Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg Betting Tip Dortmund win/Over 3.5 goals – 29 February 2020

Dortmund to cruise another home game

Nicolas Höfler / Freiburg ©imago images / Revierfoto 29.02.2020

GermanyBorussia Dortmund vs FreiburgGermany
29th February 1430hrs
Football – Germany – Bundesliga
Pick Borussia Dortmund win/Over 3,5 goals
Bookmaker Paddy Power
Odds: 17/4 odds taken 2000 GMT, Friday 28 February

Dortmund have not giving up hope yet of winning the title but need a near flawless rest of the season to do that. They face Freiburg on Saturday, a team who are struggling to find any consistency at the moment.

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Borussia Dortmund Preview – Will improving Dortmund make it five wins in six league games to stay with top two?

The 4-3 defeat away to Bayer Leverkusen at the start of this month looked to have ended any hopes Borussia Dortmund had of challenging for the title. A draw between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, coupled with two straight wins in the league for Dortmund means they are again within touching distance. They come into Saturday’s game in third place and four points behind leaders Bayern who also play tomorrow.
The inconsistencies which have plagued Dortmund’s season so far are indicated by the fact they have not won more than three games in a row since August. When you consider their squad and the resources they have, they need to be doing better.
Our betting prediction:
Jadon Sancho to score anytime

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There’s no doubting the January signing of Norwegian sensation Erling Haland has given Dortmund a new lease of life. His nine goals in the Bundesliga alone, from just six games, is hugely impressive. Unsurprisingly that’s a league record and he’s also taking his form into the Champions League scoring both against PSG in the recent last-16 tie.
Should he keep up that sort of goals to games ratio then it will dramatically improve Dortmund’s chances of success both domestically and in Europe.

Freiburg Preview – Can faltering Freiburg return to form and pull off a big shock in Dortmund?

The frustrating thing for Freiburg is that they are performing better against the top teams in the Bundesliga and worse against the teams below them. Currently ninth, last weekend’s defeat at home to Fortuna Dusseldorf was their sixth defeat in nine matches against teams who are placed 13th or below in the table. Christian Streich will be frustrated as despite being only three points outside the European spots, it could and probably should be even better.

It’s now two wins in six matches since the winter break but they have managed just four points from their last five games.


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Another concern for Freiburg coming into this game is their lack of goals. It’s three blanks in their previous five matches which is more than the previous 18 where they failed to hit the net twice. Although a small sample, the two are clearly related and is an explanation for their recent poor form.

Goals from open play are even more of a concern for Streich as his team have scored just three in their last 12 games which is a league low. It’s in contrast to goals from set pieces which have been responsible for nine of their last 13 strikes.


Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg Betting Advice

As always seems to be the case for games involving the Dortmund, the meeting with Freiburg earlier in the season was full of entertainment. On course for all three points, a late own goal led to the match finishing in a draw and two valuable points dropped. The home team can afford no such slip-ups here, however, and have to make it four wins in all competitions.
It could barely be a better opponent for them to get that win as Dortmund are unbeaten against Freiburg in their last 17 league meetings, winning 14 of them.

Key Facts – Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg Betting Tip

  • Dortmund are undefeated in their last 17 league games against Freiburg, winning 14 of them
  • Freiburg have taken just four points from their last five games, dropping out of contention for Europe
  • A last-minute own goal secured Freiburg a point when the teams met earlier this season


The current form of both teams provide even more confidence in Dortmund getting the win here. Seven of Dortmund’s 11 home games this season have been won when there have been at last four goals scored., while nine of them have also went over 3.5 goals. That looks like another solid bet in their current form.



The best betting odds for Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg


Borussia Dortmund to win: 1/5 at Bet365
Draw: 6/1 at Bet365
Freiburg to win: 12/1 at Bet365