Bayern Munich vs Paderborn Betting Tip Paderborn +3.25 Asian Handicap – 21st February 2020

Bayern to win comfortably against bottom side Paderborn

Kingsley Coman /Bayern München ©imago images / MIS 20.02.2020

GermanyBayern Munich vs PaderbornGermany
21st February 1930hrs
Football – Germany – Bundesliga
Pick Paderborn +3.25 Asian Handicap
Bookmaker bet365
Odds: Even Money odds taken 18:43 GMT, Wednesday 19th January

Bayern Munich gets the chance to extend their lead at the top of the Bundesliga table on Friday night. They have a home game against bottom side Paderborn, so the three points are expected to go to the leaders. Is this going to just be a matter of how big of a scoreline that Bayern can up on the board?

Bet at bet365


Bayern set for an easy home win

It is hard to see past a win for Bayern Munich in this one. They are leading the title race by a point over RB Leipzig currently. The home record for Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga is W7 D2 L2 this season.

In their last home fixture, they were held to a goalless draw by the visiting RB Leipzig. That snapped a three-match winning streak that Bayern were on at home in the top flight.

Still, Bayern have won seven of their last eight league games now and they have scored at least three goals in each of their last four league successes.

In total Bayern Munich have averaged three goals per home game exactly this season. 82% of their home fixtures have made it over 2.5 goals. They have taken a clean sheet in 45% of their home games, conceding just 9 goals in 11 games.

Our betting prediction:
Bayern To Win To Nil

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(odds taken 18:43 GMT, Wednesday 19th January)

Bayern haven’t conceded in any of their last three league home games. The reigning Bundleisga champions have scored at least three goals in each of their last five games against Paderborn.

They have also been leading at both half time and full time in their 4 against them in all competitions.

Bayern Munich are undefeated in 22 of their last 24 Bundesliga home fixtures. They do have Champions League action the following Tuesday, so may ease off in the second half of this one if they are comfortably ahead.

Robert Lewandowski has opened the scoring in three of Bayern’s last four league games.


A thankless task for Paderborn

This isn’t a game that Paderborn is going to be looking forward to. However, they have taken a W2 D1 L1 record in their last four away games in the top flight.

That’s been a drastic improvement from them considering that they have a W2 D3 L5 away record for the season.

Paderborn have scored 11 goals in their 10 away games this season with a clean sheet recorded in two. To their credit, they are only averaging 1.8 goals per game against them away from home. So it’s not dreadful.

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Paderborn’s defensive record on home soil is far worse. Of the goals that Paderbon have conceded away from home this season, 61% of them have been after the half time break. They did only lose 3-2 at home against Bayern earlier in the season.

On their travels to clubs currently sat inside the top ten this season, Paderborn are W1 D3 L3. Only two clubs in the division have worse defensive records than they do.


Bayern Munich vs Paderborn Betting Advice

This would be a sizable shock if Paderborn didn’t leave with a defeat from this massively difficult trip to Munich. However, they haven’t been bad. At least in terms of not having conceded more than two goals in any of their last four away games.


Key Facts – Bayern Munich vs Paderborn Betting Tip

  • Bayern Munich have lost just two of their last 24 league home games
  • Bayern Munich average three goals per home game this season
  • Paderborn are bottom of the Bundesliga


Bayern have the quality and power to get an easy win on the board here. But they may take it easy in the second half with a return to Champions League action next Tuesday in mind. So Paderborn may just be able to cover a +3.25 Asian handicap.


The best betting odds for Bayern Munich vs Paderborn

Bayern Munich to win: 1/20 at Bet365
Draw: 12/1 at Bet365
Paderborn: 25/1 at Bet365