Carlisle vs Newport
10th March 1945hrs
Football – England – League Two
Pick Draw
Bookmaker Bet365
Odds: 11/5 odds taken 1704 GMT Monday 9th March
Carlisle failed to get any points from their weekend fixture and it’s now been a while since they picked up a league home win. Newport were successful in their last game, but their away form is really in the gutter at the moment.
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Carlisle looking to snap winless home streak
The Cumbrians have failed to win any of their last four league games at Brunton Park after a 3-0 defeat against Colchester on the weekend. In total Carlisle have banked the one win in their last nine league home games (D5 L3).
Their overall home record for the campaign is W4 D7 L7. They are sat inside the bottom six, but with a comfortable 9-point cushion between themselves and the drop zone. So they aren’t in any real danger there
There has been a significant trend with Carlisle’s results this season. All but two of their 15 league losses this season have been against teams who finished the weekend inside the top 9.
All but one of their league victories have been against teams who finished the weekend in the bottom half of the table. Carlisle are averaging under a goal per game at Brunton Park this season.
Eight of their nine league wins this season have been by a one-goal margin.
The Cumbrians suffered a 1-0 loss in south Wales when they met Newport in early October. They are significantly down in the head to head overall, as their record against Newport is W2 D2 L7.
Newport’s away-day woes
Newport took a 1-0 home success over Morecambe on the weekend to continue what has been a very decent run of home form. Their away form however, is awful. They are on a five-match losing streak on the road.
Newport have lost 9 of their last 10 league away games and their road record for the entire campaign is W3 D3 L10. The Exiles have averaged 0.75 goals per away game this season and only 38% of their away fixtures have made it over 2.5 goals.
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So the trend would lead to the suggestion of a low-scoring game in Carlisle v Newport betting. Newport have won their last two meetings with Carlisle to nil, but with them having not scored in four of their last five away games, the win may elude them.
Newport have failed to take a clean sheet in any of their last 10 away games and have been losing at the halftime break in 8 of their 16 away games. As it stands, Newport have the second-best defensive record in League One, but the second-worst offensive output (joint).
Carlisle vs Newport Betting Advice
Carlisle haven’t done a lot of scoring at home and are taking on the second-best defence in the league. On the other side of the coin, there is Newport who have badly struggled for away goals.
Stevenage are the only side to have collected fewer away points in League Two this season than Newport.
So weighing everything up, the draw in the match outright has the most appeal of all. It’s hard to see either doing enough to win.
Key Facts – Carlisle vs Newport Betting Tip
- Carlisle are winless in five home games
- Carlisle average under a goal per home fixture
- Newport have lost 9 of their last 10 away games
Carlisle are unbeaten in their last three home games against Newport (W2 D1) and they may just be able to extend that when the two meet on Tuesday night. Draw.
The best betting odds for Carlisle vs Newport
Carlisle to win: 7/4 at Bet365
Draw: 11/5 at Bet365
Newport: 17/10 at Bet365
