Dominic Thiem vs Novak Djokovic Betting Tip Djokovic To Win – 21st November 2020

Djokovic to edge past Thiem to reach the Final in London

Dominic Thiem / Austria ©imago images / Xinhua 11/21/2020

AustriaDominic Thiem vs Novak Djokovic Serbia
21st November 1400hrs
Tennis – London – ATP World Tour Finals 2020
Pick Djokovic To Win
Bookmaker Boylesports
Odds: 8/11 23:05 GMT on Friday, 20th November

Here we are in the semi finals of the ATP Finals. Stepping into action is World Number One Novak Djokovic, taking on Dominic Thiem.

As expected this is a heavyweight clash at the final four stage.

Thiem must be cursing his luck however in having to meet Djokovic here after having won his group.

Bet at Boylesports


Dominic Thiem Preview – Can Thiem make it count against Djokovic?

What a cracking match we have on our hands. For tennis betting, it is Dominic Thiem who goes into the match as the underdog.

The Austrian is a quote of 13/10 in the outright market* (betting odds taken 23:05 GMT on Friday, 20th November).

Thiem opened his group stage campaign with wins over Stefanos Tsitsipas and then a big one against Rafael Nadal.

Right out of the gate then, those two wins had seen Thiem do enough to top his section and qualify for the semi finals.

So he didn’t have to even show up for his final match of the round robin stage, which ended in a straight-sets defeat to Andrey Rublev.

That’s nothing to pay attention to, because he was playing well within himself and nowhere near like the levels he had been at to beat Nadal.

Thiem had started the tournament as second-favourite to win his group behind Nadal.

That on paper, had projected him to a semi final against Djokovic, who was expected to win the other group.

Our betting prediction:
Djokovic 2-1 set betting

Bet at Boylesports

(23:05 GMT on Friday, 20th November)


But after the upset of Thiem taking top spot in his, he didn’t get a break as Djokovic only finished runner up in his group.

So the Austrian doesn’t get to avoid a semi final clash against the Serbian anyway.

This will be the second meeting between the two players.

The other in 2020 was at the Australian Open, with Djokovic winning an epic battle over five sets.

That snapped a two-match winning streak that Thiem had been on against the Serbian.

Looking a little deeper into the head to head, Thiem has taken four of the last six meetings between the two of them.

During that run there was a win over Djokovic for the Austrian in last year’s ATP Finals.


Novak Djokovic Preview – Djokovic back on track?

There was a big blip for Novak Djokovic in his second match of this year’s tournament. He was totally unravelled by Daniil Medvedev.

But the Serbian bounced back in his final match, a must-win fixture against Alexander Zverev to qualify in second place from his group.

That was a straight-sets victory over the German that Djokovic took, raising his game in the important moments of the match.

He did look to be finding his range a lot better than he had been against Medvedev.

Djokovic is the 8/13 favourite for the match win in the contest* (betting odds taken 23:05 GMT on Friday, 20th November).

Six of the last eight meetings between Djokovic and Thiem have gone the distance in matches.

So it may be worth considering this semi final going the distance.

A Total Sets tennis betting option of Exactly 3 is at 5/4 odds* (betting odds taken 23:05 GMT on Friday, 20th November).

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Novak Djokovic has had a tremendous year, but there have been cracks in his game over the last three tournaments.

He is not going to get an easy match against Thiem who has become a growing force on all surfaces, not just clay anymore.

This is actually now a really tough call between the two players.

The one disadvantage if you are looking at thin margins, is that Djokovic has had a day less of rest.


Dominic Thiem vs Novak Djokovic Betting Advice

This is a real toss-up for tennis betting.

But we are going to go with Djokovic who has been that more efficient in picking off his wins in this event.

He is still the top player in the one and the one to beat. He had an off day with his range against Medvedev but looked more like himself against Zverev.

We do see this going all the way to three sets, because Thiem is a massive threat.

A Djokovic 2-1 set betting option in tennis betting then does it for us at 3/1* (betting odds taken 23:05 GMT on Friday, 20th November).


Key Facts – Dominic Thiem vs Novak Djokovic Betting Tip

  • Dominic Thiem has won 6 of the last 8 against Djokovic
  • 6 of the last 8 meetings have gone the distance in sets
  • Novak Djokovic lost to Thiem at last year’s ATP Finals


You can only imagine that there has to be a bit of frustration from Thiem, having won his group and not managing to avoid Djokovic.

But to win tournaments you have to beat the top players most of the time.

We see this as being a road-block for Thiem who has been pushed hard by both Stefanos Tsistipas and Nadal during the round robin stage.


The best betting odds for Dominic Thiem vs Novak Djokovic

Dominic Thiem to win: 13/10 at Bet365
Novak Djokovic to win: 13/10 at Bet365