Burnley Vs Newcastle Betting Tip: Draw – 11 April 2021

Turf Moor stalemate between draw specialists

Liridon Krasniqi / Newcastle ©IMAGO / AAP 04/05/2021

England Burnley Vs Newcastle England

Sunday 11th April 2021 – 12:00 (Sky Sports)
English Premier League
Pick: Draw
Odds: 11/5
Bookmaker: BetFred
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 8th April 2021)

Preview: A brace from Callum Wilson when these side met in December earned Newcastle a 3-1 win at St James’ Park. The Magpies are without their leading scorer for Sunday’s visit to Turf Moor though, which could be to the advantage of Burnley, seeking to win for only the second time in the past seven meetings between these sides.

English Premier League Betting at Bet365


Burnley – Sean Dyche’s side inching towards safety?

Southampton’s sensational comeback last Sunday from 2-0 down to win 3-2 at St Mary’s left Burnley (W8 D9 L3) with work to do in the bottom half of the table. The Clarets remain a healthy seven points above the relegation places but are making very little inroads at present, having won only once in the league in seven games (D4 L2) – that at Goodison Park where Everton have toiled since the turn of the year.

The loss to Southampton was all the more remarkable as it was the first time since January 2015 that Burnley lost a match that they had led 2-0. Chris Wood’s seventh Premier League goal of 2020-21, and third in as many matches, had them ahead with little over ten minutes gone on the South Coast and means a league-high 33% (8 out of 24) of their league goals this season have come inside the opening 15 minutes.

Another notable theme has come at Turf Moor where the Clarets have drawn each of their last five fixtures – they last drew six consecutive home league games in 1936, according to Opta – and are winless in six since producing a spirited comeback of their own to beat Aston Villa 3-2 in January. That one of five home games to have seen both teams net in their previous seven league encounters in Lancashire.


1-1 Draw (Correct Score)



Newcastle – Lack of firepower denting survival hopes?

At the time of writing, only four teams in this season’s Premier League had accumulated less xGF than the 34.9 from 30 games of Steve Bruce’s side. So you could imagine most observer’s consternation when, at the full-time whistle of last week’s enthralling contest with top-four hopefuls Tottenham at St James’ Park that ended in a 2-2 draw, Newcastle (W7 D8 L15) had racked up a staggering 3.86 xG.

The sheer fact Newcastle only scored twice, rescuring a point late on with a goal scored from a player currently on-loan from Spurs’ fierce North London rivals Arsenal, spoke much about the Magpies struggles in front of goal. Especially in the continued absence of leading scorer Callum Wilson. There was, however, just a second league goal of the season for the club’s most expensive signing, Brazilian forward Joelington.

That point could prove invaluable in the long run. In the here and now, though, it leaves the club uncertain of its future amid only three points worth of breathing space on 18th-placed Fulham after a winless run of seven in the league (D4 L3). This includes three losses across their previous four away outings – though three points on Sunday would hand them their second league double over Burnley in three seasons.

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Burnley Vs Newcastle Betting Advice

Newcastle did the double over Burnley in the Premier League in 2018-19 and have an opportunity to repeat the trick on Sunday, after claiming a 3-1 win when these sides met earlier in the season. That was with Callum Wilson spearheading the Magpies attack, the former Bournemouth man grabbing two goals at St James’ Park, and his continued absence has deprived Steve Bruce of a regular source of goals.


Burnley Vs Newcastle – Key Facts:

  • A 3-1 win at St James’ Park in December means Newcastle can do the double over Burnley in the league for a second time in three seasons.
  • Burnley have drawn each of their last five Premier League home games, four of those by way of a 1-1 scoreline. Chris Wood has scored in all of their past three matches.
  • Newcastle are without a win in the Premier League for seven matches (D4 L3). They have lost three of their last four away fixtures, failing to score in three of these outings.


Prior to last week’s 2-2 draw at home to Tottenham, Newcastle had managed just two goals in six league games. They remain winless in seven (D4 L3). Fortunately for them, Burnley are in a similar rut, with one win from their last seven league games (D4 L2), but are at least netting regularly. It is now six in four, having scored twice in each of the last two. Yet both teams’ recent form is littered with too many draws to be trusted.

Best Betting Odds – Burnley Vs Newcastle

Burnley – 13/10 (Betway)
Draw – 11/5 (BetFred)
Newcastle – 5/2 (Bet365)