Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal
21st November 2000hrs
Tennis – London – ATP World Tour Finals 2020
Pick Medvedev To Win
Bookmaker Betway
Odds: 8/11 odds taken 01:12 GMT Saturday, 21st November
This is the second semi final of the ATP World Tour Finals. Rafael Nadal is still on the prowl in the draw, looking for his first title at this tournament.
He will get a really stiff challenge however in this final-four match.
The Spaniard takes on the in-form Daniil Medvedev who has already produced a fantastic victory over Novak Djokovic.
Table of Contents
Daniil Medvedev Preview – Medvedev the man in London?
It has been an impressive run of form from Daniil Medvedev at the ATP World Tour Finals. The Russian posted a win in all three group stage matches.
The biggest of those was when he beat Novak Djokovic in straight sets in his second fixture of the group.
That was such an impressive victory which gave the Russian top spot with a match to spare.
Even though Medvedev then still had to get through a dead rubber against Diego Schwartzman, he didn’t let up in intensity.
Medvedev raced to an easy straight sets victory over the Argentine, not taking it easy or dialling back.
That says a lot about his mindset.
He is bang in form, hungry and he is the 8/11 match favourite in tennis betting* (odds taken 01:12 GMT Saturday, 21st November).
It is going to be hard to overlook his chances in the fixture as well, given the way that he has been playing.
Medvedev came into the tournament with some hot form behind him, having taken the Paris Masters title earlier this month.
At last year’s ATP Finals, his debut, Medvedev lost all three round-robin matches.
But the maturity and growing control in his game is really starting to come to the fore more and more now.
He is an obvious threat in this fixture. Medvedev 2-0 in set betting is as short as 7/4* (odds taken 01:12 GMT Saturday, 21st November).
Can he pull it off? The winner of this match will meet either Dominic Thiem or Novak Djokovic in the final.
Rafael Nadal Preview – Can Nadal stay in?
Nadal, who has never won the ATP Finals during his illustrative career, is still in the hunt to break that duck.
He had a scare in the group stage, losing his second match to Dominic Thiem. That was a tough, hard fought duel between those two.
He wasn’t given an easy time of things either in his must-win final match. Nadal was up against the 2019 Champions Stefanos Tsitsipas in that fixture.
Nadal needed three sets to see off the Greek player in that one, whose control on the game just suddenly deserted him midway through.
A big thing that Nadal has going for him ahead of this fixture is that he has won all previous matches against Medvedev.
That is a 3-0 head to head lead and one of those was in last year’s ATP Finals, which Nadal took in three sets.
As a tennis betting option a Total Of 3 Sets exactly is at 6/5* (odds taken 01:12 GMT Saturday, 21st November).
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Rafael Nadal has really been challenged by Medvedev in the last two meetings, the first of which was in a stunning 2019 US Open Final.
Nadal did have his service game working very well for extended periods of his match against Tsitsipas on Friday.
But it is unlikely that he will be able to afford letting it go off the boil as he did in that match when he faces Medvedev on Saturday.
Nadal is the 11/10 underdog for this fixture* (odds taken 01:12 GMT Saturday, 21st November).
We think that the first set is going to be so crucial in this one. Nadal has won his last 71 matches in which he has taken the first set.
Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal Betting Advice
We are going to go with Medvedev for the win in this one. Not only that, we are going to go all out for the 2-0 in set betting.
A Medvedev 2-0 set betting option is at 7/4* (odds taken 01:12 GMT Saturday, 21st November).
We just think that Russian is playing strong enough stuff to get that.
He has been superbly energetic and the fact that he didn’t take it easy against Schwartzman says a lot for us.
Key Facts – Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal Betting Tip
- Daniil Medvedev is 0-3 against Nadal
- Daniil Medvedev won all three of this round robin matches
- Rafael Nadal has been taken the distance in his last two matches against Medvedev
A lapse in the form of Nadal’s serve in his last match against Tsitsipas is perhaps a crack in the Spaniard’s overall game.
He has not had the most comfortable of times in his last two meetings with Medvedev either.
So we think there is a fair chance of the tables being turned.
Either way this is going to be a superb spectacle. But we can’t quite get there in support of Nadal.
The best betting odds for Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal
Daniil Medvedev to win: 8/11 at Bet365
Rafael Nadal to win: 11/10 at Bet365
