Bath vs Worcester
20th March 1400hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Draw
Bookmaker Bet365
Odds: 62/25 odds taken 03:51 GMT, March 19th, 2021
Bath have been coming on strongly over the second half of the season.
Last weekend they posted their fourth win in their last five league games with a win over Newcastle.
So they head back into action this week on a return to the Rec and are red-hot hot favourites in Premiership Rugby betting to claim a win.
Things are going from bad to worse for Worcester Warriors, who extended their losing streak last weekend.
Table of Contents
Bath Preview – Bath looks value for another win
There has definitely been a big upturn in fortunes for Bath over the second half of the Premiership season.
Last weekend they claimed a 38-19 road win at Newcastle Falcons which was their fourth win in their last five Premiership fixtures.
It was an important win for them as well because they had lost their previous league game against Exeter.
So it was an immediate bounce back to form.
In the match outright for Premiership rugby betting, Bath are 1/5 odds-on* (odds taken 03:51 GMT, March 19th, 2021).
Bath have now improved to a W6 L7 record this season in the Premiership, allowing for cancelled fixture adjustments.
They are W5 L7 in their actual fixtures played, but four of those victories have been in their last five played, as mentioned.
In their home games, things haven’t gone too well for them at the Rec at all.
Bath are W1 L4 from their five home games played, the one success in that sequence happening by a 2-point margin against the struggling Gloucester.
Each of their home losses have been by a margin of at least seven points.
The handicap market is obviously going to come into play for rugby betting in this one, and a Barth -10 is at 10/11* (odds taken 03:51 GMT, March 19th, 2021).
It’s not unreasonable given how poor Worcester has been.
Bath have only won one home game in the league since September last year. Not what you would expect from them.
But they have head to head form going against the Warriors.
The only loss that Bath have suffered in their last seven matches against Worcester in the Premiership was away from home in 2019.
Bath are defending an unbeaten 16 match home record against the Warriors at the Rec in all competitions.
A Bath 1-10 winning margin looks a reasonable punt in this one at 13/8* (odds taken 03:51 GMT, March 19th, 2021).
Worcester Preview – More woe for Worcester
The Warriors suffered another defeat last weekend, leaving them winless since the opening weekend of the season.
They did manage to pick up a losing bonus point in a 20-17 defeat at London Irish last weekend.
In their last seven league defeats, Worcester have earned a losing bonus point in five of those.
So they have been keeping things tight for the large part, but they don’t look like much of an attacking threat.
They are the lowest-scoring team in the Premiership and the bottom side have averaged 15 points per league game.
Worcester have lost all six of their away games played.
All but one of those losses were by a margin of at least seven points. So they have had greater struggles on the road.
In the match outright for the fixture Worcester are quote 7/2* (odds taken 03:51 GMT, March 19th, 2021).
This looks like a really tough away match for them now.
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Since March 2019 Worcester have only claimed two league away wins and those were both at the same venue.
That was the Twickenham Stoop where they beat Harlequins and London Irish.
In all six of their away games played in this campaign, Worcester have conceded at least 20 points in a match.
That immediately puts them on the back foot and they aren’t scoring enough to overhaul that kind of deficit.
Only in two of their six away fixtures have they managed to score more than 14 points in a fixture.
Bath vs Worcester Betting Advice
This should be a comfortable win for Bath at the Rec, even though they are not carrying any kind of home form from them.
But the Bath -10 handicap at 10/11 looks like a totally viable option in rugby betting for the fixture* (odds taken 03:51 GMT, March 19th, 2021).
The West Country club tallied 38 points last weekend away at Newcastle are much better defensively than Worcester.
Key Facts – Bath vs Worcester Betting Tip
- Bath are undefeated in 16 previous games at the Rec against Worcester
- Bath have won four of their last five league games
- Worcester have won only two league away games since March 2019
It is difficult to see how the Warriors lay much of a glove on Bath and their record at the Rec is pretty terrible to boot.
Earlier this season Worcester suffered a home loss against Bath by a single-point margin.
But their opponents are in much better shape right now, so the Bath 1-12 winning margin at 13/5 comes into play for us* (odds taken 03:51 GMT, March 19th, 2021).
The best betting odds for Bath vs Worcester
Bath to win: 1/5 at Bet365
Draw: 33/1 at Bet365
Worcester to win: 7/2 at Bet365
