the power was down to the defensive output of Bath, which was strong.

As Bath are favourites here for rugby betting in the match outright, we need to look elsewhere.

A Bath -13 handicap is at 10/11 odds* (odds taken 04:29 GMT, Friday 20th November) for Saturday’s match.

If we take into consideration the form of Bath over the second half of last season, they look a strong winning option.

 

Newcastle Preview – Can the Falcons fly to a win at the Rec?

This is a big moment for the Newcastle Falcons back in the top flight. In last season’s second tier, they won all of their games.

So that was a scinatilating campaign and will be eager to get their first points on the board back up the top tier.

In the match outright for rugby betting on Bath v Newcastle, the Falcons are 9/2 underdogs* (odds taken 04:29 GMT, Friday 20th November).

Until they get a few games under their belt back in the Premiership, it may be hard to judge where the Falcons are at in terms of competitiveness.

But before their relegation in 2019, they had lost their last five Premiership games to sink down to the second tier.

But then they do have a fairly decent head to head record going against Bath, winning four of their last five meetings.

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Newcastle are down in the overall head to head against Bath 16-32.

From the 16 previous wins that Newcastle have taken against Bath, just four of them have happened in their away games.

What kind of impression are the Falcons going to make back up in the top flight? This is a tough introduction against a tough Bath defence.

A Bath 1-7 HT winning margin is at 2/1 for a rugby betting option* (odds taken 04:29 GMT, Friday 20th November).

 

Bath vs Newcastle Betting Advice

We only see a win for Bath here. They are a strong team defensively and they were in brilliant form in the second half of last season.

That was one defeat in their last nine games only for Bath last season.

We have to take that into consideration and support a Bath -11 Handicap at 10/11* (odds taken 04:29 GMT, Friday 20th November).

That’s a reasonable enough margin for last year’s semi finalist against a newly promoted team.

 

Key Facts – Bath vs Newcastle Betting Tip

  • Bath won 9 of their 11 home league games last season
  • Bath are W1 L4 in their last five games against Newcastle
  • Newcastle have suffered a loss in each of their last five Premiership games
  • Newcastle won all of their second-tier match last season to earn promotion

 

As a reminder, Bath won nine of their eleven league home games last season.

So we don’t see Newcastle pulling off an upset in this one as they may take a while to settle back down at this level.

We think a Bath 8-14 winning margin at 5/2 in rugby betting has to be worth a look* (odds taken 04:29 GMT, Friday 20th November).

 

The best betting odds for Bath vs Newcastle

Bath to win: 1/7 at Bet365
Draw: 33/1 at Bet365
Newcastle to win: 9/2 at Bet365