Conor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier UFC Betting Tip Poirier to win – 11th July 2021

Poirier could wear down "Notorious" again

Conor McGregor / Ireland ©IMAGO / ZUMA Wire 09/12/2020

IrelandConor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier United States
11th July from 0530hrs
UFC – USA – Las Vegas
Pick Poirier to win
Bookmaker 888sport
Odds: 4/5* (odds taken 23:39 GMT, 9th July 2021)

For some UFC betting action on the weekend, we have a look at Conor McGregor v Dustin Poirier.

This will be the third meeting between the two fighters and it is McGregor who is looking for revenge after being knocked out in the second round against the American in January.

Poirier has already had a taste of revenge in this ongoing saga, having lost the first fight to McGregor. Will he now have the satisfaction of toppling the Irishman again?

Bet at 888sport


Conor McGregor Preview – Can McGregor earn revenge?

Earlier this year, McGregor lost by a technical knockout in the second round of his bout against Poirier.

That was the first time that “Notorious” had suffered a knockout defeat in his career and was issued a 6-month medical suspension.

He will be the underdog for the third instalment of this intriguing rivalry.

There is a quote of Even money on the match outright win for McGregor in UFC betting* (odds taken 23:39 GMT, 9th July 2021).

The loss left McGregor with a 22-5 win/loss record in his professional career.

It’s also been two defeats for him in his last three, the other happening against Khabib Nurmagomedov in October 2018.

Our betting prediction:
Poirier Round 2

Bet at 888sport

* (odds taken 23:39 GMT, 9th July 2021)


You can’t help but think that another loss for McGregor would mean that he is going to have a tough time getting any title shots for the UFC lightweight championship.

There has been speculation in the media that this would be his last fight if he loses on the weekend.

He has been talking a lot during the build-up for this one. In the build-up to that second meeting with Poirier in January, McGregor seemed calm.

“Notorious” was calm in the fight as well, never really getting aggressive.

He seems more fired up this time, even having a kick at Poirier during their recent press conference.

A McGregor by KO TKO or Disqualification is a 6/4 punt in UFC betting in the Method Of Victory market* (odds taken 23:39 GMT, 9th July 2021).


Dustin Poirier Preview – Will Poirier stop “Notorious” again?

Dustin Poirier unleashed on McGregor in January, stopping the Irishman.

That moved his professional career record onto 27-6 and it was the 13th knockout success for him.

This is equally as important of a fight for Poirier in terms of going on the hunt for the Lightweight Championship.

He fought Khabib Nurmagomedov in 2019 for that title and of course, came up short.

So victory here would project him back up the ladder towards a title shot.

For Poirier to get another stoppage knockout decision against McGregor, there is a quote of 13/10 in UFC betting* (odds taken 23:39 GMT, 9th July 2021).

The American seems to be relaxed about this and full of self-belief.

Interesting Poirier could have fought for the vacant lightweight title but passed up to get another shot at McGregor.

Will that decision, a clear shot at the title, come back to haunt him?

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Dustin Poirier, therefore, has taken a much bigger gamble than McGregor has in taking on this fight.

All in all, looking at the UFC betting market, this does look as if it is going to be a fairly tight contest between the two.

The head to head is one win each, both victories secured by a knockout.

Arguably Poirier didn’t face the full arsenal of McGregor’s in January, but the flip side of that, is that Poirier’s performance was so good, he never let McGregor get into the fight.


Conor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier Betting Advice

This is a great rivalry and it looks to be hanging on the flip of a coin and nothing more. There’s not too much between the two fighters.

We think that either way, this fight gets stopped in the second round when energy levels really sap.

The longer this fight goes on, the bigger the chance of Poirier taking it we think.

So for our first UFC betting tip, we are going Poirer Round 2 at 6/1* (odds taken 23:39 GMT, 9th July 2021).


Key Facts – Conor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier Betting Tip

  • Conor McGregor won the first meeting inside two minutes
  • Conor McGregor suffered his first career knockout loss in the second meeting with Poirier
  • Dustin Poirier passed up a title fight to take on McGregor


McGregor seems more fired up for this fight than he was for that January meeting in Dubai.

Will that translate to action in the octagon in the early hours of Sunday morning (UK time)?

We’re not sure and just think that the safe play is Poirier to win outright at 4/5* (odds taken 23:39 GMT, 9th July 2021).


The best betting odds for Conor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier

Conor McGregor to win: 1/1 at Bet365
Dustin Poirier to win: 4/5 at Bet365