Bristol Bears vs Leicester
30th September 17:30hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Bristol -22 handicap
Bookmaker Bet36
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 20:33 GMT, Tuesday 29th September
This is a big game for the Bristol Bears who saw Sale Sharks win on Tuesday night. That leaves the Bears five points outside of the top four right behind the Sharks.
So they have to come up with a win in this one at Ashton Gate against the Tigers on Wednesday to keep their top-four hopes alive.
Leicester have been out of form in this season’s Premiership and they are the big underdogs for this fixture.
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Bristol Bears Preview – Bears have to raise their game for crucial win
The Bears have collected only the two wins in their last five games. Those were successes against Worcester and Northampton.
Now they need a win on Wednesday to take their top-four ambitions through to the final round of matches.
A bonus point win in this one would serve them extra well too, so they have to come out hard and fast at Ashton Gate against Leicester.
The only loss that Bristol Bears have suffered in the league this calendar year at Ashton Gate was against Exeter back at the end of August.
They are long odds-on favourites to collect the match win here and a Bristol -22 handicap is at 10/11 odds* (odds taken 20:33 GMT, Tuesday 29th September).
There has not been a rest for Bristol who powered their way past Bordeaux-Begles in the European Challenge Cup semi final last Friday.
That was a strong 37-20 result from them and it was their fourth win in their last five games across all competitions.
The Bears have scored at least 35 points in each of their last five games played as well, so they are scoring very well at the moment.
So that alone indicates that the -22 handicap option on them mentioned above, is viable for rugby betting.
Bristol Bears will also be out for a bit of revenge having lost at Welford Road in the seasons’ first meeting with the Tigers.
Bristol are W2 L3 in their last five against Leicester, but won their last home game against them convincingly by a 41-10 scoreline.
Leicester Preview – Tiger’s unlikely to stop the Bears again
Leicestser collected a four-point margin win over Northampton on home turf in their last league game.
That was a welcome bit of respite for them because they had lost six of their seven games before that in the Premiership.
They too have had a bit of extra workload recently having reached the semi finals of the European Challenge Cup too, just like Bristol.
However, after receiving a walkover in the quarter finals, Leicester were then up against the red-hot Toulon and found the French side far too much for them.
But that run to the final four regardless of how it came about, will be the bright spark of their season because they have found the league going tough.
The Tigers are second from bottom, being spared relegation threats because of the points deduction that Saracens were hit with.
Leicester are on a W6 D1 L13 record for the season.
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The only team to have scored fewer points in this season’s Premiership is Worcester and the Tigers are only averaging around 17 per game.
When it comes to putting tries on the board, Leicester are bottom of these stats there, with four fewer than the next lowest tally of the Worcester Warriors.
The head to head doesn’t make for bad reading for Bristol really as they have suffered just two defeats in their last ten league games against them.
But they have only won one of their three previous visits to the Ashton Gate venue specifically.
The last time that Lecister won back to back matches against Leicester was in 2018 and they are running as 8/1 underdogs in the match outright to pull it off on Tuesday* (odds taken 20:33 GMT, Tuesday 29th September)..
Bristol Bears vs Leicester Betting Advice
Given that Leicester haven’t won an away game in the 2020 calendar year, it’s hard to see them lying much of a glove on Bristol.
In fact, the last league win away from Welford Road that Leicester took was in April last year.
So of course we have to have a long hard look at the home win, but not through the match outright where there is simply no value.
So the Bristol -22 handicap is reasonable at 10/11* (odds taken 20:33 GMT, Tuesday 29th September).
Key Facts – Bristol Bears vs Leicester Betting Tip
- Bristol Bears are W2 L3 in their last five against Leicester
- Bristol Bears have scored at least 35 points in each of their last four games in all competitions
- Leicester have won 2 of their last 7 league games
We will also have a healthy 21-30 winning margin therefore at a quote of 16/5 as the Bears need a big win here to get level with Sale by collecting bonus points* (odds taken 20:33 GMT, Tuesday 29th September).
We expect nothing but fire and fury from the home side at Ashton Gate against a team who doesn’t pose a great attacking threat.
The best betting odds for Bristol Bears vs Leicester
Bristol Bears to win: 1/20 at Bet365
Draw: 40/1 at Bet365
Leicester to win: 8/1 at Bet365
