Brighton Vs Leicester City
Brighton Vs Leicester City Saturday 6th March 2021 – 20:00 (Sky Sports)
English Premier League
Pick: Leicester Draw No Bet
Odds: Evens
Bookmaker: BetVictor
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 4th March 2021)
Preview: An important contest with the potential for significant ramifications at both ends of the Premier League table, as a Brighton side hovering precariously above the relegation zone play the role of host to top-four aspirants Leicester.
English Premier League Betting at Bet365
Table of Contents
Brighton – Architects of their own demise?
In January, a run of three wins in four – all by virtue of 1-0 scorelines – should have lit the touchpaper on a dazzling second half of the season for Brighton (W5 D11 L10). Two of those victories caught the eye, beating Tottenham and Liverpool in back-to-back fixtures either side of February. Since then, Graham Potter’s frustrating side have failed to win in four, having taken two points from the last twelve available.
This frustration reached boiling point last time out. In a contest which will live long in the memory for the controversy surrounding Lee Mason’s decision to disallow a perfectly legitimate Lewis Dunk goal following a quickly taken free-kick, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Brighton spurned two penalties, along with numerous other scoring opportunities, as they went down 1-0 on the road to second-from-bottom West Brom.
The Seagulls were the better side, the more productive of the two teams, at The Hawthorns. But, as has been the recurring theme all season, they came away empty handed. Now, Potter’s side return to The Amex where they boast one league win all season (W1 D7 L5), while averaging less than a goal-a-game, but are nevertheless unbeaten across their last four top-flight contests (W1 D3).
Leicester – Traveling Foxes on the prowl?
The Foxes (W15 D5 L7) could boast the best away record in the Premier League going into Wednesday’s encounter with Burnley. That remains the case, now W9 D4 L1 for the season on the road, despite only mustering a 1-1 draw in Lancashire against relegation-threatened opposition. However, courtesy of Kelechi Iheanacho’s well-taken equaliser, they remain unbeaten on their travels in the league since mid-November.
Brendan Rodgers’ side have won five of nine away league fixtures since losing 3-0 at Liverpool on 22 November, recording wins over similar opponents to that which awaits them on Saturday in the shape of Fulham, Newcastle and Sheffield United. Clearly then, Leicester have what it takes to gain the upper hand over the lesser sides, having also comfortably won the reverse fixture 3-0 at the King Power Stadium.
That latter success extend the Foxes’ excellent record against the Seagulls, who are winless in all eight meetings in league and cup since earning a first ever Premier League promotion in 2017. Leicester winning all-but two, including both meetings in 2020-21 thus far: following up their easy win in the league by grounding out a 1-0 triumph, again at home, in last month’s FA Cup tie.
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Brighton Vs Leicester Betting Advice
The data darlings of the Premier League this season, Brighton continue to underwhelm despite boasting some of the best underlying metrics in the division. This is especially true at The Amex, where only Man City boast a stronger process than Graham Potter’s men, who have taken 10 points from a possible 39 at home so far. Losing one of the last five such matches (W1 D3 L1) but recording one win all season (W1 D7 L5).
Brighton Vs Leicester – Key Facts:
- This fixture pits the team with the poorest record at home (Brighton – W1 D7 L5) against the league’s most productive outfit away from home (Leicester – W9 D4 L1).
- Eight of the past nine league games involving Brighton featured no more than two goals, while six of Leicester‘s past eight away contests went Under 2.5 Goals.
- Leicester are unbeaten in all seven Premier League meetings (W5 D2) with Brighton, who couldn’t even conjure up a goal in five of these, including each of the last three.
In a sense, then, we have the league’s biggest underachievers in home fixtures going up against the best travellers, with Leicester registering 31 of 42 points away from home (W9 D4 L1). That sole defeat at Anfield in November. Brendan Rodgers has to make do without some important personnel, notably attackers Maddison and Barnes. However, this is a team with a penchant for delivering on the road – a trait Brighton sorely lack on the South Coast.
Best Betting Odds – Brighton Vs Leicester
Brighton – 31/20 (Betfair)
Draw – 11/5 (Betway)
Leicester – 9/5 (PaddyPower)
