Bath vs Saracens
17th October 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Bath +6 handicap
Bookmaker Paddy Power
Odds: Even Money – odds taken 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021
Bath had a Bye last week in Premiership Rugby and they needed that break as well possibly, as they look to reboot.
It has been three straight league defeats for the West Country outfit and they will be under pressure at the Rec on Sunday as well.
Saracens come for a visit after collecting a good home win over Newcastle in their last top-flight fixture.
Table of Contents
Bath Preview – Can Bath get the points at the Rec?
Three games down and three defeats is not the way Bath would have wanted to start their Premiership Rugby season.
It’s been a big struggle for them so far and things are not about to get any easier.
In the match outright for Premiership rugby betting on Sunday, Bath are the 5/2 underdogs* (odds recorded 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021).
Defeats against Sale, Newcastle and then rivals Bristol Bears have seen Bath get off on the wrong foot.
In none of their three matches, this season have Bath reached 20 points in a fixture.
But a positive for Bath is that each of those losses were by narrow margins.
They have picked up a losing bonus point in each of their three losses this season.
Bath’s Premiership rugby form at the Rec is nothing to write home about either.
They have claimed one win there in all competitions since back in April, a league victory over Northampton.
But in their last three against Saracens, Bath are W1 D1 L1
In previous Premiership meetings, Bath have lost 29 matches against Saracens leaving them at W15 D3 L29.
That’s more defeats they have suffered against Saracens than any other team.
The last time that Bath went longer than three matches without a league win at the start of a new campaign was in 2001.
Last season they did lose their first two home games of the season.
So far this season, they have conceded a league-high average of 15 penalties per game which isn’t helping them out.
They may have some trouble getting close and a Bath +7 handicap is at a quote of 10/11 in rugby betting* (odds recorded 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021).
Saracens Preview – Sarries to bank the away win?
Saracens are W2 L1 on their return to Premiership Rugby action this season.
They opened their campaign with an impressive away win at Bristol Bears but then had a wobble at Leicester.
But Saracens bounced back immediately in landing a 37-23 win over Newcastle in their first home match of the season.
In the match outright for Premiership rugby betting, Saracens are 3/10 odds-on favourites* (odds recorded 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021).
On their most recent visit to the Rec, Saracens earned a 25-12 win in November 2019.
They had been on a three-match losing streak at the venue against Bath before that.
As they were in the RFU Championship last season, punters are still gauging just where Saracens are at.
They have been competitive.
Even in their loss against Leicester, who are themselves in top form, Saracens were only toppled by a single point.
So that losing bonus point earned in the fixture sees Saracens having taken something from all three fixtures.
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Saracens will step into their third away game of this campaign, having been to Bristol and Leicester.
A huge positive for Sarries is that they have conceded the fewest points per game on average of all teams away from home in this season’s Premiership.
Overall in their three matches, Saracens have only shipped one try per game on average.
So their defence is on their game at the moment. It’s been just one second-half try all season that Saracens have recorded.
We think that helps the margins stay narrow at the Rec.
The Saracens -7 handicapp does look like a risky long shot at 10/11* (odds recorded 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021).
Bath vs Saracens Betting Advice
Bath have earned a losing bonus point in each of their fixtures this season. Because of that, we think they stay close.
So it is the Bath +6 handicap at even money that we are going to push towards* (odds recorded 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021).
We do think that they come out on the wrong side of the result at the Rec on Sunday.
Key Facts – Bath vs Saracens Betting Tip
- Bath are W1 D1 L1 in their last three against Saracens
- Bath have lost all three matches this season, earning a losing bonus point in each
- Saracens have conceded just three tries this season
Only a very good Leicester side have gotten the better of Saracens this season, and that was by a single point.
So Sarries may well be able to edge past Bath and keep the West Country side winless this season in the top flight.
A Saracens 1-10 winning margin is our rugby betting option at 23/10* (odds recorded 18:33 GMT on October 14th, 2021).
The best betting odds for Bath vs Saracens
Bath to win: 5/2 at Bet365
Draw: 20/1 at Bet365
Saracens to win: 3/10 at Bet365
