Burnley Vs Brighton
Burnley Vs Brighton Saturday 14 August, 2021 – 15:00
English Premier League
Pick: Draw
Odds: 21/10
Bookmaker: BetVictor
(Odds shown correct at time of writing: 12 August 2021)
Preview: Just two points separated Burnley and Brighton at the end of last season’s top-flight campaign, the pair finishing in 17th and 16th respectively. So this should be a competitive opening fixture at Turf Moor, a ground where the sides contested a 0-0 draw in 2020-21 – the sixth between them across eight Premier League meetings.
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Table of Contents
Burnley – Clarets targeting first home win since January?
Despite an eleven point buffer over last season’s bottom three, Burnley still endured a disappointing campaign last time around and weren’t far off losing their top-flight status. The Clarets ended 2020-21 in free fall, losing seven of their final nine fixtures. This included all of the of the last three without scoring. Finishing only above the relegated trio of Fulham, Sheffield United and West Brom in 17th.
Their form at Turf Moor was especially troubling. Burnley begun the previous term by losing their first three outings in Lancashire. They would end it with four straight defeats, going their final ten home matches without registering maximum points (D5 L5). Meanwhile none of the teams still in the Premier League recorded fewer goals scored (14) or a worse actual goal difference at home (-13) than Sean Dyche’s men.
Burnley failed to score in their final three league games last term, and only six times across their last ten at Turf Moor. Yet with no significant incomings in the attacking third, the goalscoring burden is set to fall on Chris Wood’s broad shoulders once again. The New Zealand international had a busy summer with the Olympic team but comes off a 12-goal season in the Premier League. Moreover, the Kiwi has three goals in his last four appearances versus Brighton.
Brighton – Can Seagulls fulfill underlying promise?
The Seagulls Premier League tenure was extended into a fifth season after a mixed 2020-21 which seen them deliver a number of eye-catching displays, fare extremely well in numerous underlying metrics, but were still left with a sense of what might have been. Particularly as they approach this new season without arguably their most consistent performer last time around in central defender Ben White.
White was sold to Arsenal for an exorbitant fee, with very little of that being reinvested into the team. Nevertheless in Graham Potter they boast an astute coach – among the finest in the country if you believe Pep Guardiola. And yet, with their achilles heel being putting the ball in the back of the net, we are yet to see a serious upgrade on 2019-20 and 2020-21 club top scorer , and perennial under-performer, Neal Maupay.
Brighton underperformed their xGF by more than 15 last season, meaning the average side, with the quality of chances Brighton created, would have both scored far more and accumulated significantly more points. Potter’s men averaged 0.95 goals per-game on the road last time, scoring only twice in their final five away outings in which they accrued a solitary point and even managed to lose to bottom side Sheffield United.
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Burnley Vs Brighton Betting Advice
Their pair of league meetings last season failed to produce a winner, continuing a theme which has seen eight of the last eleven head to heads end all square. A similar outcome cannot be ruled out. In 2020-21, Brighton played out more draws than any other side in the English top-flight, though just five of their tally of 14 were away from home, while only Brighton themselves recorded more draws at home than Burnley.
Burnley Vs Brighton – Key Facts:
- Six of the eight Premier League matches between Burnley and Brighton have ended in a draw, including both meetings in 2020-21.
- Burnley are seeking their first win at Turf Moor in league competition since January, when coming from behind to beat Aston Villa 3-2, a run of ten home games (D5 L5).
- Brighton produced more wins on the road last season than at home (5 to 4), but ended the campaign winless in five (D1 L4) away having scored only twice.
Burnley haven’t won any of the previous ten Premier League matches at Turf Moor, since a 3-2 win against Aston Villa on 27 January. Brighton last won away on 14 March in a 2-1 victory over Southampton, collecting one point from five subsequent games away from The Amex. With goals between the sides typically in short supply (six of eight Premier League meetings Under 2.5), a low-key opener could be on the cards in Lancashire.
Best Betting Odds – Burnley Vs Brighton
Burnley – 11/5 (Betway)
Draw – 21/10 (BetVictor)
Brighton – 6/4 (PaddyPower)
