Bath vs Newcastle Falcons
25th September 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Newcastle +7 Handicap
Bookmaker William Hill
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 19:51 GMT on September 23rd, 2021
Bath had a disappointing start to their campaign, suffering a road loss at Sale Sharks. But it was only a narrow one.
But that’s left Bath with four losses in their last five league games and need to find some form at the Rec.
The Falcons also lost last weekend, unable to get the better of Harlequins at Kingston Park. Can they produce a response?
Table of Contents
Bath Preview – Bath favourites to get off the mark
Bath suffered a narrow loss at Sale last weekend in Round 1 of Premiership rugby action.
They were just edged out by a single point margin.
So not a bad effort to start the campaign with and for Saturday’s match, Bath are 2/5 odds on* (odds recorded 19:51 GMT on September 23rd, 2021).
That loss against Sale leaves Bath with just one success in their last six Premiership fixtures (not counted declared victories).
Their home form last season was a struggle, losing six times at the Rec.
Last season Bath played host early on in the season to the Newcastle Falcons and suffered a home loss.
Can they turn the tables on them?
The overall head to head suggests that there is something in this for them.
Bath have claimed 30 Premiership victories over Newcastle (L14).
The only team that they have recorded more victories against in the competition is London Irish.
Bath have lost two of their last three league games at the Rec (W1) against Newcastle.
However, their record in their first home games of a new campaign is pretty strong.
Bath have a W7 D1 L1 record from their first home game of the last nine seasons.
Last season they opened the campaign with back to back losses.
But they are the favourites for this as they strive to make home advantage count.
A Bath -7 handicap is at a quote of 10/11* (odds recorded 19:51 GMT on September 23rd, 2021).
Newcastle Falcons Preview – Can the Falcons lift themselves?
The Falcons opened their account for the season at home against Harlequins last weekend.
They suffered a 20-26 loss against the newly crowned Premiership champions.
That’s back to back defeats in Premiership action for the Falcons, having lost their final game of last season against Quins as well.
It’s been one victory for Newcastle in their last four top-flight fixtures (W1).
In the match outright for Premiership Rugby betting, Newcastle Falcons are 21/10 for the win* (odds recorded 19:51 GMT on September 23rd, 2021).
There were some notable struggles on the road for Newcastle Falcons last season.
They collected only the two road victories, which happened in their first two away games of the campaign, actually at Bath and Wasps.
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Newcastle Falcons are a tough, hard-tackling team and put a lot of emphasis on the defensive side of the game.
They completed 80% of tackles last weekend, the third-highest tally of all teams.
At the start of the 2018/19 season, Newcastle Falcons lost their first two games of a new campaign.
They are at risk of falling to that again for the second time in three seasons.
Last season they were one of the lowest-scoring teams in Premiership Rugby and they are going to have to do a long defensive shift more than anything again at the Rec.
Bath vs Newcastle Falcons Betting Advice
We are swinging towards Bath coming up with the goods on home soil and collecting the match victory.
They weren’t far away in a much tougher looking game at Sale last weekend, so we think they edge their way to success.
A Bath 1-10 winning margin rugby bet is at a quote of 11/4* (odds recorded 19:51 GMT on September 23rd, 2021)
Key Facts – Bath vs Newcastle Falcons Betting Tip
- Bath lost last weekend against Sale Sharks
- Bath have lost two of their last three at home against Newcastle
- Newcastle Falcons were beaten at home by Harlequins last weekend
Bath’s form at the Rec in 2021 hasn’t been spectacular by any measure and we don’t expect them to win this by a big margin.
The Newcastle +7 handicap looks a reasonable fit for that at a quote on 10/11* (odds recorded 19:51 GMT on September 23rd, 2021).
Whichever way we look at this, it is likely to be a really tight duel at the Rec.
The best betting odds for Bath vs Newcastle Falcons
Bath to win: 4/11 at Bet365
Draw: 22/1 at Bet365
Newcastle Falcons to win: 11/5 at Bet365
