Bochum Vs Bayern Munich Betting Tip: Under 3.5 Goals – 12 February 2022

Hosts can atone for record 7-0 drubbing in reverse fixture?

Eduard Loewen / Bochum ©IMAGO / Ulrich Hufnagel 01/22/2022

Germany Bochum Vs Bayern MunichGermany

Saturday 12 February, 2022 – 14:30 (GMT)
German Bundesliga
Pick: Under 3.5 Goals
Odds: 23/20
Bookmaker: BetVictor
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 10 February 2022)

Preview: With their lead atop the Bundesliga back to nine points, there is resignation in Germany that Bayern Munich will end 2021-22 winning a tenth consecutive league championship. That is unless Bochum, who do boast an excellent record here at their Vonovia-Ruhrstadion, can do the chasing pack a favour.

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Bochum – Germany’s second-best home defence to rise to the challenge?

Just the seven teams have more points on the board in Bundesliga home games this season than Bochum, with their tally of 18 from 10 such fixtures accounting for more than seventy per cent of their overall total. Clearly then every outing at Vonovia-Ruhrstadion matters, even those against the league’s finest – and there are none finer than current Bundesliga leaders and record German champions Bayern.

Not that Saturday’s hosts will be overly excited at the prospect of facing a side which put seven past them without reply in September. Nevertheless, this is a Bochum which shouldn’t lack for belief. Their record as hosts is better than most (W5 D3 L2), as is their eight conceded from ten such matches – that the second best figure in the German top-flight. Moreover, it is one loss in four since the turn of the year (W1 D2).

Key Stat: By drawing 1-1 away from home versus Hertha Berlin last time, promoted Bochum have now won only once in their past seven Bundesliga matches (D3 L3). Though they have lost only one of the last eight as hosts (W4 D3).

 

Bayern Munich & Under 2.5 Goals
4/1

Betfair

 

Bayern Munich – Another championship for the collection now inevitable?

In the long history of the German Bundesliga, only one team – that being Borussia Dortmund in 2018-19 – has squandered a lead as big as the one currently enjoyed by Bayern Munich. This after a 3-2 victory in the previous round that was certainly hard-earned at home to RB Leipzig, who were on top for spells and were ultimately undone by an own goal, saw them open up a nine point buffer over second place.

The bare numbers are frightening. A depleted version of Bayern may have succumbed to Gladbach in their first competitive showing of 2022, but since then it has been a bulldozing experience for the opposition. Between FC Koln, Hertha Berlin and RB Leipzig, 11 were conceded to Julian Nagelsmann’s ruthless charges – who can become the first-ever Bundesliga team to net four or more in four successive away outings.

Key Stat: Bayern are on a run of four successive away victories in league play, having lost once on their travels all season (W8 D1 L1). In fact, the only occasions in which they didn’t score at least twice on the road were the only times they failed to win: 1-1 vs Gladbach, 2-1 vs Augsburg.

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Bochum Vs Bayern Munich Betting Advice

Preparing to face the behemoth that is Bayern Munich is daunting at the very best of times. Even more when that very team are coming off three-straight victories in which they’ve amassed eleven goals while scoring a minimum of three in each. The task, then, for plucky Bochum will be somehow stifling an attack with the best goals return at this stage of the season (68 in just 21 games) in Bundesliga history.

 

Bochum Vs Bayern Munich – Key Facts:

  • Bayern Munich are threatening to run away with another league title, now nine points clear of anyone else after their third successive victory last time out.
  • Bochum could provide some resistance to the champions-elect though. They are W5 D3 L2 as hosts this term, concede less than a goal-a-game on average (0.8) and are yet to ship more than two at their Ruhrstadion.
  • However, this is a Bayern side bidding to become the first Bundesliga team ever to score four or more in four successive away matches.

 

It may seem odd then, bordering on absurd, that I would choose to oppose goals. However, for all Bayern are a machine going forward, their opponents are no slouches defensively. So much so that not even Bayern themselves can boast a meaner goals-against record at home than Bochum. The latter’s incredibly well-drilled backline is yet to be breached more than twice in ten Ruhrstadion outings – and only eight times in all.

Best Betting Odds – Bochum Vs Bayern Munich

Bochum – 14/1 (WilliamHill)
Draw – 6/1 (PaddyPower)
Bayern Munich – 2/9 (Bet365)