England vs Tonga
6th November 1515hrs
Rugby – England – International Rugby
Pick Tonga +56 Handicap
Bookmaker 888Sport
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021
England will get tougher challenges during this year’s Autumn Internationals than they will against Saturday’s opponents Tonga.
But England will be under pressure to post a big score and confident performance as they step out on home turf.
Tonga were in action last weekend as they were torn apart in a heavy loss at Murrayfield against Scotland. What awaits them at Twickenham?
Table of Contents
England Preview – England look to build
For the Autumn Internationals, England head coach Eddie Jones decided to really shake up the squad.
He left some established names out of the picture with the next World Cup in two years in mind.
England are going to have tougher matches than this in their Autumn International fixtures.
They will meet Australia and South Africa following this opener.
The shake up in personnel may be just what England need as well after a stuttering 2021.
England posted a W2 L3 record in this year’s Six Nations.
The victories were over Italy and France, their only two home fixtures.
In the match outright for Saturday’s fixture at Twickenham, England are the overwhelming favourites.
They are an unapproachable rugby betting quote of 1/100 to land the win* (odds recorded 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021).
But this one isn’t really about the outcome.
It is about England getting some energy and momentum going, especially with the new faces around the squad involved.
Manu Tuilagi comes into the starting lineup for the first time since March last year.
Owen Farrell will start at fly-half so there’s plenty of experience there, but sadly no start for Marcus Smith who has been struggling with an injury.
England have been hit by injury across the back line, as Raffi Quirke and Harry Randall miss out.
England should run up the scoreboard.
They will be expected to do so. An England -58 handicap is at 10/11 in rugby betting* (odds recorded 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021).
Tonga Preview – Visitors in for a tough afternoon
Tonga are not likely to come away with much out of this fixture as they face England at Twickenham.
The visitors have faced England three times before and have lost all of those.
The most recent meeting between them saw England take a 35-3 victory in 2019.
Tonga’s smallest margin of defeat against England was 16 points in a 2007 World Cup match.
Just to highlight the task ahead of them, bookmakers have them at 200/1 to claim the victory* (odds recorded 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021).
Tonga have had some action this autumn.
They visited Scotland last weekend and are on the end of a 60-14 hiding.
That’s a three-match losing streak for them.
In that sequence, Tonga suffered a humiliating 102-0 loss against New Zealand in August.
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Tonga have posted a W1 L8 record in their last nine internationals.
In that sequence, they have faced the likes of Scotland, Argentina, France, England and New Zealand without success.
The lone success for them in that sequence happened against the USA at the 2019 World Cup.
It’s hard to see a way into this match for them.
A Tonga +56 handicap is at 10/11* (odds recorded 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021).
England vs Tonga Betting Advice
England should romp to a comfortable success in this one and it’s just about them getting some game time.
A good positive performance is needed to put some wind in their sails ahead of tougher challenges.
Only one of England’s three previous matches against Tonga have been settled by more than 32 points.
So the Tonga +56 handicap may be worth a play* (odds recorded 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021).
Key Facts – England vs Tonga Betting Tip
- England have won all three previous matches with Tonga
- England have lost three of their last seven internationals
- Tonga have lost 8 of their last 9 internationals
England are probably going to pull away in the second half of the match, which will likely feature a lot of personnel changes.
2021 hasn’t been great for England, but they can put a positive result on the board.
It may take time for things together after a squad shape up. An England 41-45 winning margin is the longer pick at 10/1* (odds recorded 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021).
If England were in full flight with a settled full-strength side, that margin would have been bigger.
The best betting odds for England vs Tonga
England to win: 1/100 at Bet365
Draw: 200/1 at Bet365
Tonga to win: 200/1 at Bet365
