Burton Vs Aston Villa Betting Tip: Both To Score – 15 September 2020

Brewers capable of pushing Villa close

Ben Turner / Burton Albion ©imago images / ZUMA Press 04/11/2017

Burton Vs Aston Villa

Tuesday 15 September 2020 – 19:45 (GMT)
EFL Cup (Carabao Cup)
Pick: Both Teams to Score
Odds: 20/23
Bookmaker: Betfair
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 13 September 2020)

Preview: In a repeat of their second round encounter in 2018, Burton Albion host Premier League Aston Villa at Pirelli Stadium on Tuesday with the winner moving on to the third round of this season’s EFL Cup. Can the home side produce another huge upset?

EFL Cup Betting at 22Bet


Burton Preview – Cup specialists can cause a stir?

Just two seasons ago, Burton defied all logic by reaching the semi-finals. It took a brutal put down at the Etihad by Man City to eventually dispose of the League One outfit, whose list of scalps until then included three Championship teams – including a 1-0 victory over Tuesday’s opponents Aston Villa, who have since secured top flight promotion – as well as Premier League side Burnley.

A similar performance this season unfortunately seems far-fetched based on the Brewers’ early exploits under new manager Jake Buxton. Saturday’s 2-1 loss away to Fleetwood Town marking a third successive winless outing since their 2020-21 campaign begun with a penalty shoot-out success over Accrington Stanley in the EFL Cup first round, having then lost via that same method to Peterborough in the EFL Trophy.

All three contests retained a consistent theme, however: goals at both ends of the pitch. Meanwhile they were only denied a third-straight draw inside 90 minutes by a late Fleetwood winner at the weekend. In fact, draws have also proven very popular in Staffordshire, with Burton drawing each of their previous six competitive matches inside their own ground stretching back into last season.


Draw & Both Teams to Score



Aston Villa Preview – Expect a strong XI from Dean Smith?

A valiant display at Wembley in last season’s EFL Cup final, when losing 2-1 to a Man City side which has made this competition their own in recent times, may have given Aston Villa a taste for more this season. However, there is more chance of the club making an early exit than embarking on another deep run, after failing to make it beyond the second round in three of the previous five seasons prior to the 2019-21 final.

Furthermore, a light pre-season – with their only friendly on record being Saturday’s behind-closed-doors clash with Man Utd, which the Villains won 1-0 – could mean Dean Smith’s men are undercooked ahead of a second venture to the Pirelli Stadium in the past two seasons, having suffered a shock 1-0 loss at this same stage of proceedings in 2018.

It would be a surprise, therefore, were Smith not to name a strong XI, likely to include talisman Jack Grealish and new signing Ollie Watkins, in preparation for Monday’s Premier League opener at home to Sheffield United. That would naturally make Villa, who negotiated their final four league games of 2019-20 unbeaten (W2 D2) to miraculously stave off relegation, strong favourites to progress inside 90 minutes.


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Burton Vs Aston Villa Betting Advice

Across five competitive meetings all contested since 2016, Burton have won only once – but their sole victory, a 1-0 scoreline at the Pirelli Stadium in 2018, was arguably the catalyst for their phenomenal run to the EFL Cup semi-final. Aston Villa have otherwise been on top, though, with three of their wins coming over two seasons when the pair were both in the Championship. Villa have come a long way since.


Burton Vs Aston Villa – Key Facts

  • Each of the last six home games for Burton Albion have ended in a draw, with five of those scoring draws.
  • Aston Villa are without an away win in any competition in their last ten such matches (D5 L5), since a 2-1 win at Turf Moor against Burnley in January.
  • Across their five previous competitive meetings there has only ever been one victory for Burton (W1 D1 L3) – a 1-0 victory at home in the second round of the 2018-19 EFL Cup.


As always, the strength within the line-ups has to be taken into account, which we aren’t privy to. Nonetheless, it would be a surprise were Dean Smith not to use this match as a useful prep run for their upcoming league assignments. Burton rarely misfire, though, scoring in all three competitive fixtures so far this season and only once on home soil in the last eleven. Another entertaining draw beckons. 1-1 Draw.

Best Betting Odds – Burton Albion Vs Aston Villa

Burton – 5/1 (Betfair)
Draw – 16/5 (PaddyPower)
Aston Villa – 8/15 (Bet365)